Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

DFRS Port Operators - Signs of recovery ?Full-year growth at sample ports in most world regions was modest in 2016, averaging just over 2% globally, but the fourth quarter showed a marked uptick almost across the board, suggesting signs of a recovery. North America and Southeast Asia led the way, with sample ports growing on average by around 7% in the quarter, and major transhipment hubs worldwide also saw the benefit.<ul><li>
Strong growth in fourth-quarter 2016 was observed in a number of transhipment…</li></ul>

DFRS Port Operators - Signs of recovery ?Full-year growth at sample ports in most world regions was modest in 2016, averaging just over 2% globally, but the fourth quarter showed a marked uptick almost across the board, suggesting signs of a recovery. North America and Southeast Asia led the way, with sample ports growing on average by around 7% in the quarter, and major transhipment hubs worldwide also saw the benefit.
Strong growth in fourth-quarter 2016 was observed in a number of transhipment…

DFRS Port Operators - Signs of Recovery ?

ASEAN (Indo) & China-focused. Ex-Deputy HoR UBS.

Johannes Salim, CFA

<ul>
<li>There was nothing new in Trump's speech last night, but the US stock market surged to new highs (again).</li>
<li>Global reflation trade over next few months is likely to continue.</li>
<li>Prime beneficiaries of global reflation trade in Asian market are financial, commodity, and infrastructure plays.</li>
</ul>We were watching live (on TV) US President Trump's speech, which was addressed to the Congress last night (9 pm EST). This was the first formal speech by Trump after his inauguration speech on 1/20. Our first…


There was nothing new in Trump's speech last night, but the US stock market surged to new highs (again).
Global reflation trade over next few months is likely to continue.
Prime beneficiaries of global reflation trade in Asian market are financial, commodity, and infrastructure plays.
We were watching live (on TV) US President Trump's speech, which was addressed to the Congress last night (9 pm EST). This was the first formal speech by Trump after his inauguration speech on 1/20. Our first…

Asia Market Strategy: Is There No Stopping This Bull Run?

DFRS Maritime model portfolio – 1 year performance with 38% return <ul><li>Our portfolio defied a terrible year for the industry to produce a 38% return in our first year out. The model portfolio markedly outperformed the benchmark indices, BISHIPGP Index (Bloomberg Intelligence Marine Shipping Index, 14%) and MSCI World Index(19%) by a big margin. </li><li>For 2017, lowering allocation to dry bulk stocks; increasing weightage on container trade. We have reduced our allocation to the dry bulk segment to 31% from 42%. The value play is over in our view and we believe stocks could be at the risk of “too soon too fast” in the near term. Conversely, we believe that the worst is over for the container shipping and we see higher returns for the sector in 2017-18. We have increased the allocation to the sector from 8% to 27%. The port sector is another major constituent of our model portfolio for 2017 as world trade recovery gathers steam and earnings remain resilient for our portfolio constituents. </li><li>We are Neutral on gas shipping as we believe the stocks are trading in a fair territory, while we maintain our Unattractive stance on tankers. </li></ul>

DFRS Maritime model portfolio – 1 year performance with 38% return Our portfolio defied a terrible year for the industry to produce a 38% return in our first year out. The model portfolio markedly outperformed the benchmark indices, BISHIPGP Index (Bloomberg Intelligence Marine Shipping Index, 14%) and MSCI World Index(19%) by a big margin. For 2017, lowering allocation to dry bulk stocks; increasing weightage on container trade. We have reduced our allocation to the dry bulk segment to 31% from 42%. The value play is over in our view and we believe stocks could be at the risk of “too soon too fast” in the near term. Conversely, we believe that the worst is over for the container shipping and we see higher returns for the sector in 2017-18. We have increased the allocation to the sector from 8% to 27%. The port sector is another major constituent of our model portfolio for 2017 as world trade recovery gathers steam and earnings remain resilient for our portfolio constituents. We are Neutral on gas shipping as we believe the stocks are trading in a fair territory, while we maintain our Unattractive stance on tankers. 

DFRS Maritime Model Portfolio - 1 Year Performance with 38% Return

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

At the beginning of the year, I wrote a piece called <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/baltic-dry-it-s-that-time-of-year-again" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:7951">Baltic Dry - It’s That Time of Year Again</a> suggesting...<blockquote>
Looking back at the first graph tells you so. Historically, we'd expect to trend downward from here. The last ten years have an average and median drop in the BDIY of 27% in the last 18 days of the Chinese Lunar New Year. 
It should not be a surprise to see such a move in the next 18 trading days. 
Likewise, it would not be a surprise to see a bounce afterward. 
</blockquote>That insight suggested that…

At the beginning of the year, I wrote a piece called Baltic Dry - It’s That Time of Year Again suggesting...
Looking back at the first graph tells you so. Historically, we'd expect to trend downward from here. The last ten years have an average and median drop in the BDIY of 27% in the last 18 days of the Chinese Lunar New Year. 
It should not be a surprise to see such a move in the next 18 trading days. 
Likewise, it would not be a surprise to see a bounce afterward. 
That insight suggested that…

Baltic Dry - Post CNY Bounce Pattern Intact (& Soybean Season Ahead)

China’s Ban on North Korean Coal Imports to Aid Sea Borne Trade News over the weekend that China will stop importing coal from North Korea will be both short-medium term positive for seaborne coal demand and in turn support the dry bulk market. Please see Douglas Kim's take to understand the politics behind the decision. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/no-coal-exports-from-north-korea-to-china-in-2017-turning-off-the-money-spigot-to-north-korea" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:8882">No Coal Exports from North Korea to China in 2017 - Turning Off the Money Spigot to North Korea?</a>After the United Nations Security Council passed a resolution to toughen…

China’s Ban on North Korean Coal Imports to Aid Sea Borne Trade News over the weekend that China will stop importing coal from North Korea will be both short-medium term positive for seaborne coal demand and in turn support the dry bulk market. Please see Douglas Kim's take to understand the politics behind the decision. No Coal Exports from North Korea to China in 2017 - Turning Off the Money Spigot to North Korea?After the United Nations Security Council passed a resolution to toughen…

China's Ban on North Korean Coal Imports to Aid Sea Borne Trade

United States

Northrop Grumman Corporation is a global security company. The Company provides systems, products, and solutions in aerospace, electronics, information systems and technical services to government and commercial customers worldwide.

TransDigm Group, Inc., through subsidiaries, manufactures aircraft components. The Company produces ignition systems and components, gear pumps, mechanical/electromechanical actuators and controls, NiCad batteries/chargers, power conditioning devices, hold-open rods and locking devices, engineered connectors and latches, cockpit security devices, and AC/DC electric motors.

Raytheon Technologies Corporation operates as an aircraft manufacturing company. The Company focuses on technology offerings and engineering teams to deliver innovative solutions such as aero structures, avionics, interiors, mechanical systems, mission systems, aircraft engines, power and control systems, radars, software, and other products.

Axon Enterprise, Inc. is a public safety technology company. The Company offers law enforcement, military, and self defense solutions. Axon Enterprise serves customers worldwide.

General Dynamics Corporation is a diversified defense company. The Company offers a broad portfolio of products and services in business aviation; combat vehicles, weapons systems and munitions; shipbuilding design and construction; and information systems, technologies and services.

HEICO Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells aerospace products and services through its subsidiaries. The Company's customers include airlines and airmotive, as well as defense contractors and military agencies worldwide, including the United States Air Force, the United States Navy, and the National Aeronautics & Space Administration (NASA).

Textron Inc. is a global, multi-industry company with operations in aircraft, defense, industrial products, and finance.  The Company's products include airplanes, helicopters, weapons, and automotive products. Textron's finance division offers asset based lending, aviation, distribution, golf, and resort finance, as well as structured capital.

Teledyne Technologies Inc. provides electronic subsystems and instrumentation. The Company provides aerospace and defense electronics, digital imaging products & software, monitoring instrumentation for marine & environmental applications, harsh environment interconnect products, and subsystems for satellite communications.  Teledyne also provides engineered systems.

L3Harris Technologies, Inc. is an aerospace and defense technology innovator. The Company designs, develops, and manufactures radio communications products and systems, including single channel ground and airborne radio systems. L3Harris Technologies provides advanced defense and commercial technologies across air, land, sea, space, and cyber domains.

Lockheed Martin Corporation is a global security company that primarily researches, designs, develops, manufactures, and integrates advanced technology products and services.  The Company's businesses span space, telecommunications, electronics, information and services, aeronautics, energy, and systems integration.  Lockheed Martin operates worldwide.

AECC Aviation Power Co. Ltd. manufactures and distributes aerospace products. The Company produces aircraft power devices, aerospace turbines, aerospace engines, and other products. AECC Aviation Power also provides equipment testing, equipment maintenance, and other services.


Bharat Electronics Ltd. manufactures electronic communication equipment, night vision equipment such as image converter tubes, night vision binoculars, and goggles, periscopes, gunsights and tank electronics.  The Company's electronic communication products include HF/VHF transmitters, receivers, microwave radio relays, radars and other electronic components required by defense services.

AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Company Limited manufactures aviation products. The Company mainly develops, produces, and sells aircrafts. AVIC Shenyang Aircraft also offers foreign investment, electronic products development, and other services.

Leonardo SpA operates as a technology company. The Company provides its services to the aerospace, defense, and security sectors globally. Leonardo works on helicopters, aircrafts, aerostructures, airborne and space systems, land and naval defense electronics, and defense systems.

Airbus Group SE manufactures airplanes and military equipment.  The Company produces commercial aircraft including the Airbus, military fighter aircraft, military and commercial helicopters, missiles, satellites, and telecommunications and defense systems, and offers military and commercial aircraft conversion and maintenance services.

Thales SA manufactures aerospace systems and industrial electronics products. The Company manufactures radar and countermeasure systems, optronics and electron tubes, communications, navigation, and identification systems, air traffic management systems, computer hardware and software, missile defense systems, and semiconductors.  Thales serves the civilian and military markets.

Safran SA is a international tier-1 supplier of systems and equipment in aerospace, defense, and security. The Company sells engines for airplanes, helicopters, launch vehicles and missiles, landing and braking systems, nacelles, onboard electrical systems, optronics, avionics, identity documents, biometric equipment, smartcards, explosives detection, & trace analysis systems.

MTU Aero Engines AG develops and manufactures engines and offers commercial engine services and support.  The Company sells to manufacturers and operators of engines and industrial gas turbines across the world.

BAE Systems plc develops, delivers, and supports advanced defense and aerospace systems.  The Group manufactures military aircraft, surface ships, submarines, radar, avionics, communications, electronics, and guided weapon systems.  BAE Systems services clients located throughout the world.

Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC manufactures aero, marine and industrial gas turbines for civil and military aircraft. The Group designs, constructs and installs power generation systems, transmission and distribution systems, and equipment for the marine propulsion, oil and gas pumping, and defense markets.

The Boeing Company, together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and markets commercial jet aircraft, as well as provides related support services to the commercial airline industry worldwide.  The Company also researches, develops, produces, modifies, and supports information, space, and defense systems, including military aircraft, helicopters and space and missile systems.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Boeing Co (BA US)

DFRS Port Operators - Signs of Recovery ?

DFRS Port Operators - Signs of recovery ?Full-year growth at sample ports in most world regions was modest in 2016, averaging just over 2%...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Asia Market Strategy: Is There No Stopping This Bull Run?

There was nothing new in Trump's speech last night, but the US stock market surged to new highs (again). Global reflation trade over next few...

Johannes Salim, CFA

DFRS Maritime Model Portfolio - 1 Year Performance with 38% Return

DFRS Maritime model portfolio – 1 year performance with 38% return Our portfolio defied a terrible year for the industry to produce a 38% return...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Baltic Dry - Post CNY Bounce Pattern Intact (& Soybean Season Ahead)

At the beginning of the year, I wrote a piece called Baltic Dry - It’s That Time of Year Again suggesting... Looking back at the first graph tells...

Travis Lundy

China's Ban on North Korean Coal Imports to Aid Sea Borne Trade

China’s Ban on North Korean Coal Imports to Aid Sea Borne Trade News over the weekend that China will stop importing coal from North Korea will be...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)