Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Benign NPL formation in the latest quarter for China’s banks is not only due to write-offs. More likely, there is a significant amount of rescheduling happening behind the scenes, which is not totally clear on the surface. At the same time, there can be a shifting of certain assets (like loans) into held-to-maturity or other asset accounts, which obfuscate the analysis or need for NPL disclosure. The impact of this will be worsening net interest income and margins, which is what banks are now…

Benign NPL formation in the latest quarter for China’s banks is not only due to write-offs. More likely, there is a significant amount of rescheduling happening behind the scenes, which is not totally clear on the surface. At the same time, there can be a shifting of certain assets (like loans) into held-to-maturity or other asset accounts, which obfuscate the analysis or need for NPL disclosure. The impact of this will be worsening net interest income and margins, which is what banks are now…

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Trends in Technology, Demographics, and Borrowing Will Set the Course of Rates<ul><li class="p1">We hypothesise that three main factors will determine the future course of interest rates.</li><li class="p1">First, the "new economy" characterised by globalisation and technological advancement will have long-lasting effects on the balance of savings and investment and will continue to exert an effect on the demand for capital and labor for years to come.</li><li class="p1">Second, demographic changes—primarily an aging and longer-lived global population—will reduce the savings glut produced by rapid growth of the working-age population in recent decades.</li><li class="p1">Finally, the state of the credit cycle will weigh on consumer and corporate behaviour, as well.</li></ul>Analysts: Jim Sinegal &amp; Eric Compton

Trends in Technology, Demographics, and Borrowing Will Set the Course of RatesWe hypothesise that three main factors will determine the future course of interest rates.First, the "new economy" characterised by globalisation and technological advancement will have long-lasting effects on the balance of savings and investment and will continue to exert an effect on the demand for capital and labor for years to come.Second, demographic changes—primarily an aging and longer-lived global population—will reduce the savings glut produced by rapid growth of the working-age population in recent decades.Finally, the state of the credit cycle will weigh on consumer and corporate behaviour, as well.Analysts: Jim Sinegal &amp; Eric Compton

Financial Services Observer: Solving the Interest Rate Equation

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

In August, average house price increased 13.8% y/y, as measured by the SouFun-CREIS 100 Cities Index, compared to 12.4% the previous month. It is the 13th consecutive month of y/y price growth. On m/m basis, the index in August increased 2.2%, the fastest m/m pace in history, compared to 1.6% in July. It is the 17th straight month of sequential price growth.Simple average price for 100 cities (vs 100 Cities Index) shows a more muted growth rate but with a similar pattern.All Tier 1 cities showed…

In August, average house price increased 13.8% y/y, as measured by the SouFun-CREIS 100 Cities Index, compared to 12.4% the previous month. It is the 13th consecutive month of y/y price growth. On m/m basis, the index in August increased 2.2%, the fastest m/m pace in history, compared to 1.6% in July. It is the 17th straight month of sequential price growth.Simple average price for 100 cities (vs 100 Cities Index) shows a more muted growth rate but with a similar pattern.All Tier 1 cities showed…

China House Prices Keep Rising: 13.8% Y/Y In August Vs 12.4% in July (SouFun 100 Cities Index)

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions, Bixmoor

Bixmoor

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions

Bixmoor specialises in providing bespoke research to business, governments and the financial community on China and neighbouring regions. We seek to build long-term relationships with our clients, based on our expertise, our reliability and our determination to find the right solution.

Suggestions that London's leading role as a hub for forex trading is under threat are much exaggerated. London, and to a lesser extent New York, continue to dominate, despite a small increase in the role of Hong Kong.

Suggestions that London's leading role as a hub for forex trading is under threat are much exaggerated. London, and to a lesser extent New York, continue to dominate, despite a small increase in the role of Hong Kong.

London Continues to Dominate Forex Trading

Over the past 10 years, China property prices, as measured by indices of average prices of new homes sales, have followed in a fairly consistent way the policy cycles of tightening and easing, usually with some lag. Over the past months, there have been more signs of policy tightening, which would typically lead to a slowdown in sales.In August, new home purchase restrictions were announced in Suzhou and Xiamen while more strict credit restrictions were implemented in Wuhan, Nanjing, and Hefei…

Over the past 10 years, China property prices, as measured by indices of average prices of new homes sales, have followed in a fairly consistent way the policy cycles of tightening and easing, usually with some lag. Over the past months, there have been more signs of policy tightening, which would typically lead to a slowdown in sales.In August, new home purchase restrictions were announced in Suzhou and Xiamen while more strict credit restrictions were implemented in Wuhan, Nanjing, and Hefei…

China Property - Further Signs Of Gradual Policy Tightening

China

China Life Insurance Company Ltd. offers a wide range of life, accident, and health insurance products and services.

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China Life Insurance (601628 CH)

China Asset Risk Clear in Margin Data

Benign NPL formation in the latest quarter for China’s banks is not only due to write-offs. More likely, there is a significant amount of...

Daniel Tabbush

Financial Services Observer: Solving the Interest Rate Equation

Trends in Technology, Demographics, and Borrowing Will Set the Course of Rates We hypothesise that three main factors will determine the future...

Morningstar, Inc.

China House Prices Keep Rising: 13.8% Y/Y In August Vs 12.4% in July (SouFun 100 Cities Index)

In August, average house price increased 13.8% y/y, as measured by the SouFun-CREIS 100 Cities Index, compared to 12.4% the previous month. It is...

Robert Ciemniak

London Continues to Dominate Forex Trading

Suggestions that London's leading role as a hub for forex trading is under threat are much exaggerated. London, and to a lesser extent New York,...

Bixmoor

China Property - Further Signs Of Gradual Policy Tightening

Over the past 10 years, China property prices, as measured by indices of average prices of new homes sales, have followed in a fairly consistent...

Robert Ciemniak

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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