Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a> could raise between HK$26-33bn (US$3.4-4.2bn) in its H-share listing depending on the H-shares discount and exercise of the overallotment option.</li>
<li>The H-shares could get Fast Entry to certain indices and regular entry to others depending on the number of shares that are allotted to cornerstone and/or strategic investors.</li>
<li>The H-shares will be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the end of the price stabilisation period. Inclusion in the Hang Seng Composite Index will come later.</li>
</ul>



S.F. Holding (002352 CH) could raise between HK$26-33bn (US$3.4-4.2bn) in its H-share listing depending on the H-shares discount and exercise of the overallotment option.
The H-shares could get Fast Entry to certain indices and regular entry to others depending on the number of shares that are allotted to cornerstone and/or strategic investors.
The H-shares will be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the end of the price stabilisation period. Inclusion in the Hang Seng Composite Index will come later.


SF Holding (002352 CH): H-Share Listing & Index Implications

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 14th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We estimate the outflows to be USD 538m and highlight flows for Meituan, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 14th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We estimate the outflows to be USD 538m and highlight flows for Meituan, BYD.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 14th): Meituan, BYD

Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's beer sector is still trading up, despite the deflation concerns of the overall China consumer sector.</li>
<li>Visible ASP growth and margin improvement over the next few years make the sector an attractive investment opportunity.</li>
<li>Prefer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beer-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:399:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK)</a> as it offers the best risk-reward within the sector.  </li>
</ul>


China's beer sector is still trading up, despite the deflation concerns of the overall China consumer sector.
Visible ASP growth and margin improvement over the next few years make the sector an attractive investment opportunity.
Prefer China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK) as it offers the best risk-reward within the sector.  


China Beer Sector: One of The Few Consumer Sectors That Are Still Trading Up After The Pandemic

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 7th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for  China Mobile, ICBC, ABC, Tencent, HSBC, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 7th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for  China Mobile, ICBC, ABC, Tencent, HSBC, BYD.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 7th): China Mobile, ICBC, ABC, Tencent, HSBC, BYD

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Hong Kong

China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is an alcoholic beverage retailer.

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China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 14th): Meituan, BYD

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week. We estimate the outflows to be USD 38m and highlight flows for Meituan and BYD.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Beer Sector: One of The Few Consumer Sectors That Are Still Trading Up After The Pandemic

China's beer sector is still trading up, despite the deflation concerns of the overall China consumer sector. One of the best consumer sectors to...

Steve Zhou, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 7th): China Mobile, ICBC, ABC, Tencent, HSBC, BYD

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for China Mobile, ICBC, ABC, Tencent, HSBC, BYD.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Screening for GEMs: July 2023

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SF Holding (002352 CH): H-Share Listing & Index Implications

SF Holdings could raise between HK$26-33bn in its H-shares listing. The discount vs A-shares and cornerstone/strategic allocation will be key in...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 14th): Meituan, BYD

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week. We estimate the outflows to be USD 38m and highlight flows for Meituan and BYD.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Beer Sector: One of The Few Consumer Sectors That Are Still Trading Up After The Pandemic

China's beer sector is still trading up, despite the deflation concerns of the overall China consumer sector. One of the best consumer sectors to...

Steve Zhou, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 7th): China Mobile, ICBC, ABC, Tencent, HSBC, BYD

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for China Mobile, ICBC, ABC, Tencent, HSBC, BYD.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Screening for GEMs: July 2023

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA