Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shenhua-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1" rel="noopener">China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-holdings-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5225:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shenhua-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1" rel="noopener">China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK)</a> is pretty small while the short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-holdings-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5225:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK)</a> is large and possibly getting bigger.</li>
<li>The change could result in a big increase in the fair value for the HSCEI 2023 dividend futures. Currently, we estimate an increase of up to 9 DIPS.</li>
</ul>



China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK) could replace Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK) in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) at the June rebalance.
Short interest on China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK) is pretty small while the short interest on Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK) is large and possibly getting bigger.
The change could result in a big increase in the fair value for the HSCEI 2023 dividend futures. Currently, we estimate an increase of up to 9 DIPS.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: China Shenhua (1088) Could Replace Country Garden (2007); Div Impact

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

JF Wealth Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jf-wealth-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36805:1" rel="noopener">JF Wealth Holdings (9636 HK)</a> raised around US$129m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>JF Wealth (JFW) is an online investment decision-making solution provider in China, focusing on the online investor content services market.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



JF Wealth Holdings (9636 HK) raised around US$129m in its Hong Kong IPO.
JF Wealth (JFW) is an online investment decision-making solution provider in China, focusing on the online investor content services market.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


JF Wealth IPO Trading - Tepid Subscription Here Probably Won’t Buck Recent HK IPO Trends

Shum Yip Property Operations Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shum-yip-property-operations-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36812:1" rel="noopener">Shum Yip Property Operations Group (SYPOG HK)</a> is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Shum Yip Property Operations Group (SYPOG) is a property management, commercial operational and city services provider in China.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), the firm was eighth among comprehensive property management, commercial operational and city services providers in China as per 2021 revenue.</li>
</ul>



Shum Yip Property Operations Group (SYPOG HK) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Shum Yip Property Operations Group (SYPOG) is a property management, commercial operational and city services provider in China.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), the firm was eighth among comprehensive property management, commercial operational and city services providers in China as per 2021 revenue.


Shum Yip Property Operations Group Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.</li>
<li>At the time of declaration, the dividend amounted to US$20bn or 15.5% of Meituan’s outstanding shares. Its value has since declined to US$17bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the implications of the deal and what one can glean from looking at the previous dividend payout for JD.com.</li>
</ul>


On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.
At the time of declaration, the dividend amounted to US$20bn or 15.5% of Meituan’s outstanding shares. Its value has since declined to US$17bn.
In this note, we talk about the implications of the deal and what one can glean from looking at the previous dividend payout for JD.com.


Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$17bn Overhang Is Almost Here - Lesson from JD.com

Japan Post Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, there were two deals launched this week.</li>
<li>For placements, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>'s planned selldown by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a> came earlier than expected.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, there were two deals launched this week.
For placements, Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)'s planned selldown by Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) came earlier than expected.


ECM Weekly (5th Mar 2023) - Japan Post Bank, Kansai, Vanke, Otsuka, SBI Sumishin, Lu DaoPei, NST, JF

China

China Vanke Co., Ltd. is a property development company.  The Company develops residential properties in Shenzhen, Shanghai, Beijing, Tianjin, Shenyang, Nanjing, and other big cities in China.

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China Vanke (H) (2202 HK)

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: China Shenhua (1088) Could Replace Country Garden (2007); Div Impact

China Shenhua could replace Country Garden in the HSCEI in June. Shenhua has been moving higher, COGARD lower. Shorts are much higher on COGARD...

Brian Freitas

JF Wealth IPO Trading - Tepid Subscription Here Probably Won’t Buck Recent HK IPO Trends

JF Wealth Holdings (9636 HK) raised around US$129m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Clarence Chu

Shum Yip Property Operations Group Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Shum Yip Property Operations Group (SYPOG HK) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. SYPOG is a property management,...

Clarence Chu

Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$17bn Overhang Is Almost Here - Lesson from JD.com

On 16th Nov 22, Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan. The US$17bn overhang...

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (5th Mar 2023) - Japan Post Bank, Kansai, Vanke, Otsuka, SBI Sumishin, Lu DaoPei, NST, JF

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)