APAC Investment Strategy, Animal Spirits Report, Quiddity Advisors

Paul M. Kitney, PhD

APAC Investment Strategy, Animal Spirits Report

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>BOC And Chinese Banking Sector Notionally Attractive Valuations Might Be A "Value Trap" As We Are Sceptical Over NIMs,  NPLs, Loan Growth And Divergent Analyst Earnings Revisions</li><li>BOC Net Interest Margins Underperform A Chinese Banking Sector Facing Policy Pressure</li><li>Analysts Revise Up Earnings Despite Slower Loan Growth And NIM Pressure - Why??? </li><li>BOC And Sector Loans Books Suffer From Indigestion - The NPL Cycle Has Further To Run. This Provides Additional Risk To Asset Quality and Earnings</li><li>BOC Is Removed From "Top Picks" And Suggest "Underweight" Positioning In Chinese Banks</li></ul>

BOC And Chinese Banking Sector Notionally Attractive Valuations Might Be A "Value Trap" As We Are Sceptical Over NIMs,  NPLs, Loan Growth And Divergent Analyst Earnings RevisionsBOC Net Interest Margins Underperform A Chinese Banking Sector Facing Policy PressureAnalysts Revise Up Earnings Despite Slower Loan Growth And NIM Pressure - Why??? BOC And Sector Loans Books Suffer From Indigestion - The NPL Cycle Has Further To Run. This Provides Additional Risk To Asset Quality and EarningsBOC Is Removed From "Top Picks" And Suggest "Underweight" Positioning In Chinese Banks

ANIMAL SPIRITS: "You're Fired"- Underweight Chinese Banks & Bank of China (3988 H) Exits "Top Picks"

Founder, Supreme Peoples Court Monitor

Susan Finder

Founder

Supreme Peoples Court Monitor

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/024/749/original/Screen%20Shot%202017-04-21%20at%208.49.13%20PM.png?1492779009" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="24749"></figure><div class="content-caption">CBRC penalty decision</div>I recently wrote about penalties imposed by China's securities regulator, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC).  It has been widely reported by the business and legal press in greater China that China's bank regulator, the China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) has launched a <a href="http://www.caixinglobal.com/2017-04-17/101079381.html" target="_blank">regulatory frenzy</a> and <a href="http://newscontent.cctv.com/NewJsp/news.jsp?fileId=403998" target="_blank">inspection campaign</a> to crack down on abuses in the banking sector.  The regulator revealed in an announcement on its <a href="http://www.cbrc.gov.cn/chinese/home/docView/4D9893F514B14E0894CA1B85335C7017.html" target="_blank">website</a> early April penalties that it had…

CBRC penalty decisionI recently wrote about penalties imposed by China's securities regulator, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC).  It has been widely reported by the business and legal press in greater China that China's bank regulator, the China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) has launched a regulatory frenzy and inspection campaign to crack down on abuses in the banking sector.  The regulator revealed in an announcement on its website early April penalties that it had…

China's Bank Regulator Launches Regulatory Campaign

Shenji Group Kunming Mach Tool Co Ltd / ESG

China's securities regulatory authority, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) <a href="http://www.csrc.gov.cn/pub/newsite/jcj/aqfb/201702/t20170227_312735.html" target="_blank">issued</a> a set of typical "inspection of illegality" cases in late February, part of its campaign against stock market "crocodiles" (explained <a href="http://www.scmp.com/news/china/economy/article/2074366/why-beijing-declaring-war-stock-market-crocodiles-now" target="_blank">here</a>). The Chinese authorities (Party, government, courts, prosecutors) have a long history in using "typical/model cases" to educate a certain audience, but (as I have <a href="https://cpianalysis.org/2014/04/07/using-model-cases-to-guide-the-chinese-courts/" target="_blank">written previously</a>) the audience and content of the instruction depends on the type of case. Model…

China's securities regulatory authority, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) issued a set of typical "inspection of illegality" cases in late February, part of its campaign against stock market "crocodiles" (explained here). The Chinese authorities (Party, government, courts, prosecutors) have a long history in using "typical/model cases" to educate a certain audience, but (as I have written previously) the audience and content of the instruction depends on the type of case. Model…

China's Securities Regulatory Authority Issues "Typical Inspection of Illegality" Cases

Head of Research at Fusion Wealth Management Ltd

Michael McGaughy

In my research and investing I stress three things: people, structure, and value.  I look for companies that are controlled and managed by quality people, have corporate structures that align minority and majority shareholder interests and trade at valuations that are below fair value if not outright cheap. This note is actually not about any of that and instead just a quick one about bitcoin and how my initial skepticism may have been wrong.  I usually don’t write “macro” or ‘thought pieces’…

In my research and investing I stress three things: people, structure, and value.  I look for companies that are controlled and managed by quality people, have corporate structures that align minority and majority shareholder interests and trade at valuations that are below fair value if not outright cheap. This note is actually not about any of that and instead just a quick one about bitcoin and how my initial skepticism may have been wrong.  I usually don’t write “macro” or ‘thought pieces’…

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions, Bixmoor

Bixmoor

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions

Bixmoor specialises in providing bespoke research to business, governments and the financial community on China and neighbouring regions. We seek to build long-term relationships with our clients, based on our expertise, our reliability and our determination to find the right solution.

One of America's most prestigious investment banks was fined hundreds of millions of dollars last year for bribing Chinese officials through its 'Sons and Daughters Program'. The silence since then from Chinese anti-corruption officials has been deafening.

One of America's most prestigious investment banks was fined hundreds of millions of dollars last year for bribing Chinese officials through its 'Sons and Daughters Program'. The silence since then from Chinese anti-corruption officials has been deafening.

Chinese Officials Turn a Blind Eye to Corruption

China

China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd. operates as a commercial bank. The Company provides deposits, loans, wealth management, asset custody, finance leasing, investment banking, and other banking services. China Merchants Bank conducts businesses domestically and internationally.

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China Merchants Bank A (600036 CH)

ANIMAL SPIRITS: "You're Fired"- Underweight Chinese Banks & Bank of China (3988 H) Exits "Top Picks"

BOC And Chinese Banking Sector Notionally Attractive Valuations Might Be A "Value Trap" As We Are Sceptical Over NIMs, NPLs, Loan Growth And...

Paul M. Kitney, PhD

China's Bank Regulator Launches Regulatory Campaign

I recently wrote about penalties imposed by China's securities regulator, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC). It has been widely...

Susan Finder

China's Securities Regulatory Authority Issues "Typical Inspection of Illegality" Cases

China's securities regulatory authority, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) issued a set of typical "inspection of illegality"...

Susan Finder

Bitcoin - The View From Lagos

In my research and investing I stress three things: people, structure, and value. I look for companies that are controlled and managed by quality...

Michael McGaughy

Chinese Officials Turn a Blind Eye to Corruption

One of America's most prestigious investment banks was fined hundreds of millions of dollars last year for bribing Chinese officials through its...

Bixmoor

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)