Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector, Small Cap Consumer Research

Small Cap Consumer Research

Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector

Small Cap Consumer Research, LLC is a leading company-sponsored equity research provider focusing on the consumer sector (apparel, brand licensing and specialty retailing segments).

Equity Bottom-Up

Betterware de Mexico Sab de CV / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating, $17 price target and projections for Betterware as we look at the year ahead.</li><li>We believe Betterware, with the namesake division revamped and set to register YoY revenue growth in 4Q23 is poised to once again register the strong, consistent returns which the COV-19 driven environment ups and downs occluded.</li><li>As such, we remain upbeat on BWMX and reiterate our Buy rating and $17 price target.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $17 price target and projections for Betterware as we look at the year ahead.We believe Betterware, with the namesake division revamped and set to register YoY revenue growth in 4Q23 is poised to once again register the strong, consistent returns which the COV-19 driven environment ups and downs occluded.As such, we remain upbeat on BWMX and reiterate our Buy rating and $17 price target.

BWMX: 2024 Signposts: Putting All the Pieces in Place; Reiterate Buy, $17 PT

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Valuations for direct selling stocks remain at or near historical lows following a very difficult year for the group in 2023.</li>
<li>The 12-month prospective relative P/E ratio for our proprietary Direct Selling Index closed 2023 at a 43% discount to the market, having entered the year at a 35% discount to the market.</li>
<li>This relative multiple contraction was despite a slight improvement in the prospective absolute P/E ratio to 11.2x at the end of 2023, up from 10.9x at the beginning of the year, since the multiple expansion for the S&amp;P 500 was much greater, having expanded nearly 3 full multiple points on the year to close out at approximately 19.7x forward earnings.</li>
</ul>


Valuations for direct selling stocks remain at or near historical lows following a very difficult year for the group in 2023.
The 12-month prospective relative P/E ratio for our proprietary Direct Selling Index closed 2023 at a 43% discount to the market, having entered the year at a 35% discount to the market.
This relative multiple contraction was despite a slight improvement in the prospective absolute P/E ratio to 11.2x at the end of 2023, up from 10.9x at the beginning of the year, since the multiple expansion for the S&amp;P 500 was much greater, having expanded nearly 3 full multiple points on the year to close out at approximately 19.7x forward earnings.


Direct Sellers Valuation Update - Relative Valuations Remain at Generational Lows

<ul><li>This year marks the fifth year in the most current downcycle for the stocks we monitor in the direct selling channel, with the brief exception of the pandemic-related benefits they reaped in 2H20 and 1H21, as a result of their product focus on health and wellness as well as their direct-to-consumer business models during the widespread lockdowns.</li><li>Even those benefits have been mostly given back in 2022 and 2023 as consumers moved from spending on goods for the home and body to services and experiences as mobility returned to the global marketplace</li><li>Below are the five key trends we are looking for to drive this group in 2024.</li></ul>

This year marks the fifth year in the most current downcycle for the stocks we monitor in the direct selling channel, with the brief exception of the pandemic-related benefits they reaped in 2H20 and 1H21, as a result of their product focus on health and wellness as well as their direct-to-consumer business models during the widespread lockdowns.Even those benefits have been mostly given back in 2022 and 2023 as consumers moved from spending on goods for the home and body to services and experiences as mobility returned to the global marketplaceBelow are the five key trends we are looking for to drive this group in 2024.

2024 Trends for Direct Sellers - Looking for an Inflection Point

Mexico

Grupo Televisa S.A.B., operates media and entertainment businesses in the Spanish speaking world. The Company has interests in television production and broadcasting, programming, direct-to-home satellite services, publishing and publishing distribution, cable television, radio production, show business, feature films and Internet portals.

El Puerto de Liverpool SAB de CV owns and operates retail stores and shopping centers located throughout the major cities of Mexico. The Company's stores sell apparel, novelties, and home items. El Puerto de Liverpool also leases retail space in shopping malls in Mexico.

El Puerto de Liverpool SAB de (LIVEPOLC MM)

1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. is an e-commerce provider of floral products and gifts. The Company's product offerings, including fresh-cut and seasonal flowers, plants, floral arrangements, and home and garden merchandise, can be purchased online or by calling its toll-free telephone number.

BELLUNA CO., LTD. is a mail-order company offering clothing, household goods, and hobby goods through catalogs.  The Company also provides financing service.

Lands' End, Inc. manufactures men's, women's and children's apparel and accessories. The Company produces and distributes swimwear, clothing, bedding, totes, furniture, bath accessories, uniforms, outter wear and various related products. Lands' End offers its products through its catalog and website around the world.

Overstock.com, Inc. offers discounted brand-name merchandise for sale over the Internet. Products include bed-and-bath goods, kitchenware, jewelry, sporting goods, electronics, and designer accessories.

ASOS PLC is a global, internet, fashion, retail business aimed at a client base aged between 20-30 years. The Company offers branded and own label products across womenswear and menswear. ASOS operates and distributes their product globally.

boohoo group plc is an online fashion retailer. The Company offers women's clothing and apparel through its website. boohoo.com ships its products around the world.

Dustin Group AB offers IT products and related services to businesses, governments and individuals. The Company sells computers, printers, copiers, tablets, mobile phones and other electronics and accessories.

Stitch Fix, Inc. operates as an online subscription and personal shopping platform. The Company offers shirts, jackets, sweaters, blazers, leggings, vests, scarfs, jeans, loafers, and boots for men and women. Stitch Fix serves customers in the United States.

Porter Holding International, Inc. operates online to offline (O2O) business platforms for consumer manufacturing enterprises. The Company operates cloud platforms that provide Internet-based intelligent e-commerce information services.

Hyundai Home Shopping Network Corporation  mechandises consumer products. The Company's products include clothes, home appliances, food, and luxuries. Hyundai Home Shopping retails through TV home shoppoing channels, catalogs, and the Inte rnet shopping mall.

Hyundai Home Shopping Network (057050 KS)

Betterware de Mexico SAB de CV sells household products. The Company offers furniture, sink, electronics, utensils, laundry equipment, cleaners, bath accessories, personal care, and other goods. Betterware de Mexico serves customers in Mexico.

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Betterware de Mexico Sab de CV (BWMX US)

BWMX: 2024 Signposts: Putting All the Pieces in Place; Reiterate Buy, $17 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $17 price target and projections for Betterware as we look at the year ahead. We believe Betterware, with the...

Small Cap Consumer Research

Direct Sellers Valuation Update - Relative Valuations Remain at Generational Lows

The 12-month prospective relative P/E ratio for our proprietary Direct Selling Index closed 2023 at a 43% discount to the market, having entered...

Water Tower Research

2024 Trends for Direct Sellers - Looking for an Inflection Point

This year marks the fifth year in the most current downcycle for the stocks we monitor in the direct selling channel with the brief exception of...

Water Tower Research

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