Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc. </li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows were small positive and NORTHBOUND flows a decent buy. AH premia stopped rising. Chinese shares bounced. SOEs being bought. Tech being sold. Tencent seeing SB outflows, still. </li>
<li>New article in China Securities Journal hints at new measures on SOEs. Watch this space. Wouldn't be short SOEs vs Privates on H/A basis. </li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc. 
SOUTHBOUND flows were small positive and NORTHBOUND flows a decent buy. AH premia stopped rising. Chinese shares bounced. SOEs being bought. Tech being sold. Tencent seeing SB outflows, still. 
New article in China Securities Journal hints at new measures on SOEs. Watch this space. Wouldn't be short SOEs vs Privates on H/A basis. 


A/H Premium Tracker (To 26 Jan 2024):  AH Premia Still Near Multi-Yr Wides, SOEs May See New Action

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (5mos old) A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND flows were both sells, respectively, but liquid Hs with H/A pairs OUT-perform As on average by 100+bp. Liquidation by overseas investors feels finished. </li>
<li>
Time to go long Hs vs As for the new year at 52wk wide discounts. 3 Short H/A pairs now switched to long. 3 new pairs long this week. </li>
</ul>


The New and Better (5mos old) A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND flows were both sells, respectively, but liquid Hs with H/A pairs OUT-perform As on average by 100+bp. Liquidation by overseas investors feels finished. 

Time to go long Hs vs As for the new year at 52wk wide discounts. 3 Short H/A pairs now switched to long. 3 new pairs long this week. 


A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Dec 23): Time To Go Long Hs Vs As.

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (16 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>Hs with H/A pairs outperform their As on average with higher-liquidity Hs outperforming more. High Premium As not seeing shrinking premia on average.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net sells overall. It looked like the combination of NORTHBOUND and SOUTHBOUND put on a long H short A in the non-bank financial sector.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (16 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
Hs with H/A pairs outperform their As on average with higher-liquidity Hs outperforming more. High Premium As not seeing shrinking premia on average.
SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net sells overall. It looked like the combination of NORTHBOUND and SOUTHBOUND put on a long H short A in the non-bank financial sector.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 Nov): H up Vs A Despite SOUTHBOUND Net Selling; High Div SOEs Normalising

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 121.3% as of Nov 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.3ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, communication services, utilities and offset by real estate, energy, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Ganfeng Lithium, Byd Company, CICC, Shanghai Fudan, Huahong.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 121.3% as of Nov 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.3ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, communication services, utilities and offset by real estate, energy, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Ganfeng Lithium, Byd Company, CICC, Shanghai Fudan, Huahong.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 17th): Ganfeng Lithium, BYD, CICC, Shanghai Fudan, Huahong

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.6% as of Oct 13th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -6.8ppt week on week, led by energy, health care, materials and offset by consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom and China Southern.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.6% as of Oct 13th.
The average A-H premium changed by -6.8ppt week on week, led by energy, health care, materials and offset by consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom and China Southern.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 13th): Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom, China Southern

China

Offshore Oil Engineering Co., Ltd. provides offshore oil engineering services, including designing, construction, installation, and repair and maintenance services.  The Company's main businesses include oil/gas exploration engineering, subsea pipeline laying, oil/gas field equipment testing and maintenance, as well as pressure container and steel structure manufacturing.

Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group Co., Ltd develops, manufactures and sells oil field equipment.  The Company's products include well cementing equipment, well fracturing equipment, and natural gas compression and transportation equipment.

Zhongyuan Special Steel Company Ltd. produces forgings for equipment manufacturers.  The Company manufactures oil drilling tools, cast iron pipe, rollers, and die steel.

Zhongyuan Special Steel Co,Ltd. (002423 CH)

Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation provides oilfield services. The services include geophysics, drilling engineering, logging and mud logging, special downhole operations, engineering construction, oil field service and offshore oil projects.

ZhongMan Petroleum And Natural Gas Group Corp., Ltd. offers drilling engineering services. The Company provides petroleum drilling components manufacturing, mud logging, directional drilling, cementing, and construction services. ZhongMan Petroleum and Natural Gas Group offers services in China.

ZhongMan Petroleum and Natural (603619 CH)

Changzheng Engineering Company Limited operates as a Pulverized Coal Pressurized Gasification Technology Engineering Research Center of China Petroleum and Chemical Industry. CECO specializes in gasification technology and key equipment R&D, engineering design, technical services, equipment supply and EPC services.

Sino Geophysical Company Limited engages in technical services of seismic processing and interpretation in oil exploration for oil companies. The Company also provides consultantation services on reserve volume assessment of oilfield blocks.

Apex Technology Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sales integrated circuit products and components, and computer peripherals related products. The Company also provides hardware, software services and solutions to networking products.

Suzhou Douson Drilling & Production Equipment Co., Ltd. is mainly engaged in the R&D, production, and sales of drilling equipment for oil, natural gas, and shale gas. The Company supplies well head and oil extraction equipments, well  control equipments, pipeline valves, and top drive spindles.

Sinopec Oilfield Equipment Corp manufactures and markets oil field machinery. The Company's products include rotary drilling bits for oil field and mining uses and oil field machinery parts.

Helmerich & Payne, Inc. provides contract drilling of oil and gas wells in the Gulf of Mexico and South America. The Company operates land rigs and platform rigs.

Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. provides land-based drilling services to major and independent oil and natural gas companies.  The Company conducts drilling operations in Texas, New Mexico, Utah, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and western Canada. Patterson-UTI is also involved in pressure pumping, oil and gas exploration and production, and drilling and completion fluids services.

Archrock, Inc. operates as a natural gas contract compression services company. The Company offers natural gas compression and aftermarket services, as well as provides used equipment for oil and gas industry. Archrock serves customers in the United States.

Transocean Ltd. is an offshore drilling contractor.  The Company owns or operates mobile offshore drilling units, inland drilling barges, and other assets utilized in the support of offshore drilling activities worldwide. Transocean specializes in technically demanding segments of the offshore drilling business, including deepwater and harsh environment drilling services.

Seadrill Limited operates as an oil and gas field service company. The Company offers drilling contracting services to unlock oil and gas resources for clients across harsh and benign locations. Seadrill serves customers worldwide.

Vallourec provides tubular solutions. The Company offers tubes and other related components. Vallourec serves refineries, hydraulic cylinders, machine tools, automobiles, construction, and oil and gas industries worldwide.

Cactus, Inc. manufactures control equipment. The Company offers wellhead systems, valves, and flow control products. Cactus markets its products worldwide.

Liberty Oilfield Services Inc. operates as an oilfield service company. The Company specializes in hydraulic fracturing, stimulation, and engineering services. Liberty Oilfield Services serves customers throughout the United States.

WorleyParsons Limited provides professional services through alliance and integrated service contracts to the energy, resource and complex process industries.  The Company provides its services to industrial sectors such as oil and gas refining, petrochemicals and chemicals, minerals and metals, power and water and industrial and infrastructure.

Tidewater Inc. provides offshore supply vessels and marine support services to the offshore energy exploration, development, and production industry. The Company tows and anchor-handles mobile drilling rigs and equipment, transports supplies and personnel, and supports pipe laying and other offshore construction activities.

China Oilfield Services Limited provides oilfield services. The Company provides geophysical prospecting, drilling, oilfield technology development, and other services. China Oilfield Services also operates transportation businesses.

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China Oilfield Services H (2883 HK)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 26 Jan 2024): AH Premia Still Near Multi-Yr Wides, SOEs May See New Action

AH Premia down slightly from multi-year wides a week ago. Chinese shares bounced in HK and mainland. SOEs still seeing SB inflow. Banks & SOEs NB...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Dec 23): Time To Go Long Hs Vs As.

A/H Premiums reached their highest average (arithmetic - not the HS Index) in a year on Monday. And then turned. Overseas liquidation feels...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 Nov): H up Vs A Despite SOUTHBOUND Net Selling; High Div SOEs Normalising

A/H premia on average narrowed somewhat despite SOUTHBOUND net selling this week both on a universal and H/A pair space basis. High Div SOEs have...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 17th): Ganfeng Lithium, BYD, CICC, Shanghai Fudan, Huahong

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Ganfeng Lithium, Byd Company, CICC, Shanghai Fudan, Huahong.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 13th): Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom, China Southern

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for　Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom and China Southern.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 26 Jan 2024): AH Premia Still Near Multi-Yr Wides, SOEs May See New Action

AH Premia down slightly from multi-year wides a week ago. Chinese shares bounced in HK and mainland. SOEs still seeing SB inflow. Banks & SOEs NB...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Dec 23): Time To Go Long Hs Vs As.

A/H Premiums reached their highest average (arithmetic - not the HS Index) in a year on Monday. And then turned. Overseas liquidation feels...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 Nov): H up Vs A Despite SOUTHBOUND Net Selling; High Div SOEs Normalising

A/H premia on average narrowed somewhat despite SOUTHBOUND net selling this week both on a universal and H/A pair space basis. High Div SOEs have...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 17th): Ganfeng Lithium, BYD, CICC, Shanghai Fudan, Huahong

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Ganfeng Lithium, Byd Company, CICC, Shanghai Fudan, Huahong.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 13th): Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom, China Southern

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom and China Southern.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for　Wuapptec, Tsingtao Brew, China Telecom and China Southern.