Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period nearly complete, we see 7 potential adds and 9 potential deletes at the December rebalance. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a rebalance.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 4.28% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 3.42bn. Index arb activity could add to the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The potential adds have dropped over the last month while the potential deletes have moved higher over the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


The review period nearly complete, we see 7 potential adds and 9 potential deletes at the December rebalance. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a rebalance.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 4.28% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 3.42bn. Index arb activity could add to the impact on the stocks.
The potential adds have dropped over the last month while the potential deletes have moved higher over the last couple of weeks.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Sector Shift as IT and Financials Drop

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sunshine Insurance Group  Lt / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO.
SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Sunshine Insurance Group Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Lacks Growth

<ul>
<li>The selloff in the broader market has led to the A/H premium on PingAn blowing out to levels not seen in the last few years and outpacing the HSASP Index.</li>
<li>At a 24% premium, the risk/reward for a long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a> / short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-group-co-of-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24682:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance Group (601318 CH)</a> trade has never been better.</li>
<li>The shift from A-shares to H-shares is already taking place - Southbound Stock Connect holdings have been increasing while the Northbound Stock Connect holdings have been decreasing.</li>
</ul>


The selloff in the broader market has led to the A/H premium on PingAn blowing out to levels not seen in the last few years and outpacing the HSASP Index.
At a 24% premium, the risk/reward for a long Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK) / short Ping An Insurance Group (601318 CH) trade has never been better.
The shift from A-shares to H-shares is already taking place - Southbound Stock Connect holdings have been increasing while the Northbound Stock Connect holdings have been decreasing.


Ping An A/H Premium: Outpacing the Market

<ul>
<li>Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO.
SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Sunshine Insurance Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Steady Headline Growth

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 127.4% as of Oct 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.8ppt weeok on week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 127.4% as of Oct 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.8ppt weeok on week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 21st): Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life

China

China Life Insurance Company Ltd. offers a wide range of life, accident, and health insurance products and services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Life Insurance (601628 CH)

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Sector Shift as IT and Financials Drop

We forecast 5 changes in December as Energy, Industrials and Materials weights increase and IT and Financials drop. One-way turnover will be over...

Brian Freitas

Sunshine Insurance Group Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Lacks Growth

Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Ping An A/H Premium: Outpacing the Market

The A/H premium on Ping An has reached 24% and that has outpaced the increase in the HSAHP Index. We expect the premium to drop quickly once...

Brian Freitas

Sunshine Insurance Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Steady Headline Growth

Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 21st): Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)