Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Throughout 2024, we’ve witnessed tight trading ranges across various markets: oil, FX, and Credit spreads.</li><li>Notably, Semiconductors (light blue), Gold (depicted in blue), High-Yield OAS (in red), and Bitcoin (represented in black) exhibit remarkably similar chart patterns.</li><li>In essence, these assets no longer offer diversification benefits; they have effectively become indistinguishable trades.</li></ul>

Throughout 2024, we’ve witnessed tight trading ranges across various markets: oil, FX, and Credit spreads.Notably, Semiconductors (light blue), Gold (depicted in blue), High-Yield OAS (in red), and Bitcoin (represented in black) exhibit remarkably similar chart patterns.In essence, these assets no longer offer diversification benefits; they have effectively become indistinguishable trades.

Technical Analysis

<ul><li>The recent 7% drop in Bitcoin's value coincided with SpaceX's announcement of selling off its entire $375 million worth of holdings.</li><li>This event highlighted two crucial factors: the lack of liquidity in the market and the end of the bear flag counter-trend rally.</li><li>Additionally, Binance Coin was already showing signs of breaking down, which could decrease the overall crypto market cap.</li></ul>

The recent 7% drop in Bitcoin's value coincided with SpaceX's announcement of selling off its entire $375 million worth of holdings.This event highlighted two crucial factors: the lack of liquidity in the market and the end of the bear flag counter-trend rally.Additionally, Binance Coin was already showing signs of breaking down, which could decrease the overall crypto market cap.

Data-Driven Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets, Kaiko

Kaiko

Data-Driven Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets

Kaiko is the leading cryptocurrency market data provider for institutional investors and enterprises. We empower market participants with accurate, transparent, and actionable financial data to be leveraged for a range of market activities. Kaiko’s mission is to be the foundation of the new digital finance economy by serving as a single source for market information. Our mission is premised on the idea that high-quality data drives market efficiency and greater transparency throughout the industry. For each of our enterprise clients, we build custom data plans designed for a range of use cases.

Crypto

<ul>
<li>Worldcoin’s launch was one of the most unique and controversial in recent years.</li>
<li>Much of the controversy stems from the understandable skittishness with Worldcoin’s goal (creating a global identity network) and sci-fi-like methods of achieving this goal (eye scans).</li>
<li>This has been nicely summarized by the MIT Technology Review. </li>
</ul>


Worldcoin’s launch was one of the most unique and controversial in recent years.
Much of the controversy stems from the understandable skittishness with Worldcoin’s goal (creating a global identity network) and sci-fi-like methods of achieving this goal (eye scans).
This has been nicely summarized by the MIT Technology Review. 


<ul><li>BTC volume dominance has slipped 8% since the start of July following the Ripple ruling, which instantly caused altcoin markets to rally.</li><li>BTC dominance across the top 25 centralized exchanges is currently at its lowest level since April, at 27%.</li><li>Offshore exchanges have experienced a more extreme drop in BTC trading activity, partially due to a spike in South Korean altcoin volume.</li></ul>

BTC volume dominance has slipped 8% since the start of July following the Ripple ruling, which instantly caused altcoin markets to rally.BTC dominance across the top 25 centralized exchanges is currently at its lowest level since April, at 27%.Offshore exchanges have experienced a more extreme drop in BTC trading activity, partially due to a spike in South Korean altcoin volume.

<ul><li>Last week, bankrupt crypto lender Celsius gained court approval to convert its altcoin holdings into more liquid BTC and ETH as part of its restructuring plan.</li><li>The company has reportedly moved some of its holdings to market maker Wintermute and stablecoin issuer Paxos.</li><li>As of end-March, Celsius held more than $2B in BTC, ETH and stETH and a mixed bag of liquid and illiquid altcoins, including $240mn of its own CEL token.</li></ul>

Last week, bankrupt crypto lender Celsius gained court approval to convert its altcoin holdings into more liquid BTC and ETH as part of its restructuring plan.The company has reportedly moved some of its holdings to market maker Wintermute and stablecoin issuer Paxos.As of end-March, Celsius held more than $2B in BTC, ETH and stETH and a mixed bag of liquid and illiquid altcoins, including $240mn of its own CEL token.

Celsius Liquidations Could Pressure Altcoin Markets

United States

Virtual currencies are decentralized, math-based digital assets in which transactions can be performed cryptographically without the need for a central issuing authority. The first specification and proof of concept of Bitcoin, the first widely used virtual currency, was published in 2009 based on a paper published pseudonymously by Satoshi Nakamoto.

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Bitcoin (XBTUSD CURNCY)

Are We Heading for a Volatility Event?

Notably, Semiconductors (light blue), Gold (depicted in blue), High-Yield OAS (in red), and Bitcoin (represented in black) exhibit remarkably...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Crypto Selloff: What now?

The recent 7% drop in Bitcoin's value coincided with SpaceX's announcement of selling off its entire $375 million worth of holdings.

Untying The Gordian Knot

Breaking Down Worldcoin's Launch

Much of the controversy stems from the understandable skittishness with Worldcoin’s goal (creating a global identity network) and sci-fi-like...

Kaiko

Altcoin Dominance Hits 4-Month High

BTC volume dominance has slipped 8% since the start of July following the Ripple ruling, which instantly caused altcoin markets to rally.

Kaiko

Celsius Liquidations Could Pressure Altcoin Markets

Last week, bankrupt crypto lender Celsius gained court approval to convert its altcoin holdings into more liquid BTC and ETH as part of its...

Kaiko

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)