Analyst

Steve

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/want-want-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:355:1" rel="noopener">Want Want (151 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a> are both fairly liquid names in the China consumer staples sector. </li>
<li>Both companies trade at virtually the same forward PE of 14x.  However, I expect Want Want's near term sales growth to be lower than market expectations.  </li>
<li>The upside risk for Want Want could be its overseas expansion efforts, as overseas sales now account for mid to high-single-digit of sales and grew high-teens yoy in FY1H24. </li>
</ul>



Want Want (151 HK) and China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK) are both fairly liquid names in the China consumer staples sector. 
Both companies trade at virtually the same forward PE of 14x.  However, I expect Want Want's near term sales growth to be lower than market expectations.  
The upside risk for Want Want could be its overseas expansion efforts, as overseas sales now account for mid to high-single-digit of sales and grew high-teens yoy in FY1H24. 


Pair Trade:  Want Want (151 HK) And Mengniu (2319 HK)

China Mengniu Dairy Co / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The read-across for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yili-indus-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3220:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) (600887 CH)</a>'s 3Q23 results and briefing to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a> was overall positive. </li>
<li>For 3Q23, Yili's sales grew 3% yoy and net profit increased 59% yoy, mainly due to lower raw milk prices, better product mix, cost savings and low base.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a> continues to be a good value play, with reasonable valuation (15x 2024E PE), stable growth (above 10% net profit growth), and proactive shareholder returns.</li>
</ul>


The read-across for Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) (600887 CH)'s 3Q23 results and briefing to China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK) was overall positive. 
For 3Q23, Yili's sales grew 3% yoy and net profit increased 59% yoy, mainly due to lower raw milk prices, better product mix, cost savings and low base.

China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK) continues to be a good value play, with reasonable valuation (15x 2024E PE), stable growth (above 10% net profit growth), and proactive shareholder returns.


Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK):  Positive Read-Across From Yili 3Q23 Results And Briefing

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 6th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 6th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 6th): Tencent, Aia, Xiaomi

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 15th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Country Garden Services (6098 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Country Garden Services (6098 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 15th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Country Garden Services (6098 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Country Garden Services (6098 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 15th): Tencent, Aia, Country Garden Services

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 1st based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 1st based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 1st): Tencent, Aia, China Petroleum & Chemical

China

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes quality dairy products in China. The principal products are liquid milk products, ice cream, and other dairy products, such as milk powder. The Company markets its products under its primary MENGNIU core brand.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)

Pair Trade: Want Want (151 HK) And Mengniu (2319 HK)

Want Want and China Mengniu Dairy are both liquid names in the China consumer staples sector. However, Want Want's near term sales growth may be...

Steve

Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK): Positive Read-Across From Yili 3Q23 Results And Briefing

Good read-across from Yili's 3Q23 results and briefing. Mengniu continues to be a good value play with reasonable valuation, growth, and proactive...

Steve

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 6th): Tencent, Aia, Xiaomi

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 15th): Tencent, Aia, Country Garden Services

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 1st): Tencent, Aia, China Petroleum & Chemical

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pair Trade: Want Want (151 HK) And Mengniu (2319 HK)

​Want Want and China Mengniu Dairy are both liquid names in the China consumer staples sector. However, Want Want's near term sales growth may be...

Steve

Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK): Positive Read-Across From Yili 3Q23 Results And Briefing

Good read-across from Yili's 3Q23 results and briefing. Mengniu continues to be a good value play with reasonable valuation, growth, and proactive...

Steve

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 6th): Tencent, Aia, Xiaomi

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 15th): Tencent, Aia, Country Garden Services

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 1st): Tencent, Aia, China Petroleum & Chemical

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Want Want and China Mengniu Dairy are both liquid names in the China consumer staples sector. However, Want Want's near term sales growth may be...