Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

China National Nuclear Power C / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li><em>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</em></li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 3.2bn of A-shares. Wednesday was a BIG buy day. Every other day was a net sell. </li>
<li>HK and Mainland large caps generally performed equally, down but much better than the rest of the world, but Hs in H/A pairs underperformed.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 3.2bn of A-shares. Wednesday was a BIG buy day. Every other day was a net sell. 
HK and Mainland large caps generally performed equally, down but much better than the rest of the world, but Hs in H/A pairs underperformed.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Aug 2024): Small Net Positive Week But...

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Based on the close of 22 July, there could be two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-ftse-a50-china-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:249:1" rel="noopener">iShares A50 China (2823 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csop-ftse-china-a50-etf-26e3b671-fa47-4165-a12e-bf841640c5a3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23664:1" rel="noopener">CSOP China A50 (2822 HK)</a> ETFs in June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-nuclear-power-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25348:1" rel="noopener">China National Nuclear Power</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huaneng-lancang-river-hydropow" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26585:1" rel="noopener">Huaneng Lancang River Hydropowe</a>r could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12278:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yihai-kerry-arawana-holdings-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33230:1" rel="noopener">Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings</a> in the ETFs. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK)</a> could be deleted from a global index in August, so there could be selling in the A-shares and H-shares.</li>
</ul>


Based on the close of 22 July, there could be two changes for the iShares A50 China (2823 HK) / CSOP China A50 (2822 HK) ETFs in June.

China National Nuclear Power and Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower could replace China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd and Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings in the ETFs. 

China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK) could be deleted from a global index in August, so there could be selling in the A-shares and H-shares.


China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: Two Changes in September

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 2nd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$486.3 million, led by financials, health care, utilities sectors, and offset by consumer discretionary, materials, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Wanhua Chemical, Moutai, CATL, Fuyao Glass Industry, Haier Smart Home.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 2nd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$486.3 million, led by financials, health care, utilities sectors, and offset by consumer discretionary, materials, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for Wanhua Chemical, Moutai, CATL, Fuyao Glass Industry, Haier Smart Home.


Northbound Flows (Aug 2nd): Wanhua Chemical, Moutai, CATL, Fuyao Glass Industry, Haier Smart Home

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer Staples ($962 million worth of outflows), Consumer Discretionary ($561 million worth of outflows) led the outflows (first chart below).</li>
<li>We highlight monthly outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer Staples ($962 million worth of outflows), Consumer Discretionary ($561 million worth of outflows) led the outflows (first chart below).
We highlight monthly outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.


Northbound Flows (July): Two Months of Outflows

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 12th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,168.8 million, led by financials, information technology, utilities sectors, and offset by health care, communication services, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, Yangtze Power, Ping An Insurance, Cosco Shipping, CNNP.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 12th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,168.8 million, led by financials, information technology, utilities sectors, and offset by health care, communication services, energy.
We highlight flows for Moutai, Yangtze Power, Ping An Insurance, Cosco Shipping, CNNP.


Northbound Flows (Jul 12th): Moutai, Yangtze Power, Ping An Insurance, Cosco Shipping, CNNP

China

China National Nuclear Power Co., Ltd. is a nuclear energy power producer. The Company invests in, constructs, manages and operates nuclear power plants throughout China.

China National Nuclear Power C (601985 CH)

Price Gauge
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China National Nuclear Power C (601985 CH)

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Aug 2024): Small Net Positive Week But...

A strange week. HUGE NORTHBOUND net buying on Wednesday but net selling every other day makes for a slight net buy on the week. Little stands out....

Travis Lundy

China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: Two Changes in September

There could be 2 changes for the China A50 ETFs in Sep. CTG could see selling in A- and H-shares within 3 weeks. The IPPs have been trading higher...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Aug 2nd): Wanhua Chemical, Moutai, CATL, Fuyao Glass Industry, Haier Smart Home

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Wanhua Chemical, Moutai, CATL, Fuyao Glass...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (July): Two Months of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for July and highlight outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Jul 12th): Moutai, Yangtze Power, Ping An Insurance, Cosco Shipping, CNNP

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, Yangtze Power, Ping An Insurance, Cosco...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)