Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Hygon Information Technology C / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As of the review cutoff date of 19 February, there could be four changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-ftse-a50-china-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:249:1" rel="noopener">iShares A50 China (2823 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csop-ftse-china-a50-etf-26e3b671-fa47-4165-a12e-bf841640c5a3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23664:1" rel="noopener">CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK)</a> in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shaanxi-coal-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11254:1" rel="noopener">Shaanxi Coal Industry</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygon-information-technology-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36366:1" rel="noopener">Hygon Information Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cgn-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29504:1" rel="noopener">CGN Power</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-everbright-bank-co-ltd-675cb9b4-f4fb-4317-9df7-75e3849a2f5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:885:1" rel="noopener">China Everbright Bank</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aier-eye-hospital-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1103:1" rel="noopener">Aier Eye Hospital Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-ningbo-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4452:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Ningbo</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27092:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-yanghe-brewery-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1275:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cgn-power-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:58:1" rel="noopener">CGN Power (1816 HK)</a> is a potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> inclusion while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygon-information-technology-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36366:1" rel="noopener">Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)</a> is an inclusion to a global index in March.</li>
</ul>


As of the review cutoff date of 19 February, there could be four changes for the iShares A50 China (2823 HK) / CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK) in March.

Shaanxi Coal Industry, Hygon Information Technology, CGN Power and China Everbright Bank could replace Aier Eye Hospital Group, Bank Of Ningbo, WuXi AppTec and Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery.

CGN Power (1816 HK) is a potential iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) inclusion while Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH) is an inclusion to a global index in March.


Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Big Price Moves Could Lead to Four Changes

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 2nd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,618.3 million, led by information technology, industrials, consumer staples sectors, and offset by financials, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, and Midea.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 2nd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,618.3 million, led by information technology, industrials, consumer staples sectors, and offset by financials, energy.
We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, and Midea.


Northbound Flows (Feb 2nd): Moutai, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Midea

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 128.5% as of Jan 26th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.6ppt week-on-week, led by energy, industrials, health care and offset by real estate, communication services, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, Gwmotor, China Energy Engineering, Tianqi Lithium Corporation.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 128.5% as of Jan 26th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.6ppt week-on-week, led by energy, industrials, health care and offset by real estate, communication services, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, Gwmotor, China Energy Engineering, Tianqi Lithium Corporation.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 26th): Haier Smart, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, GWM

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 12th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight Hong Kong short weekly changes in Citic Sec.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 12th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight Hong Kong short weekly changes in Citic Sec.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows showing momentum tendencies this past week on a single-stock basis, still. </li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND saw HK$6.8bn of net OUT-flows in the week to 12 Jan 2024. Total flows were HK$118bn.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND saw large net selling of ETFs (unwinding Week 1) and large net buying of high-div SOEs like CNOOC, China Mobile/Telecom/Unicom, and coal names.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND flows showing momentum tendencies this past week on a single-stock basis, still. 
SOUTHBOUND saw HK$6.8bn of net OUT-flows in the week to 12 Jan 2024. Total flows were HK$118bn.
SOUTHBOUND saw large net selling of ETFs (unwinding Week 1) and large net buying of high-div SOEs like CNOOC, China Mobile/Telecom/Unicom, and coal names.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Jan 2024); High Div SOEs Still the Biggest Buys

China

China Shenhua Energy Company Limited is an integrated coal-based energy company focusing on the coal and power businesses in China.  The Company also owns and operates an integrated coal transportation network consisting of dedicated rail lines and port facilities.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK)

Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Big Price Moves Could Lead to Four Changes

There could be 4 changes for the 2822/2823 ETFs in March and passive trackers will need to trade 0.16-0.79 days of ADV on the stocks. Some stocks...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Feb 2nd): Moutai, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Midea

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Midea.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 26th): Haier Smart, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, GWM

We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, Gwmotor, China Energy Engineering,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Citic Sec

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 12th and highlight short interest changes in Citic Sec.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Jan 2024); High Div SOEs Still the Biggest Buys

SOUTHBOUND saw large net buying of High-Div SOEs. Again. Many weeks in a row now and in terms of % of volume, the mobile phone cos rank high. ETFs...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)