Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<p>During the month of February 2021, one of the most anticipated TOPIX Inclusion candidates, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> completed its TOPIX Inclusion Event. We also saw four new names announce their TSE1 moves during this month, among which was <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/faithnetwork-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29132:1" rel="noopener">FaithNetwork Co Ltd (3489 JP)</a> the third stock out of the four pre-event bets highlighted in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/topix-inclusion-trade-summary-sep-2020" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43700" rel="noopener">TOPIX Inclusion Trade Summary: Sep 2020</a>. During this month, we also introduced new pre-event picks to be added to our list in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/topix-inclusions-who-is-ready-3-0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48306" rel="noopener">TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is READY? 3.0</a>. </p><p>In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 4 "Live" event stocks which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of March/April 2021 and 17 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of January 2021 and February 2021. </p>

During the month of February 2021, one of the most anticipated TOPIX Inclusion candidates, Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) completed its TOPIX Inclusion Event. We also saw four new names announce their TSE1 moves during this month, among which was FaithNetwork Co Ltd (3489 JP) the third stock out of the four pre-event bets highlighted in TOPIX Inclusion Trade Summary: Sep 2020. During this month, we also introduced new pre-event picks to be added to our list in TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is READY? 3.0. In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 4 "Live" event stocks which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of March/April 2021 and 17 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of January 2021 and February 2021. 

<div><p>There are currently ~1,500 stocks listed in the Mothers, JASDAQ, and Second Sections of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. As time passes, some of these stocks will "graduate" to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE1), triggering inclusion into the TOPIX Index causing passive funds tracking TOPIX to buy them on an inclusion event. This presents various trading opportunities in several phases of this event timeline.  </p></div><div>
<p>Being able to identify such candidates at a "Pre-event" phase (before the TSE reassignment is confirmed) can unlock great value for speculative bets. Smartkarma readers familiar with the work of Quiddity Advisors will be able to recall the attractive rewards <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinnihonseiyaku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28122:1" rel="noopener">Shinnihonseiyaku Co Ltd (4931 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gremz-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1858:1" rel="noopener">Gremz Inc (3150 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sansan-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28112:1" rel="noopener">Sansan Inc (4443 JP)</a> were able to deliver in their pre-event phases. </p>
<p>This insight is a continuation of our work in identifying such pre-event candidates.</p>
<p><em>More below the fold</em>  </p>
</div>

There are currently ~1,500 stocks listed in the Mothers, JASDAQ, and Second Sections of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. As time passes, some of these stocks will "graduate" to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE1), triggering inclusion into the TOPIX Index causing passive funds tracking TOPIX to buy them on an inclusion event. This presents various trading opportunities in several phases of this event timeline.  
Being able to identify such candidates at a "Pre-event" phase (before the TSE reassignment is confirmed) can unlock great value for speculative bets. Smartkarma readers familiar with the work of Quiddity Advisors will be able to recall the attractive rewards Shinnihonseiyaku Co Ltd (4931 JP), Gremz Inc (3150 JP), and Sansan Inc (4443 JP) were able to deliver in their pre-event phases. 
This insight is a continuation of our work in identifying such pre-event candidates.
More below the fold  


<p>In the month of January 2021, one of the most anticipated TOPIX Inclusion candidates, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> announced its move to TSE1 triggering what could potentially be one of the largest TOPIX Inclusion events in recent memory. The stock could see its TOPIX Inclusion take place at the end of February, along with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sansan-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28112:1" rel="noopener">Sansan Inc (4443 JP)</a> - another larger-than-usual candidate - and two other super-high-impact names <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bull-dog-sauce-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16235:1" rel="noopener">Bull Dog Sauce (2804 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alps-logistics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3935:1" rel="noopener">Alps Logistics (9055 JP)</a>. There is plenty to look forward to. </p><p>In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 6 "Live" event stocks (including the names mentioned above) which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of February 2021 and 14 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of December 2020 and January 2021 (on 28 January 2021).</p><p>Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. </p>

In the month of January 2021, one of the most anticipated TOPIX Inclusion candidates, Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) announced its move to TSE1 triggering what could potentially be one of the largest TOPIX Inclusion events in recent memory. The stock could see its TOPIX Inclusion take place at the end of February, along with Sansan Inc (4443 JP) - another larger-than-usual candidate - and two other super-high-impact names Bull Dog Sauce (2804 JP) and Alps Logistics (9055 JP). There is plenty to look forward to. In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 6 "Live" event stocks (including the names mentioned above) which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of February 2021 and 14 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of December 2020 and January 2021 (on 28 January 2021).Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. 

<p>With the Section Transfer Requirements to move to TSE1 becoming more stringent, some small-cap candidates have been rushing to enter TSE1 so that they can avoid having to face the new regulations under which they may struggle to qualify. This trend has resulted in a "<em>flurry</em>" of TOPIX Inclusion Trades in the month of December 2020 as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/travis-lundy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:25" rel="noopener">Travis Lundy</a> predicted in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/the-tse-s-listing-criteria-revisions-part-i" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43150" rel="noopener">The TSE's Listing Criteria Revisions - Part I</a>.</p>
<blockquote>
<p>For index inclusion and event traders taking advantage of a large number of interesting trades, the number will suddenly go waaaay down. This means <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA</a> likely has a flurry of interesting trade ideas to read about in the next few months, but after about March next year, things will drop off in a hurry.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 11 "Live" event stocks which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of January 2021 and 6 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of November 2020 and December 2020. Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. </p>

With the Section Transfer Requirements to move to TSE1 becoming more stringent, some small-cap candidates have been rushing to enter TSE1 so that they can avoid having to face the new regulations under which they may struggle to qualify. This trend has resulted in a "flurry" of TOPIX Inclusion Trades in the month of December 2020 as Travis Lundy predicted in The TSE's Listing Criteria Revisions - Part I.

For index inclusion and event traders taking advantage of a large number of interesting trades, the number will suddenly go waaaay down. This means Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA likely has a flurry of interesting trade ideas to read about in the next few months, but after about March next year, things will drop off in a hurry.

In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 11 "Live" event stocks which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of January 2021 and 6 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of November 2020 and December 2020. Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. 

Quantitative Analysis

<div>
<p>When Japanese small-cap stocks listed on JASDAQ, MOTHERS, and the Second Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange aim at the big leagues and apply for reassignment to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange and are accepted, it causes significant events to occur. This triggers inclusion into the TOPIX Index which means passive funds tracking TOPIX need to buy on an inclusion event. This opens up several interesting trading opportunities for investors. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 7 "Live" event stocks which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of December 2020 or January 2021 and 8 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of October 2020 and November 2020. Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. </p>
</div>


When Japanese small-cap stocks listed on JASDAQ, MOTHERS, and the Second Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange aim at the big leagues and apply for reassignment to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange and are accepted, it causes significant events to occur. This triggers inclusion into the TOPIX Index which means passive funds tracking TOPIX need to buy on an inclusion event. This opens up several interesting trading opportunities for investors. 


In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 7 "Live" event stocks which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of December 2020 or January 2021 and 8 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of October 2020 and November 2020. Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. 


Japan

Bushiroad Inc. designs, develops, and promotes games. The Company produces trading card games, mobile online games, game videos, and games' events. Bushiroad also provides IP planning and development, professional wrestling events, and other services.

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Bushiroad Inc (7803 JP)

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