Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that are actively traded as well.</p></div><div>
<p>China Securities Index Co (CSI) will most likely announce the changes for the December rebalance after market close on 26 November and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.</p>
<p>The review period ended on 29 October and we see 26 potential changes at the December rebalance. Of these, 23 are high probability changes with another 3 likely to take place.</p>
<p>Since our last Insight a month ago, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletion by 13% with the inclusions rising on average and the deletions dropping on average. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> was flat over the period. We recommend trimming positions and waiting for an opportunity to re-enter the trade at lower levels in the next couple of weeks.</p>
</div>

The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that are actively traded as well.
China Securities Index Co (CSI) will most likely announce the changes for the December rebalance after market close on 26 November and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.
The review period ended on 29 October and we see 26 potential changes at the December rebalance. Of these, 23 are high probability changes with another 3 likely to take place.
Since our last Insight a month ago, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletion by 13% with the inclusions rising on average and the deletions dropping on average. The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) was flat over the period. We recommend trimming positions and waiting for an opportunity to re-enter the trade at lower levels in the next couple of weeks.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2021): It Was A Good Entry Point

<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that trade actively as well.</p></div><div>
<p>China Securities Index Co (CSI) will most likely announce the changes for the December rebalance after market close on 26 November and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.</p>
<p>With over 90% of the review period complete, we see 26 potential changes at the upcoming December 2021 review. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.30% and will result in a one-way trade of slightly less than US$3bn.</p>
<p>The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential exclusions over the last 3 months but have given up a large part of the gains over the last couple of weeks. Given the trading history of past rebalances, we recommend buying the potential inclusions and selling the potential exclusions over the next couple of weeks and unwinding the positions post the end of the review period. There will then be more trading opportunities as we near the announcement date and implementation date.</p>
</div>

The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that trade actively as well.
China Securities Index Co (CSI) will most likely announce the changes for the December rebalance after market close on 26 November and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.
With over 90% of the review period complete, we see 26 potential changes at the upcoming December 2021 review. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.30% and will result in a one-way trade of slightly less than US$3bn.
The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential exclusions over the last 3 months but have given up a large part of the gains over the last couple of weeks. Given the trading history of past rebalances, we recommend buying the potential inclusions and selling the potential exclusions over the next couple of weeks and unwinding the positions post the end of the review period. There will then be more trading opportunities as we near the announcement date and implementation date.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2021): Pullback Provides Entry Point

Research on Tech Companies

Evelyn Zhang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li> More difficult for companies to obtain and accumulate data;</li>
<li>Digital advertising alliance will be impacted, precision advertising ROI will decline</li>
<li>Mobility service provider like Didi, Ctrip will no longer able to offer differentiate pricing through user profile, also restricted for containing  on national geographic information security</li>
<li>Public Cloud market will transfer from current internet cloud provider to state-owned cloud, benefit infrastructure and service providers</li>
<li>Facial Recognition AI such as in-car camera for autonomous driving assistance will be impacted</li>
<li>Short video content platform will have restrictions on the use of recommendation algorithms, which may cause a decline in user time, and the ecommerce product recommendation accuracy</li>
<li>Internet companies with more than 1mn users that have plans to list in US will have to reconsider</li>
</ul>


 More difficult for companies to obtain and accumulate data;
Digital advertising alliance will be impacted, precision advertising ROI will decline
Mobility service provider like Didi, Ctrip will no longer able to offer differentiate pricing through user profile, also restricted for containing  on national geographic information security
Public Cloud market will transfer from current internet cloud provider to state-owned cloud, benefit infrastructure and service providers
Facial Recognition AI such as in-car camera for autonomous driving assistance will be impacted
Short video content platform will have restrictions on the use of recommendation algorithms, which may cause a decline in user time, and the ecommerce product recommendation accuracy
Internet companies with more than 1mn users that have plans to list in US will have to reconsider


Law & Order: What the New Data Security Laws Mean for China's Tech Sector?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 116.7% as of Sep 15th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.3ppt week on week, led by energy, real estate, industrials and offset by communication services, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Postal Savings, Sinopec Corp, Shanghai Fudan, Sinopec Oilfield, Remegen Co Ltd.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 116.7% as of Sep 15th.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.3ppt week on week, led by energy, real estate, industrials and offset by communication services, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Postal Savings, Sinopec Corp, Shanghai Fudan, Sinopec Oilfield, Remegen Co Ltd.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 15th): Postal Savings, Sinopec Corp, Shanghai Fudan, Sinopec Oilfield

China

China Telecom Corporation Limited offers wireline telecom services. The Company provides internet access, mobile communications connecting, and other services. China Telecom also offers information consulting services.

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China Telecom (601728 CH)

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2021): It Was A Good Entry Point

We forecast 26 changes to the CSI300 Index at the December rebalance. The inclusions outperformed the deletions by 13% in October. Trim positions...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2021): Pullback Provides Entry Point

With 90% of the review period complete, we see 26 changes to the CSI300 at the Dec rebal. One-way turnover is 9.3% and the one-way trade is US$3bn....

Brian Freitas

Law & Order: What the New Data Security Laws Mean for China's Tech Sector?

China's recent new sweeping data security and protection laws have set the tech sector in turmoil, We examin what are the impact way forward.

Evelyn Zhang

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 15th): Postal Savings, Sinopec Corp, Shanghai Fudan, Sinopec Oilfield

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Postal Savings, Sinopec Corp, Shanghai Fudan, Sinopec...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)