Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the next rebalance of a global index kicks off this week and that is where a lot of eyes will be focused.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to ETFs tracking the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> while there were redemptions from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Inflows continue for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets ex China (EMXC US)</a> while there were outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-acwi-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24402:1" rel="noopener">iShares ACWI ETF (ACWI US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for the next rebalance of a global index kicks off this week and that is where a lot of eyes will be focused.
There were big inflows to ETFs tracking the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX) while there were redemptions from the Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK). 
Inflows continue for iShares Emerging Markets ex China (EMXC US) while there were outflows from iShares ACWI ETF (ACWI US). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, LQ45, FXI, 2823 HK, SENSEX

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a new thematic weekly product that will focus on key Southeast Asian digital themes and technology trends with a core focus on Indonesia. </li>
<li>This week is focused on GoTo's sustainability credentials and the recent scientific validation of its emission targets. </li>
<li>2024 will also see a ramp-up of Indonesia's 2W EV charging infrastructure to power growth in numbers. We also look at key themes in 2024 for the digital economy.</li>
</ul>


CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a new thematic weekly product that will focus on key Southeast Asian digital themes and technology trends with a core focus on Indonesia. 
This week is focused on GoTo's sustainability credentials and the recent scientific validation of its emission targets. 
2024 will also see a ramp-up of Indonesia's 2W EV charging infrastructure to power growth in numbers. We also look at key themes in 2024 for the digital economy.


CrossASEAN Ground Zero - GoTo's Sustainability Verified, 2W EVs, and the Stormy Year Ahead

Tower Bersama Infrastructure / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 29 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a>.</li>
<li>The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletions than the inclusions since lower liquidity stocks are replaced with higher liquidity stocks.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 29 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.
Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for Bank Rakyat (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA).
The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletions than the inclusions since lower liquidity stocks are replaced with higher liquidity stocks.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Reading the Tea Leaves

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

Bank Negara Indonesia Persero / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Bank Negara remains our top pick for its deep value attributes of low PE multiples and its very attractive PEG ratio, whilst improving post-provision returns and registering strong liquidity</li>
<li>We also keep Bank Mandiri on a buy rating, for its premium returns and undemanding PE multiples; Bank Central Asia, albeit fully valued in our view, has impressive return</li>
<li>Bank Rakyat again registered worsening pre-provision returns in 3Q23, along with cost of risk; its heavily MSME focused loan mix implies a high structural cost of risk going forward</li>
</ul>


Bank Negara remains our top pick for its deep value attributes of low PE multiples and its very attractive PEG ratio, whilst improving post-provision returns and registering strong liquidity
We also keep Bank Mandiri on a buy rating, for its premium returns and undemanding PE multiples; Bank Central Asia, albeit fully valued in our view, has impressive return
Bank Rakyat again registered worsening pre-provision returns in 3Q23, along with cost of risk; its heavily MSME focused loan mix implies a high structural cost of risk going forward


Indonesian Banks Screener; Negara Remains the Stand Out

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siloam-international-hospitals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:878:1" rel="noopener">Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mr-diy-group-m-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28430:1" rel="noopener">MR DIY (MRDIY MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-overseas-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:113:1" rel="noopener">UOB (UOB SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a> </li>
<li>There were alos insights on the Malaysian economic outlook, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">Vinfast</a>, the LQ45 Index rebalance, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-comfeed-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8258:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Comfeed Indonesia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lippo-malls-indonesia-retail-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10946:1" rel="noopener">Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medco-energi-internasional-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20844:1" rel="noopener">Medco Energi (MEDC IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ), Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ), MR DIY (MRDIY MK), UOB (UOB SP), and Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) 
There were alos insights on the Malaysian economic outlook, Vinfast, the LQ45 Index rebalance, Japfa Comfeed Indonesia, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, and Medco Energi (MEDC IJ).
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Siloam International Intl Hospitals, Bank Rakyat, and MrDIY

Indonesia

PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk provides commercial banking activities and its related services. The Bank also provides banking activities based on shariah principles.

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Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, LQ45, FXI, 2823 HK, SENSEX

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

CrossASEAN Ground Zero - GoTo's Sustainability Verified, 2W EVs, and the Stormy Year Ahead

CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a new thematic weekly product that will focus on key Southeast Asian digital themes and technology trends with a core...

Angus Mackintosh

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Reading the Tea Leaves

There could be 5 potential changes for the LQ45 Index in January. The potential adds have performed well while the potential deletes are trading...

Brian Freitas

Indonesian Banks Screener; Negara Remains the Stand Out

We stick with Bank Negara and Bank Mandiri as buys, given their low PE multiples and attractive PEG ratio; Bank Rakyat's cost of risk and returns...

Victor Galliano

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Siloam International Intl Hospitals, Bank Rakyat, and MrDIY

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, LQ45, FXI, 2823 HK, SENSEX

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

CrossASEAN Ground Zero - GoTo's Sustainability Verified, 2W EVs, and the Stormy Year Ahead

CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a new thematic weekly product that will focus on key Southeast Asian digital themes and technology trends with a core...

Angus Mackintosh

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Reading the Tea Leaves

There could be 5 potential changes for the LQ45 Index in January. The potential adds have performed well while the potential deletes are trading...

Brian Freitas

Indonesian Banks Screener; Negara Remains the Stand Out

​We stick with Bank Negara and Bank Mandiri as buys, given their low PE multiples and attractive PEG ratio; Bank Rakyat's cost of risk and returns...

Victor Galliano

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Siloam International Intl Hospitals, Bank Rakyat, and MrDIY

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

We stick with Bank Negara and Bank Mandiri as buys, given their low PE multiples and attractive PEG ratio; Bank Rakyat's cost of risk and returns...