HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The best-of-the-breed constituents are those that outperformed HSI YTD, rallied more than the Index in the Apr-May rebound, and retreated less than the Index in the May-Jun retreat. </li>
<li>Only 4 out of the 82 HSI members made it - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1909:1" rel="noopener">China Hongqiao (1378 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank (939 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International (316 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Their fundamentals look to stay strong, while both valuation and dividend yield appear to remain undemanding despite share price strengths. </li>
</ul>


The best-of-the-breed constituents are those that outperformed HSI YTD, rallied more than the Index in the Apr-May rebound, and retreated less than the Index in the May-Jun retreat. 
Only 4 out of the 82 HSI members made it - China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Tencent (700 HK), China Construction Bank (939 HK), and Orient Overseas International (316 HK). 
Their fundamentals look to stay strong, while both valuation and dividend yield appear to remain undemanding despite share price strengths. 


HK Strategy: What Are the Best-Of-The-Breed Stocks?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a> IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alcoa-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6510:1" rel="noopener">Alcoa (AA US)</a>’s scheme offer (0.02854 Alcoa shares per Alumina share) fair and reasonable as the terms are within its valuation range. </li>
<li>The offer is conditional on FIRB and Alumina/Alcoa shareholder approval. FIRB approval should be forthcoming as Alcoa already owns most of Alumina’s sole assets (AWAC).</li>
<li>The support of the substantive shareholders and the re-rating of Alcoa shares since 12 March (entry into a SID) has materially lowered the vote risk. This is a done deal.</li>
</ul>


The Alumina Ltd (AWC AU) IE considers Alcoa (AA US)’s scheme offer (0.02854 Alcoa shares per Alumina share) fair and reasonable as the terms are within its valuation range. 
The offer is conditional on FIRB and Alumina/Alcoa shareholder approval. FIRB approval should be forthcoming as Alcoa already owns most of Alumina’s sole assets (AWAC).
The support of the substantive shareholders and the re-rating of Alcoa shares since 12 March (entry into a SID) has materially lowered the vote risk. This is a done deal.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$27.2bn this week, on small two-way volumes. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> dominated as it reached dividend ex-date. Other high-div SOEs also saw buying.</li>
<li>It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, and the KPIs for SOE CEOs to raise prices and payout ratios, but it continues.</li>
<li>Valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$27.2bn this week, on small two-way volumes. China Mobile (941 HK) dominated as it reached dividend ex-date. Other high-div SOEs also saw buying.
It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, and the KPIs for SOE CEOs to raise prices and payout ratios, but it continues.
Valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 7 June 2024); China Mobile, Energy, Financials All Bought Bigly

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 7th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, BOC, China Hongqiao, Yankuang Energy.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 7th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, BOC, China Hongqiao, Yankuang Energy.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 7th): China Mobile, Tencent, BOC, China Hongqiao, Yankuang Energy

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 31st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Akeso, China Longyuan, Meituan, Baba, BOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 31st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Akeso, China Longyuan, Meituan, Baba, BOC.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Akeso, China Longyuan, Meituan, Baba, BOC

China

Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. primarily manufactures and markets aluminum products. The Company's products include aluminum ingots, aluminum rolls, and aluminum alloys.

Shandong Nanshan Aluminum Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets aluminum products and worsted woolen products. The Company's major aluminum offerings are electrolytic aluminum and section aluminum. Its woolen products include soybean fiber fabrics, silk fabrics, wool/flax fabrics and cashmere. Shandong also generates and supplies electricity.

Zhaojin Mining Industry Company Ltd. explores, mines, and produces gold.  The Company holds interest in properties in eastern China.

Zhongjin Gold Corp Ltd acquires, explores and develops properties for gold production. The Company's products also include silver, electrolytic copper and sulphuric acid.

Aluminum Corporation of China Limited, also known as Chalco, is a producer of alumina and primary aluminum in China. The Company refines bauxite into alumina and smelts alumina to produce primary aluminum.

Inner Mongolian Baotou Steel Union Co., Ltd. smelts and processes ferrous metal products.  The Company's products include plates, seamless metal tubes, heavy tubes, square steel, wire rods, steel pipes, steel scraps, and other related products.

Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union (600010 CH)

Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Co., Ltd. refines and markets electrolytic copper, gold, and aluminum materials.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures sulfuric acid, as well as trades minerals.

Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group (000630 CH)

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech Co. Ltd. is the consolidation of mining, smelting, separation and utilization companies in the northern region of Inner Mongolia.

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech (600111 CH)

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech

Jiangxi Copper Company Ltd. operates in the copper mining, milling, smelting and refining to produce copper cathode and other related products, including pyrite concentrates, sulphuric acid and electrolytic gold and silver businesses.  The Company also provides smelting and refining services pursuant to tolling arrangements for customers.

Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd. researches and produces lithium products and operates import, export and manufacturing businesses for its own products.  The Company's products include lithium metal, lithium aluminum hydride, lithium fluoride, lithium chloride, and other chemical products of lithium.

United States Steel Corporation operates as an integrated steel producer. The Company manufactures flat-rolled and tubular products with production operations in North America and Europe. United States Steel serves the automotive, appliance, container, industrial machinery, construction, and oil and gas industries.

BlueScope Steel Limited supplies steel products and solutions. The Company manufactures steel slabs, plates, hot and cold rolled coils, and coated and painted strip products for building and construction, automotive, whitegoods, and manufacturing applications. BlueScope Steel serves customers in Asia, Australia, New Zealand, and the United States.

JFE Holdings, Inc. is a holding company which was established through the merger of NKK Corp and Kawasaki Steel Corp.  The Company manages and conducts its subsidiaries' business, which is steel production and integrated engineering services.

Newcrest Mining Limited is a gold mining, exploration and production company. The Company is geographically focused in Australia, the Pacific region and Asia. Newcrest Mining operates projects within six provinces in four countries, focusing on the Cadia East and Lihir MOPU expansion projects and the Wafi Golpu and Namosi greenfield projects.

China Steel Corporation manufactures and markets a variety of steel products. The main products are hot rolled coils and sheets, cold rolled coils and sheets, wire rods, steel plates, and steel bars.

OZ Minerals Ltd. is an Australian based mining company with a focus on copper. The Company owns and operates the Prominent Hill copper-gold mine and the Carrapateena copper-gold project located in South Australia and has a number of equity interests in listed resource companies.

NMDC Limited explores for minerals. The Company is exploring for iron ore, copper, rock phosphate, lime stone, dolomite, gypsum, bentonite, magnesite, diamond, tin, tungsten, graphite, and beach sands.

Northern Star Resources Ltd manufactures precious metals. The Company provides mining and production of gold. Northern Star Resources serves customers in Australia and North America.

Hoa Phat Group JSC is a multi-disciplinary manufacturing company. The Company manufactures a wide range of products, including steel, steel pipe, furniture, and refrigeration equipment.

Alcoa Corporation manufactures metal products. The Company produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products. Alcoa serves aluminum industry worldwide.

China Hongqiao Group Ltd. manufactures aluminum products. The Company's aluminum products consist of molten aluminum alloy, aluminum alloy ingots and aluminum busbars.

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China Hongqiao (1378 HK)

HK Strategy: What Are the Best-Of-The-Breed Stocks?

Only 4 HSI members have outperformed YTD, in the Apr-May rally, and in the May-Jun retreat: China Hongqiao, Tencent, China Construction Bank, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Alumina (AWC AU): Scheme Vote on 18 July

The support of the substantive shareholders and the re-rating of Alcoa shares since 12 March (entry into a SID) has materially lowered the vote...

Arun George

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 7 June 2024); China Mobile, Energy, Financials All Bought Bigly

Big net buying on HK Connect by SOUTHBOUND. This week it was China Mobile (ex-div on 6 June), energy, and financials again. MMG was sold on the...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 7th): China Mobile, Tencent, BOC, China Hongqiao, Yankuang Energy

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, BOC, China Hongqiao, Yankuang Energy.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Akeso, China Longyuan, Meituan, Baba, BOC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 31st and highlight short interest changes in Akeso, China Longyuan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Strategy: What Are the Best-Of-The-Breed Stocks?

​Only 4 HSI members have outperformed YTD, in the Apr-May rally, and in the May-Jun retreat: China Hongqiao, Tencent, China Construction Bank, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Alumina (AWC AU): Scheme Vote on 18 July

The support of the substantive shareholders and the re-rating of Alcoa shares since 12 March (entry into a SID) has materially lowered the vote...

Arun George

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 7 June 2024); China Mobile, Energy, Financials All Bought Bigly

Big net buying on HK Connect by SOUTHBOUND. This week it was China Mobile (ex-div on 6 June), energy, and financials again. MMG was sold on the...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 7th): China Mobile, Tencent, BOC, China Hongqiao, Yankuang Energy

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, BOC, China Hongqiao, Yankuang Energy.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Akeso, China Longyuan, Meituan, Baba, BOC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 31st and highlight short interest changes in Akeso, China Longyuan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Only 4 HSI members have outperformed YTD, in the Apr-May rally, and in the May-Jun retreat: China Hongqiao, Tencent, China Construction Bank, and...