Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We recommend buying MEGA and MAJOR.</li><li>MEGA’s share price has rebounded by more than 5% over the past two weeks on the market’s expectations for a limited impact from Myanmar’s government ordering the suspension of loan repayments in foreign currencies.</li><li>The firm’s 2022E earnings are forecast to grow 8.68% YoY to Bt2,116mn, driven by the depreciation of the baht, the development of new projects and expansion to new markets with low competition.</li></ul>

We recommend buying MEGA and MAJOR.MEGA’s share price has rebounded by more than 5% over the past two weeks on the market’s expectations for a limited impact from Myanmar’s government ordering the suspension of loan repayments in foreign currencies.The firm’s 2022E earnings are forecast to grow 8.68% YoY to Bt2,116mn, driven by the depreciation of the baht, the development of new projects and expansion to new markets with low competition.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>We recommend selling KKP (with the return since it was added to the portfolio at 0.7%) after we added it for just one day, as the stock has fallen out of our top rankings.</li><li>However, long-term investors may consider holding it and stopping losses at Bt64.25.</li><li>We have added EA, as the stock is expected to benefit from the potential growth in the EV industry after it acquired a 23.63% share in BYD, which provides electric bus services.</li></ul>

We recommend selling KKP (with the return since it was added to the portfolio at 0.7%) after we added it for just one day, as the stock has fallen out of our top rankings.However, long-term investors may consider holding it and stopping losses at Bt64.25.We have added EA, as the stock is expected to benefit from the potential growth in the EV industry after it acquired a 23.63% share in BYD, which provides electric bus services.

Big Cap Tactical Picks - Highlights of the Day

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

Equity Bottom-Up

Central Retail Corp Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Maintain BUY recommendation for CRC with a target price of Bt43. We expect the company to report 2Q22 net profit at Bt1.4bn (recovering from a loss YoY, +16%QoQ), </li>
<li>Expect 2Q22 earnings to recover to profit We 2Q22 earnings is expected to recover from net loss of Bt471m in 2Q21 to profit at Bt1.4bn(+16%QoQ)as a result of a recovery</li>
<li>We expect CRC to post 2Q22 revenue at Bt52.7bn(+22%YoY, +1%QoQ), driven by 1) an expected positive SSSG in all segments comprise of food segment at +17%YoY, hardline segment at +2%YoY</li>
</ul>


Maintain BUY recommendation for CRC with a target price of Bt43. We expect the company to report 2Q22 net profit at Bt1.4bn (recovering from a loss YoY, +16%QoQ), 
Expect 2Q22 earnings to recover to profit We 2Q22 earnings is expected to recover from net loss of Bt471m in 2Q21 to profit at Bt1.4bn(+16%QoQ)as a result of a recovery
We expect CRC to post 2Q22 revenue at Bt52.7bn(+22%YoY, +1%QoQ), driven by 1) an expected positive SSSG in all segments comprise of food segment at +17%YoY, hardline segment at +2%YoY


CRC : Expect 2Q22 Performance to Turn to Profit

<ul>
<li>Last week analyst meeting came out with neutral tone.We reiterate our BUY rating for CRC with a target price of Bt43.0,based on DCF (WACC of 8.2% and TG of 2%)</li>
<li>Management maintained its key 2022 financial guidance. CRC targeted 2022 sales growth of 15%-20%YoY, mainly from fashion business and targeted GPM retail sales to expend by 100-120bps YoY.</li>
<li>•CRC showed three measures to mitigate the effect from uncertainties under global issue such as(1)cost optimization by controlling OPEX growth to not be higher than 50% of total sales growth</li>
</ul>


Last week analyst meeting came out with neutral tone.We reiterate our BUY rating for CRC with a target price of Bt43.0,based on DCF (WACC of 8.2% and TG of 2%)
Management maintained its key 2022 financial guidance. CRC targeted 2022 sales growth of 15%-20%YoY, mainly from fashion business and targeted GPM retail sales to expend by 100-120bps YoY.
•CRC showed three measures to mitigate the effect from uncertainties under global issue such as(1)cost optimization by controlling OPEX growth to not be higher than 50% of total sales growth


CRC: Growth Momentum Intact Despite Uncertainties

<ul>
<li>We reiterate our BUY rating for CRC with a target price of Bt43.0, based on DCF (WACC of 8.2% and TG of 2%), implying 35xPE’23E, close to Thai commerce sector.</li>
<li>We expect CRC to report 1Q22 net profit at Bt1.2bn (+208%YoY, -48%QoQ).</li>
<li>YoY growth will be supported by a recovery in sales from fashion business both Thailand and Italy, a solid demand recovery from tourism related parties, and government stimulus </li>
</ul>


We reiterate our BUY rating for CRC with a target price of Bt43.0, based on DCF (WACC of 8.2% and TG of 2%), implying 35xPE’23E, close to Thai commerce sector.
We expect CRC to report 1Q22 net profit at Bt1.2bn (+208%YoY, -48%QoQ).
YoY growth will be supported by a recovery in sales from fashion business both Thailand and Italy, a solid demand recovery from tourism related parties, and government stimulus 


CRC: Expect Strong Earnings Growth YoY in 1Q22

Thailand

Home Product Center Public Company Limited is a retailer of building materials and home improvement products.

Siam Global House PCL is a retailer of home related products for construction, repair, decoration, and renovation. The Company sells construction materials, hand tools, furniture, and garden tools.

Com7 Public Company Limited operates a chain of retail outlets that imports, retails, and distributes computers and IT-related products in Thailand. The Company offers products, such as smartphones, tablets, notebooks, and computer sets. Com7 also offers computer components, such as CPUs, hard drives, and network and accessories.

Dohome Public Company Limited operates as a furnishing store. The Company retails hardware, tools, agricultural machinery, furniture, hvac equipment, and other related products. Dohome serves customers in Thailand.

Saha Pathanapibul Public Company Limited distributes consumer products including toiletries, instant noodles, detergents, canned foods, snacks and candies. The Company markets more than 100 brands of products such as Mama instantnoodles, Pao detergents, and Kodomo baby powder and lotion.

Saha Pathanapibul Public Company Limited (SPC TB)

I.C.C. International Public Company Limited imports and distributes a variety of products including cosmetics, clothing for men, women and children, sporting goods, footwear, food, beverages, as well as sewing machines, computers, fax machines, electric appliances, and medical equipment.

PTG Energy PCL provides ready-made gasoline at retail stations. The Company operates gasoline tank farms and gasoline retail stations throughout Thailand.

Singer Thailand Public Company Limited assembles and distributes Singer brand household appliances such as sewing machines, refrigerators, televisions, washing machines, stereos, VCRs and gas stoves.  The Company has its own retail network and offers installment financing to its customers.

Minor International PCL is a global company focused on three primary businesses including restaurants, hotels and lifestyle brands distribution.

Central Plaza Hotel Public Company Limited owns and manages hotels and quick service restaurants. The Company operates its hotels under the banner of Centara Hotels & Resorts and franchises western and Japanese quick service restaurants.

Harvey Norman Holdings Limited is a holding company for companies and trusts in a third party franchise agreement. The franchises operate stores under the name "Harvey Norman Discounts," selling home wares and electrical goods. The Company also provides advisory and advertising to the franchises. In addition, the Company provides consumer finance and has property investments.

Hainan Island Construction Co Ltd.  is a property development company. The Company also operates regional malls and hotels.

RYOHIN KEIKAKU CO., LTD. is a retailer and wholesaler of Mujirushi Ryohin brand products, which were originally a generic private-brand product.  The Company's product line includes knitwear, food, and household items

Guangzhou Friendship Group Co., Ltd operates supermarkets and department stores in Guangzhou, China.  The Company sells a variety of consumer products, including apparel, food and beverages, electronics, jewelry, cosmetics, and electric appliances.  Guangzhou Friendship also leases real estate properties.

Guangzhou Friendship Group Co, Ltd. (000987 CH)

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates a chain of retail stores that offers brand name products at discounted and closeout prices. The Company provides products, including housewares, food, books and stationery, bed and bath, floor coverings, toys, and hardware.

Ollie'S Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI US)

Dillard's, Inc. operates retail department stores located primarily in the southwestern, southeastern, and midwestern United States. The Company offers name-brand and private-label merchandise, including fashion apparel and home furnishings.

Macy's, Inc. operates department stores in the United States.  The Company also operates direct mail catalog and electronic commerce subsidiaries. Macy's retail stores sell a wide range of merchandise, including men's, women's and children's apparel and accessories, cosmetics, home furnishings and other consumer goods.

Nordstrom, Inc. is a fashion retailer of apparel, shoes, and accessories for men, women, and children.  The Company operates through multiple retail channels, discount stores, boutiques, catalogs, and on the Internet. Nordstrom, Inc. also offers, through a subsidiary, private label card credit and debit cards.

B&M European Value Retail S.A. operates as a general merchandise discount retailer. The Company sells products ranging electronics to home goods.

Canadian Tire Corporation Limited is a family of businesses that includes a retail segment, a financial services division and CT REIT. The Company's retail business provides Canadians with products for life in Canada across its living, playing, fixing, automotive and seasonal categories. Canadian Tire Corporation's  retail products include casual, industrial and active wear.

Central Retail Corp Ltd operates general merchandise stores. The Company offers electronics, sports, stationery, home improvement, and office products. Central Retail serves customers in Thailand.

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Central Retail Corp Ltd (CRC TB)

Big Cap Tactical Picks - Aug 3, 2022

MEGA’s share price has rebounded by more than 5% over the past two weeks on the market’s expectations for a limited impact from Myanmar’s government

Krungthai XSpring

Big Cap Tactical Picks - Highlights of the Day

We recommend selling KKP (with the return since it was added to the portfolio at 0.7%) after we added it for just one day, as the stock has fallen...

Krungthai XSpring

CRC : Expect 2Q22 Performance to Turn to Profit

Maintain BUY recommendation for CRC with a target price of Bt43. We expect the company to report 2Q22 net profit at Bt1.4bn (recovering from a loss...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

CRC: Growth Momentum Intact Despite Uncertainties

Last week analyst meeting came out with neutral tone. We reiterate our BUY rating for CRC with a target price of Bt43.0, based on DCF (WACC of 8.2%...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

CRC: Expect Strong Earnings Growth YoY in 1Q22

We reiterate our BUY rating for CRC with a target price of Bt43.0, based on DCF (WACC of 8.2% and TG of 2%), implying 35xPE’23E, close to Thai...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

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