Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 24th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, Byd, China Construction Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 24th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, Byd, China Construction Bank.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Feb 24th): China Mobile, Tencent, Byd, CCB

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Feb 17th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Ctg Duty-Free, Xiaomi, China Shenhua, Meituan, Jd.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Feb 17th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Ctg Duty-Free, Xiaomi, China Shenhua, Meituan, Jd.


HK Short Interest Weekly: CDF, Xiaomi, China Shenhua, Meituan, Jd

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> at the close on 10 March.</li>
<li>Using prices from the close on 24 February, estimated one-way turnover is 3.28% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$2,162m at the close on 10 March.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> is quite high in terms of days of ADV to cover and in terms of float.</li>
</ul>


As expected, XPeng (9868 HK) replaces China Feihe (6186 HK) in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) at the close on 10 March.
Using prices from the close on 24 February, estimated one-way turnover is 3.28% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$2,162m at the close on 10 March.
Short interest on XPeng (9868 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), China Feihe (6186 HK) is quite high in terms of days of ADV to cover and in terms of float.


HSCEI Index Rebalance: Xpeng (9868) Replaces China Feihe (6186); Li Auto (2015) Biggest Gainer

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 109.6% as of Feb 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, health care, energy and offset by communication services, consumer staples, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 109.6% as of Feb 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, health care, energy and offset by communication services, consumer staples, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 17th): China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 3rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$5,078.8 million, led by industrials, financials, information technology sectors, and offset by utilities, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd, Kweichow Moutai.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 3rd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$5,078.8 million, led by industrials, financials, information technology sectors, and offset by utilities, real estate.
We highlight flows for CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd, Kweichow Moutai.


Northbound Flows (Feb 3rd): CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd, Kweichow Moutai

China

China Shenhua Energy Company Limited is an integrated coal-based energy company focusing on the coal and power businesses in China.  The Company also owns and operates an integrated coal transportation network consisting of dedicated rail lines and port facilities.

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China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Feb 24th): China Mobile, Tencent, Byd, CCB

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, Byd, China Construction Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: CDF, Xiaomi, China Shenhua, Meituan, Jd

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Feb 17th and highlight short interest changes in CDF, Xiaomi, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Xpeng (9868) Replaces China Feihe (6186); Li Auto (2015) Biggest Gainer

Xpeng replaces China Feihe in the HSCEI at the close on 10 March. Li Auto is the biggest gainer following a change in index handling for dual...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 17th): China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Feb 3rd): CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd, Kweichow Moutai

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)