Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 124.1% as of Feb 2nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -5.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, industrials and offset by utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart, Wuxi Apptec, BOC, CGN Power, SMIC, Huaneng Power, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 124.1% as of Feb 2nd.
The average A-H premium changed by -5.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, industrials and offset by utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart, Wuxi Apptec, BOC, CGN Power, SMIC, Huaneng Power, China Longyuan.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 2nd): Haier Smart, Wuxi Apptec, BOC, CGN Power, SMIC, Huaneng Power

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 125.4% as of Oct 6th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 8.1ppt week on week, led by health care, information technology, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cm Bank, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec Corp.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 125.4% as of Oct 6th.
The average A-H premium changed by 8.1ppt week on week, led by health care, information technology, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cm Bank, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec Corp.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 6th): CMB, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 115.2% as of Jul 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.8ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, communication services, information technology and offset by real estate, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Vanke, New China Life, BYD, CMOC, Asymchem, Huaneng, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 115.2% as of Jul 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.8ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, communication services, information technology and offset by real estate, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Vanke, New China Life, BYD, CMOC, Asymchem, Huaneng, China Longyuan.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 21st): China Vanke, New China Life, BYD, CMOC, Asymchem, Huaneng

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

Bank of Chongqing Co Ltd H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Combination of high NIM contraction with high loan growth is not a good combination</li>
<li>BOC has seen its NIM down 14% in the past year but against 12% loan growth</li>
<li>PBOC pressure to cut rates and for banks to support ailing debtors, is a risk</li>
</ul>


Combination of high NIM contraction with high loan growth is not a good combination
BOC has seen its NIM down 14% in the past year but against 12% loan growth
PBOC pressure to cut rates and for banks to support ailing debtors, is a risk


Bank of Chongqing - One Of Worst NIM Contraction, But With High Loan Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There could be 25 inclusions, including many new listings, to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) in September. Another 6 stocks are close adds on liquidity and market cap.</li>
<li>We see 19 potential deletes and 2 close deletes on market cap, 5 potential deletes on prolonged trading suspension, and 2 close deletes on liquidity.</li>
<li>There are 8 potential deletions where holdings via Stock Connect are more than 20% of shares outstanding. There could be some unwinding of positions over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


There could be 25 inclusions, including many new listings, to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) in September. Another 6 stocks are close adds on liquidity and market cap.
We see 19 potential deletes and 2 close deletes on market cap, 5 potential deletes on prolonged trading suspension, and 2 close deletes on liquidity.
There are 8 potential deletions where holdings via Stock Connect are more than 20% of shares outstanding. There could be some unwinding of positions over the next couple of months.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: The Final List for September

China

Bank of Chongqing Co. Ltd. provides commercial banking services. The Company offers financial services to individuals and enterprises including deposits, loans, settlement, currency trading, financial & government bonds, and credit cards services. Bank of Chongqing also offers international services.

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Bank of Chongqing Co Ltd H (1963 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 2nd): Haier Smart, Wuxi Apptec, BOC, CGN Power, SMIC, Huaneng Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Haier Smart, Wuxi Apptec, BOC, CGN Power, SMIC, Huaneng...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 6th): CMB, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Cm Bank, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec Corp.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 21st): China Vanke, New China Life, BYD, CMOC, Asymchem, Huaneng

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Vanke, New China Life, BYD, CMOC, Asymchem, Huaneng,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Bank of Chongqing - One Of Worst NIM Contraction, But With High Loan Growth

NIM contraction at BOC is severe and this is despite high loan growth. Risk is that this worsens in coming quarters, with weaker economy. Credit...

Daniel Tabbush

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: The Final List for September

There could be nearly 50 adds/deletes for the HSCI in September. That will trigger changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and increase flows...

Brian Freitas

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