Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>Cuscaden Peak minimum chain offer price for each <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a> unit stands at S$96.4c</h3>
<ul>
<li>The minimum chain offer price, which consortium Cuscaden Peak will have to offer for each SPHREIT if its acquisition bid for Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) succeeds is S$96.4c, fully in cash. The consortium had made a surprise rival bid to privatise SPH, following an earlier offer from Keppel Corp (KEP SP). Such an acquisition would take place by way of a scheme of arrangement. Subject to the finalisation of the terms of such a scheme, the completion of Cuscaden's proposed cash acquisition would result in an obligation for it to undertake a chain offer for all SPHREIT units as well, in accordance with the Singapore Code on Take-overs and Mergers</li>
<li>The minimum chain offer price shall be the simple average of the daily volume-weighted average traded prices of SPHREIT units, on either the latest 20 trading days, or whatever number of trading days there were within 30 calendar days before the announcement of the possible offer. The chain offer will not be made unless and until the possible scheme becomes effective in accordance with its terms, or – if Cuscaden undertakes the proposed acquisition in another method – is declared effective or unconditional, and/or is completed. Cuscaden's offer for SPH is S$2.10 per share in cash. Cuscaden comprises Hotel Properties, businessman Ong Beng Seng and two Temasek-linked entities – CLA Real Estate Holdings and Mapletree. Its proposal still needs to be accepted by the board of SPH.</li>
</ul>

Singapore
Cuscaden Peak minimum chain offer price for each SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP) unit stands at S$96.4c

The minimum chain offer price, which consortium Cuscaden Peak will have to offer for each SPHREIT if its acquisition bid for Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) succeeds is S$96.4c, fully in cash. The consortium had made a surprise rival bid to privatise SPH, following an earlier offer from Keppel Corp (KEP SP). Such an acquisition would take place by way of a scheme of arrangement. Subject to the finalisation of the terms of such a scheme, the completion of Cuscaden's proposed cash acquisition would result in an obligation for it to undertake a chain offer for all SPHREIT units as well, in accordance with the Singapore Code on Take-overs and Mergers
The minimum chain offer price shall be the simple average of the daily volume-weighted average traded prices of SPHREIT units, on either the latest 20 trading days, or whatever number of trading days there were within 30 calendar days before the announcement of the possible offer. The chain offer will not be made unless and until the possible scheme becomes effective in accordance with its terms, or – if Cuscaden undertakes the proposed acquisition in another method – is declared effective or unconditional, and/or is completed. Cuscaden's offer for SPH is S$2.10 per share in cash. Cuscaden comprises Hotel Properties, businessman Ong Beng Seng and two Temasek-linked entities – CLA Real Estate Holdings and Mapletree. Its proposal still needs to be accepted by the board of SPH.


ASEAN Builder's Scoop (2Nov21) - Cuscaden Peak Chain Offer for SPHREIT

<h2>Singapore</h2>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/236/273/original/image_54776601321634694560432.png?1634694565" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="236273"></figure><ul><li><h3></h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ascendas-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39" rel="noopener">Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust (AREIT SP)</a> 3Q21 Business Updates; Robust reversions while on virtuous cycle of inorganic growth (BUY; TP S$3.55/unit)</li><li>3Q21 revenue, NPI and DPU were undisclosed. AREIT has completed the development of the Grab Headquarters, with a total development cost of S$184.6m. Divestment of two Australian logistics properties has also been completed at a price of S$104.5m (AUD101.6m)</li></ul>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust (AREIT SP) 3Q21 Business Updates; Robust reversions while on virtuous cycle of inorganic growth (BUY; TP S$3.55/unit)3Q21 revenue, NPI and DPU were undisclosed. AREIT has completed the development of the Grab Headquarters, with a total development cost of S$184.6m. Divestment of two Australian logistics properties has also been completed at a price of S$104.5m (AUD101.6m)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3><table class="table table-striped"><tbody><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;"> </td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">AREIT</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">MINT</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">AAREIT</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">EREIT</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 13px;">Period</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 13px;">1H21</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 13px;">1Q22</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 13px;">1Q22</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 13px;">2Q21</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 13px;">Gross Revenue (S$ m)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 13px;">586.0 (+12.4% YoY)</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 13px;">128.1 (+29.2% YoY)</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 13px;">31.8 (+16.8% YoY)</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 13px;">59.5 (+6.25% YoY)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">NPI (S$ m)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">445.6 (+14.8% YoY)</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">104.7 (+33.1% YoY)</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">23.1 (+23.9% YoY)</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">42.9 (+9.4% YoY)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">DPU (S$ c)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">7.66 (+5.4% YoY)</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">3.35 (+16.7% YoY)</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">2.25 (+12.5% YoY)</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">0.754 (13.9% YoY)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">NAV per Unit (S$)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">2.27</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">1.75</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">1.35</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">0.398</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">P/B (x)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">1.37</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">1.65</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">1.15</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">1.1</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">Occupancy (%)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">91.3</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">94.3 (Overall); 97.8 (North American); 93.4 (Singapore)</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">95.7</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">91.7</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 6px;">Reversion (%)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 6px;">6.4</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 6px;">Not Disclosed</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 6px;">Not disclosed</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 6px;">-0.2</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">Gearing (%)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">37.6</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">31</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">34.3</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">42.9</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">Cost of Debt (%)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">2.4</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">2.7</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">2.8</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">3.24</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">5.06</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">4.69</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">6.1</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">7.05</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">Debt Hedged (%)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">75.2</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">95.8</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">77.2</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">75</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">Target Price</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">Under Review</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">N/A</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">Under Review</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">N/A</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 13px;">Rating</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 13px;">Under Review</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 13px;">N/A</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 13px;">Under Review</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 13px;">Under Review</td></tr></tbody></table>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached) AREITMINTAAREITEREITPeriod1H211Q221Q222Q21Gross Revenue (S$ m)586.0 (+12.4% YoY)128.1 (+29.2% YoY)31.8 (+16.8% YoY)59.5 (+6.25% YoY)NPI (S$ m)445.6 (+14.8% YoY)104.7 (+33.1% YoY)23.1 (+23.9% YoY)42.9 (+9.4% YoY)DPU (S$ c)7.66 (+5.4% YoY)3.35 (+16.7% YoY)2.25 (+12.5% YoY)0.754 (13.9% YoY)NAV per Unit (S$)2.271.751.350.398P/B (x)1.371.651.151.1Occupancy (%)91.394.3 (Overall); 97.8 (North American); 93.4 (Singapore)95.791.7Reversion (%)6.4Not DisclosedNot disclosed-0.2Gearing (%)37.63134.342.9Cost of Debt (%)2.42.72.83.241 Yr Fwd Yield (%)5.064.696.17.05Debt Hedged (%)75.295.877.275Target PriceUnder ReviewN/AUnder ReviewN/ARatingUnder ReviewN/AUnder ReviewUnder Review

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (03Aug21) - AREIT Boosted by DPU-Accretive Acq

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prime-us-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28144" rel="noopener">Prime US REIT (PRIME SP)</a> in talks with WeWork on proposed lease restructuring</h3><ul><li>Co-working space operator WeWork has approached PRIME with a proposal to restructure its lease at the latter's Class-A office property in California, and discussions are ongoing. The tenant occupies 56,977sqft within Tower I at Emeryville, out of the building's NLA of 222,606sqft. The tenant contributes less than 2.5% of PRIME's cash rental income as at end-Mar. It added that the tenant has been current on its rental obligations till mid-Jun21, and the lease terms are currently under evaluation</li><li>PRIME has called on the tenant to continue to meet its rental obligations, and also called upon the existing security package for the payment of such obligations. PRIME's security in relation to that WeWork lease consists of a combination of protections. If the counterparty honours its obligations, such protections will cover the tenant's monthly lease obligations through as much as end-2022. PRIME does not expect the matter to have any impact on the distribution per unit of PRIME for FY21, in light of the security. Based on the independent valuation sought, this will not materially affect the value of PRIME's portfolio as compared to the portfolio appraisal conducted as at last Dec.</li></ul>

SingaporePrime US REIT (PRIME SP) in talks with WeWork on proposed lease restructuringCo-working space operator WeWork has approached PRIME with a proposal to restructure its lease at the latter's Class-A office property in California, and discussions are ongoing. The tenant occupies 56,977sqft within Tower I at Emeryville, out of the building's NLA of 222,606sqft. The tenant contributes less than 2.5% of PRIME's cash rental income as at end-Mar. It added that the tenant has been current on its rental obligations till mid-Jun21, and the lease terms are currently under evaluationPRIME has called on the tenant to continue to meet its rental obligations, and also called upon the existing security package for the payment of such obligations. PRIME's security in relation to that WeWork lease consists of a combination of protections. If the counterparty honours its obligations, such protections will cover the tenant's monthly lease obligations through as much as end-2022. PRIME does not expect the matter to have any impact on the distribution per unit of PRIME for FY21, in light of the security. Based on the independent valuation sought, this will not materially affect the value of PRIME's portfolio as compared to the portfolio appraisal conducted as at last Dec.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (18Jun21) - PRIME/WeWork Lease Restructuring

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ascendas-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39" rel="noopener">Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust (AREIT SP)</a> to divest three properties in Australia for ~4.1% NPI yield (BUY; TP S$3.55/unit)</h3>AREIT will divest three logistics properties in Australia for a total of AUD125.1m (S$128.7m). The sale price is ~16.8% higher than the total market valuations of the properties of AUD101.1m as at 31Dec20. The divestments are expected to be completed by 3Q21. AREIT had entered into two separate agreements with unrelated purchasers for the sale of two logistics properties (82 Noosa Street and 62 Stradbroke Street) in Brisbane; and one logistics property (1314 Ferntree Gully Road) in Melbourne. Assuming the divestments were completed on 1Jan20, the annualised proforma impact on AREIT’s NPI would have been a decrease of S$5.1m and DPU would have fallen by S$0.075c for FY20. Net proceeds after divestment costs are expected to be S$124.0m. If the net proceeds were used to repay AREIT’s borrowings as at 31Mar, its gearing will be reduced from 38% to around 37.5%. Post-divestment, AREIT will own 95 properties in Singapore, 34 properties in Australia, 30 properties in the US and 49 properties in the UK/Europe. <table class="table table-striped"><tbody><tr><td style="width: 59.3438px;">Asset</td><td style="width: 48.4375px;">Asset Type</td><td style="width: 45.9375px;">FY20 Gross Revenue</td><td style="width: 59.5781px;">NLA as at 31Dec20</td><td style="width: 59.5625px;">Occupancy as at 31Dec20</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">Acquisition Date</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">Acquisition Price</td><td style="width: 101.734px;">Valuation as at 31Dec20(A$1.000:S$0.980)</td><td style="width: 94.9219px;">Sale Price(A$1.00:S$1.029)</td><td style="width: 63.7188px;">Buyer</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 59.3438px;">82 Noosa Street, Brisbane, Australia</td><td style="width: 48.4375px;">Logistics</td><td style="width: 45.9375px;">S$3.3m</td><td style="width: 59.5781px;">38,000sqm</td><td style="width: 59.5625px;">100%</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">Oct15</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">S$66.0m</td><td style="width: 101.734px;">A$53.0m (S$51.9m)</td><td rowspan="2" style="width: 94.9219px;">A$101.6m (S$104.5m)or A$1,624psqm</td><td rowspan="2" style="width: 63.7188px;">SIRE (Strategic Industrial Real Estate), an Arrow Capital Partners vehicle in cooperation with Altis Property Partners</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 59.3438px;">62 Stradbroke Street, Brisbane, Australia</td><td style="width: 48.4375px;">Logistics</td><td style="width: 45.9375px;">S$2.6m</td><td style="width: 59.5781px;">24,555sqm</td><td style="width: 59.5625px;">100%</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">Oct15</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">S$35.9m</td><td style="width: 101.734px;">A$37.4m (S$36.7m)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 59.3438px;">1314 Ferntree Gully Road, Melbourne, Australia</td><td style="width: 48.4375px;">Logistics</td><td style="width: 45.9375px;">S$0.5m</td><td style="width: 59.5781px;">16,134sqm</td><td style="width: 59.5625px;">100%</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">Jun18</td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">S$16.4m</td><td style="width: 101.734px;">A$16.6m (S$16.3m)</td><td style="width: 94.9219px;">A$23.5m (S$24.2m)or A$1,500psqm</td><td style="width: 63.7188px;">China Tube Pty Ltd and Haelram Pty Ltd</td></tr><tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 128.781px;">TOTAL</td><td style="width: 45.9375px;">S$6.4m</td><td style="width: 59.5781px;"> </td><td style="width: 59.5625px;"> </td><td style="width: 60.6406px;"> </td><td style="width: 60.6406px;">S$118.3m</td><td style="width: 101.734px;">A$107.1m (S$104.9m)</td><td style="width: 94.9219px;">A$125.1m (S$128.7m)</td><td style="width: 63.7188px;"> </td></tr></tbody></table>Comments:<ul><li>Taking reference from FY20 AUS Portfolio NPI Margin of 79.0%, the blended NPI yield based on S$128.7m Sale Price would be ~3.9%. Note that comparing the exchange rate adopted for Sale Price vs. Valuation as at 31Dec20, the AUD has strengthen ~5%. Using the 31Dec20 exchange rate, the blended NPI yield would be ~4.1%. Together with its recent divestment of 11 Changi North Way (at S$16.0m), AREIT would have a total divestment proceeds S$144.7m and booking total S$33.8m divestment gain</li><li>Moving forward, we expect AREIT’s DPU to be propelled by both organic and inorganic growth while it reconstitute its portfolio. Notwithstanding the S$1.19bn worth of acquisitions in 1Q21 (estimated to be 1.5% DPU accretive) and the acquisition of remaining 75% of Galaxis (estimated to be 0.40% DPU accretive), the new BTS business park development for Grab as well as UBIX redevelopment (formerly 25 &amp; 27 Ubi Road 4) should start contributing by 2H21 (expected to add S$14.2m to NPI on a full-year basis at 6.4%-7.5% NPI yields)</li><li>We believe AREIT remains in a virtuous cycle of growth. The S$420.0m EFR exercise in 4May21 as well as repayment debt utilizing the divestment proceeds should lower its gearing. With greater financial flexibility, relatively low cost of equity and low interest rate environment, AREIT has further scope for inorganic growth. We have a BUY rating with TP of S$3.55/Unit.</li></ul>

SingaporeAscendas Real Estate Investment Trust (AREIT SP) to divest three properties in Australia for ~4.1% NPI yield (BUY; TP S$3.55/unit)AREIT will divest three logistics properties in Australia for a total of AUD125.1m (S$128.7m). The sale price is ~16.8% higher than the total market valuations of the properties of AUD101.1m as at 31Dec20. The divestments are expected to be completed by 3Q21. AREIT had entered into two separate agreements with unrelated purchasers for the sale of two logistics properties (82 Noosa Street and 62 Stradbroke Street) in Brisbane; and one logistics property (1314 Ferntree Gully Road) in Melbourne. Assuming the divestments were completed on 1Jan20, the annualised proforma impact on AREIT’s NPI would have been a decrease of S$5.1m and DPU would have fallen by S$0.075c for FY20. Net proceeds after divestment costs are expected to be S$124.0m. If the net proceeds were used to repay AREIT’s borrowings as at 31Mar, its gearing will be reduced from 38% to around 37.5%. Post-divestment, AREIT will own 95 properties in Singapore, 34 properties in Australia, 30 properties in the US and 49 properties in the UK/Europe. AssetAsset TypeFY20 Gross RevenueNLA as at 31Dec20Occupancy as at 31Dec20Acquisition DateAcquisition PriceValuation as at 31Dec20(A$1.000:S$0.980)Sale Price(A$1.00:S$1.029)Buyer82 Noosa Street, Brisbane, AustraliaLogisticsS$3.3m38,000sqm100%Oct15S$66.0mA$53.0m (S$51.9m)A$101.6m (S$104.5m)or A$1,624psqmSIRE (Strategic Industrial Real Estate), an Arrow Capital Partners vehicle in cooperation with Altis Property Partners62 Stradbroke Street, Brisbane, AustraliaLogisticsS$2.6m24,555sqm100%Oct15S$35.9mA$37.4m (S$36.7m)1314 Ferntree Gully Road, Melbourne, AustraliaLogisticsS$0.5m16,134sqm100%Jun18S$16.4mA$16.6m (S$16.3m)A$23.5m (S$24.2m)or A$1,500psqmChina Tube Pty Ltd and Haelram Pty LtdTOTALS$6.4m   S$118.3mA$107.1m (S$104.9m)A$125.1m (S$128.7m) Comments:Taking reference from FY20 AUS Portfolio NPI Margin of 79.0%, the blended NPI yield based on S$128.7m Sale Price would be ~3.9%. Note that comparing the exchange rate adopted for Sale Price vs. Valuation as at 31Dec20, the AUD has strengthen ~5%. Using the 31Dec20 exchange rate, the blended NPI yield would be ~4.1%. Together with its recent divestment of 11 Changi North Way (at S$16.0m), AREIT would have a total divestment proceeds S$144.7m and booking total S$33.8m divestment gainMoving forward, we expect AREIT’s DPU to be propelled by both organic and inorganic growth while it reconstitute its portfolio. Notwithstanding the S$1.19bn worth of acquisitions in 1Q21 (estimated to be 1.5% DPU accretive) and the acquisition of remaining 75% of Galaxis (estimated to be 0.40% DPU accretive), the new BTS business park development for Grab as well as UBIX redevelopment (formerly 25 &amp; 27 Ubi Road 4) should start contributing by 2H21 (expected to add S$14.2m to NPI on a full-year basis at 6.4%-7.5% NPI yields)We believe AREIT remains in a virtuous cycle of growth. The S$420.0m EFR exercise in 4May21 as well as repayment debt utilizing the divestment proceeds should lower its gearing. With greater financial flexibility, relatively low cost of equity and low interest rate environment, AREIT has further scope for inorganic growth. We have a BUY rating with TP of S$3.55/Unit.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (4Jun21) - AREIT Divesting 3 AUS Props for ~4.1% Yield

Singapore

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT is an industrial real estate investment trust. The Trust invests in business and science park properties, integrated development, amenities, and retail (IDAR) properties, high-specifications industrial properties and data centers, light industrial and flatted factories, and logistics and distribution centers.

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CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR SP)

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ASEAN Builder's Scoop (18Jun21) - PRIME/WeWork Lease Restructuring

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ASEAN Builder's Scoop (4Jun21) - AREIT Divesting 3 AUS Props for ~4.1% Yield

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