Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Last week we discussed potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which would set up an opportunity to get more defensive.</li>
<li>As long as the S&amp;P 500 is below Wednesdays high of 4040 we continue to believe the bears are in control -- stay defensive.</li>
<li>Even if there is a reversal, we still expect 4165-4200 on SPX to cap upside for 2023. We highlight many buy opportunities within Consumer Staples</li>
</ul>


Last week we discussed potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which would set up an opportunity to get more defensive.
As long as the S&amp;P 500 is below Wednesdays high of 4040 we continue to believe the bears are in control -- stay defensive.
Even if there is a reversal, we still expect 4165-4200 on SPX to cap upside for 2023. We highlight many buy opportunities within Consumer Staples


S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA All Testing Resistance; Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Buy Staples

Digital Asset Management Firm, Etherbridge

Etherbridge

Digital Asset Management Firm

Etherbridge is a digital asset management firm investing in the value of information and trust

Crypto

<ul><li>Opportunity in any market exists in anything that causes the perception of the investor to take on a new shape.</li><li>For many years, the Fat Protocol Thesis popularised by Placeholder VC has dominated the perception of the digital asset market.</li><li>But as the market and, more importantly, those who have come to use this new technology platform change, so too does the perception of where value will be captured.</li></ul>

Opportunity in any market exists in anything that causes the perception of the investor to take on a new shape.For many years, the Fat Protocol Thesis popularised by Placeholder VC has dominated the perception of the digital asset market.But as the market and, more importantly, those who have come to use this new technology platform change, so too does the perception of where value will be captured.

The Unbundling of Blockchain Infrastructure

Data-Driven Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets, Kaiko

Kaiko

Data-Driven Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets

Kaiko is the leading cryptocurrency market data provider for institutional investors and enterprises. We empower market participants with accurate, transparent, and actionable financial data to be leveraged for a range of market activities. Kaiko’s mission is to be the foundation of the new digital finance economy by serving as a single source for market information. Our mission is premised on the idea that high-quality data drives market efficiency and greater transparency throughout the industry. For each of our enterprise clients, we build custom data plans designed for a range of use cases.

<ul><li>Crypto optimists have said for the last few months that the worst is behind us.</li><li>Just in the last year we’ve seen the collapse of crypto hedge funds, lenders and exchanges.</li><li>They say the bad actors have been removed from the space and there’s only good news from here</li></ul>

Crypto optimists have said for the last few months that the worst is behind us.Just in the last year we’ve seen the collapse of crypto hedge funds, lenders and exchanges.They say the bad actors have been removed from the space and there’s only good news from here

<ul><li>In 2020 and 2021, investors opted for TIPS over conventional bonds, yet over the past year, they have moved the other way.</li><li>The TIPS ETF has fallen from $40bn of assets to $20bn, while the long bond ETF has doubled from $15bn to $30bn.</li><li>The loud and clear message from this shift is that investors are woefully unprepared for an inflation shock.</li></ul>

In 2020 and 2021, investors opted for TIPS over conventional bonds, yet over the past year, they have moved the other way.The TIPS ETF has fallen from $40bn of assets to $20bn, while the long bond ETF has doubled from $15bn to $30bn.The loud and clear message from this shift is that investors are woefully unprepared for an inflation shock.

When Bond Yields Exceed 4%, UK Governments Fall

<ul><li>It’s impossible to paint a full picture of Ethereum DeFi without an understanding of Curve.</li><li>Its unique AMM mechanism enables large stablecoin swaps with extremely low price slippage and its governance and incentives make it a kingmaker for stablecoins; Terra founder Do Kwon touted the infamous 4pool – containing UST – as the thing that would catapult his stablecoin ahead of DAI.</li><li>In the past, we have <a href="https://d2-cwy04.eu1.hubspotlinks.com/Ctc/W+113/d2-CwY04/VVM5M-4MT7sSW8kchtV5kG1dWW3X6sTS4XF--HN5n2LRN3q90_V1-WJV7CgVG_W7hxn1z8wmgYmW3z3-424Nk3PcW27_JZR1kR5zHW8_HKBx3lsDXdW3j7gRm3sCjV6W5rz7y3475_mtW5Zhttx5SYXL5W3ZvcT_7crWjKW7ZhKR_4J5kvcW7PL-9d6f7xhWW7pp0DS3gRcZhW1SDh4f8_lGMRML39MzsCC7WVcybsS2-_Tb9W5GH-bf6l2fVVW762KNb2DDPwbW5Z6GK82qrF01VtqqqB5qV809W3wT4w75QDv0PW39jpQ_2LVwrLN23LdMjX_YhWW7lwQ163QV7bgVqCRVX6wST9XW7j85gK33YzRlW4xJhy22-gjqMW3BsSMq26yWlJN3fgQvnYlRL7N5zq3b5lkl2cW6mjkcl9cB18_W1gh2T-6y80Fb326_1" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://d2-CwY04.eu1.hubspotlinks.com/Ctc/W%2B113/d2-CwY04/VVM5M-4MT7sSW8kchtV5kG1dWW3X6sTS4XF--HN5n2LRN3q90_V1-WJV7CgVG_W7hxn1z8wmgYmW3z3-424Nk3PcW27_JZR1kR5zHW8_HKBx3lsDXdW3j7gRm3sCjV6W5rz7y3475_mtW5Zhttx5SYXL5W3ZvcT_7crWjKW7ZhKR_4J5kvcW7PL-9d6f7xhWW7pp0DS3gRcZhW1SDh4f8_lGMRML39MzsCC7WVcybsS2-_Tb9W5GH-bf6l2fVVW762KNb2DDPwbW5Z6GK82qrF01VtqqqB5qV809W3wT4w75QDv0PW39jpQ_2LVwrLN23LdMjX_YhWW7lwQ163QV7bgVqCRVX6wST9XW7j85gK33YzRlW4xJhy22-gjqMW3BsSMq26yWlJN3fgQvnYlRL7N5zq3b5lkl2cW6mjkcl9cB18_W1gh2T-6y80Fb326_1&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1677884357107000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2xrho6lUWQX2iukgSzMdCY" rel="noopener">written</a> on how Curve pools can be a useful barometer for stablecoin demand particularly during volatile market events. </li></ul>

It’s impossible to paint a full picture of Ethereum DeFi without an understanding of Curve.Its unique AMM mechanism enables large stablecoin swaps with extremely low price slippage and its governance and incentives make it a kingmaker for stablecoins; Terra founder Do Kwon touted the infamous 4pool – containing UST – as the thing that would catapult his stablecoin ahead of DAI.In the past, we have written on how Curve pools can be a useful barometer for stablecoin demand particularly during volatile market events. 

United States

Virtual currencies are decentralized, math-based digital assets in which transactions can be performed cryptographically without the need for a central issuing authority. The first specification and proof of concept of Bitcoin, the first widely used virtual currency, was published in 2009 based on a paper published pseudonymously by Satoshi Nakamoto.

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Bitcoin (XBTUSD CURNCY)

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA All Testing Resistance; Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Buy Staples

Last week (3/21) we discussed the potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on the $SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which we noted...

Vermilion Research

The Unbundling of Blockchain Infrastructure

For many years, the Fat Protocol Thesis popularised by Placeholder VC has dominated the perception of the digital asset market.

Etherbridge

The Scramble for Silvergate Alternatives

Crypto optimists have said for the last few months that the worst is behind us. Just in the last year we’ve seen the collapse of crypto hedge...

Kaiko

When Bond Yields Exceed 4%, UK Governments Fall

In 2020 and 2021, investors opted for TIPS over conventional bonds, yet over the past year, they have moved the other way.

Kaiko

Whales Vs. Retail: Who's Using Curve?

Its unique AMM mechanism enables large stablecoin swaps with extremely low price slippage and its governance and incentives make it a kingmaker for...

Kaiko

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