Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of August includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.

  The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of August includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index. 

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - August 2020 - Lucror Analytics

Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Chuanyi Zhou

Credit Analyst

COG’s H1/20 results were in line with our expectations, albeit revenue was weaker. The credit profile remains satisfactory, despite some deterioration from the reduced earnings and higher debt. In our view, the company’s explanation that it increased short-term borrowings to maintain banking relationships is acceptable at this point, with the amount being insignificant. Looking ahead, we agree with management that the operating environment could become more favourable in H2/20, which might support a recovery in revenue growth. That said, the upstream O&G business in Canada may remain under pressure, though it only contributed 3% of H1 revenue. Overall, we expect the company’s credit profile to weaken slightly, on account of soft earnings.

  COG’s H1/20 results were in line with our expectations, albeit revenue was weaker. The credit profile remains satisfactory, despite some deterioration from the reduced earnings and higher debt. In our view, the company’s explanation that it increased short-term borrowings to maintain banking relationships is acceptable at this point, with the amount being insignificant.   Looking ahead, we agree with management that the operating environment could become more favourable in H2/20, which might support a recovery in revenue growth. That said, the upstream O&G business in Canada may remain under pressure, though it only contributed 3% of H1 revenue. Overall, we expect the company’s credit profile to weaken slightly, on account of soft earnings. 

China Oil & Gas - Earnings Flash - H1 FY 2020 Results - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we discuss LARA and Credit Bias developments for companies under our coverage over the past few years, including related trends for and between Asia, LatAm and Europe. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we discuss LARA and Credit Bias developments for companies under our coverage over the past few years, including related trends for and between Asia, LatAm and Europe.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - LARA And Credit Bias Study (2020 Update) - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of July includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.

  The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of July includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index. 

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - July 2020 - Lucror Analytics

Following the recent string of high-profile fraud scandals, from Luckin Coffee in China to Wirecard in Germany, our In-Focus section this month deals with our framework for discerning fraud in Asian companies. We also give an overview of common techniques used to manipulate financial information in Asian markets, and present case studies of alleged or confirmed fraud drawn from our coverage universe. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  Following the recent string of high-profile fraud scandals, from Luckin Coffee in China to Wirecard in Germany, our In-Focus section this month deals with our framework for discerning fraud in Asian companies. We also give an overview of common techniques used to manipulate financial information in Asian markets, and present case studies of alleged or confirmed fraud drawn from our coverage universe.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Framework For Discerning Fraud In Asian Companies - Lucror Analytics

Hong Kong

China Oil and Gas Group Ltd. is engaged in the investments in, and the operation and management of the natural gas and energy related business. Gas operations include city piped gas business, natural gas vehicle refilling stations, pipeline construction and operation, as well as transportation, delivery and distribution of compressed natural gas (CNG) and liquefied natural gas (LNG).

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China Oil And Gas (603 HK)

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - August 2020 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of August includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas....

Lucror Analytics

China Oil & Gas - Earnings Flash - H1 FY 2020 Results - Lucror Analytics

COG’s H1/20 results were in line with our expectations, albeit revenue was weaker. The credit profile remains satisfactory, despite some...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - LARA And Credit Bias Study (2020 Update) - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we discuss LARA and Credit Bias developments for companies under our coverage over the past few years,...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - July 2020 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of July includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas....

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - Framework For Discerning Fraud In Asian Companies - Lucror Analytics

Following the recent string of high-profile fraud scandals, from Luckin Coffee in China to Wirecard in Germany, our In-Focus section this month...

Lucror Analytics

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