ANIMAL SPIRITS Update: OPEC Fuels Base Effect - Oil, Inflation & The Fed, Yields, Financials and EM
Executive Summary OPEC production cut plan supports our macro thesis of an oil-led, inflation expectations uplift. Our original WTI peak base...
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ANIMAL SPIRITS™ REPORT: Greater China View - China "Goldilocks", HK "Revival" & Taiwan "Bond-Proxy"
Investment ConclusionsMacro, Index and Sector Views Our macro baseline scenario is positive on emerging markets (EM) in Q4, 2016. We see...
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ANIMAL SPIRITS™ UPDATE: Japan Equity Market Outlook - BOJ, Fed & The Value Trap
Executive Summary This week, the Fed has behaved consistently with our macro roadmap by not raising rates yet but running the US economy "hot". Two...
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China Housing: Strong Recovery but Debt and Vulnerabilities Rise
In this post, Evidente draws on recent analysis undertaken by the RBA of developments in China's residential property markets. Thanks to a number...
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Event Risks, Catalysts and Volatility in Latter 2016
The UK’s referendum to exit Europe and the ensuing gyrations in global markets warned us against complacency in the face of event risk. Vigilance...
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