TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Crowdstrike continues to put up impressive quarterly results and guidance that blows away even heightened expectations. The two high profile cyber hacks in the past few months have given a major tailwind to FY2022...and despite guiding 1000bps ahead of consensus revenue growth, we expect 50% growth to be conservative. We remain long. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.  </p></div>

Crowdstrike continues to put up impressive quarterly results and guidance that blows away even heightened expectations. The two high profile cyber hacks in the past few months have given a major tailwind to FY2022...and despite guiding 1000bps ahead of consensus revenue growth, we expect 50% growth to be conservative. We remain long. Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.  

<div><p>When we first began writing about Crowdstrike last summer, we saw a company with a beautiful business model that could generate very high incremental margins over time because of its cloud based architecture...collect data once, monetize many times. This quarter was incredibly strong by any measure, but what really stood out in our work is Crowdstrike's best in class combination of revenue growth and profitability.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.</p></div></div></div>

When we first began writing about Crowdstrike last summer, we saw a company with a beautiful business model that could generate very high incremental margins over time because of its cloud based architecture...collect data once, monetize many times. This quarter was incredibly strong by any measure, but what really stood out in our work is Crowdstrike's best in class combination of revenue growth and profitability.Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.

Crowdstrike 3Q21: Like Shooting Fish in a Barrel

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) for September have been released, and they indicate that 2020 will see modest revenue growth despite the COVID-19 pandemic.  This is a pleasant surprise given that so many people are currently unable to work or to spend money on their favorite activities.</p>

The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) for September have been released, and they indicate that 2020 will see modest revenue growth despite the COVID-19 pandemic.  This is a pleasant surprise given that so many people are currently unable to work or to spend money on their favorite activities.

September Semiconductor Stats In: 2020 Growth Despite Pandemic

<p>The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics for August have just been released, and revenues increased for the second sequential month, a positive sign in a puzzling year.  All in all, it appears that the semiconductor sector is faring well despite the pandemic.  It's far too soon to call this growth a trend, though, but it currently appears that the industry is poised to grow at its historical 3.9% annual average rate.</p>

The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics for August have just been released, and revenues increased for the second sequential month, a positive sign in a puzzling year.  All in all, it appears that the semiconductor sector is faring well despite the pandemic.  It's far too soon to call this growth a trend, though, but it currently appears that the industry is poised to grow at its historical 3.9% annual average rate.

<p>The Semiconductor Industry Association's monthly statistics update, covering July's semiconductor sales, show revenues that continue to follow the growth trend of the past 25 years.  This Smartkarma Insight uses graphics to show that the market is still in good health despite 2020's challenging circumstances.</p>

The Semiconductor Industry Association's monthly statistics update, covering July's semiconductor sales, show revenues that continue to follow the growth trend of the past 25 years.  This Smartkarma Insight uses graphics to show that the market is still in good health despite 2020's challenging circumstances.

United States

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

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Broadcom (AVGO US)

Crowdstrike 4Q21: Scaling the Heights

Crowdstrike retains its place as the highest quality high valuation software company, once again beating and raising by a wide margin.

Aaron Gabin

Crowdstrike 3Q21: Like Shooting Fish in a Barrel

Crowdstrike delivered the most impressive performance of any software company during this reporting season so far. Unlike its high valuation peers,...

Aaron Gabin

September Semiconductor Stats In: 2020 Growth Despite Pandemic

September's semiconductor industry stats indicate 5+% growth for 2020. Can the business sustain this, or will COVID-19 and/or the US-China Trade...

Jim Handy

August Semiconductor Sales Increase

The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics for August have just been released, and revenue

Jim Handy

SIA July Stats Still Show Strength

The Semiconductor Industry Association's

Jim Handy

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