Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The lows have likely been established for this correction, but a bottoming process would likely take weeks or potentially months and could come with more tests of the lows.</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX and Nikkei 225 are each testing their respective downtrends. The EURO STOXX 50 is testing resistance in the 4040-4090 range. Germany's DAX is testing major resistance at 14,815-14,950.</li>
<li>It is likely that this initial 2-3 week bounce has run its course; stick with cyclical value and defensives, areas we have been focused on for most of 2022.</li>
</ul>


The lows have likely been established for this correction, but a bottoming process would likely take weeks or potentially months and could come with more tests of the lows.
Japan's TOPIX and Nikkei 225 are each testing their respective downtrends. The EURO STOXX 50 is testing resistance in the 4040-4090 range. Germany's DAX is testing major resistance at 14,815-14,950.
It is likely that this initial 2-3 week bounce has run its course; stick with cyclical value and defensives, areas we have been focused on for most of 2022.


Sticking With Cyclical Value and Defensives; Adding Large-Cap Japan Technology

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> and NIFTY NEXT50 Indices were announced on 24 February and will be implemented at the close today.</li>
<li>There is a fair amount to trade on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> stocks given the sizeable passive assets that track the indices.</li>
<li>There is pre-positioning on some of the names and there could be opportunities to build positions to play for a reversal.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX), Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) and NIFTY NEXT50 Indices were announced on 24 February and will be implemented at the close today.
There is a fair amount to trade on the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) and Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) stocks given the sizeable passive assets that track the indices.
There is pre-positioning on some of the names and there could be opportunities to build positions to play for a reversal.


NIFTY Index Rebalance: Flows at the Close Today

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Edelweiss Broking Limited

Edelweiss

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Edelweiss Broking Limited

Edelweiss Broking Limited is an Indian Financial services company based in Mumbai, India. The company is a subsidiary of Edelweiss Group. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Established in 1908 by Maharaja Sayajirao Gaekwad of Baroda, BoB was one of the 14 banks that were nationalised in 1969</li><li>The bank has merged with Dena and Vijaya Bank and is now the second largest PSU bank in the country</li><li>It has been one of the early players to have identified the potential and importance of international presence</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Established in 1908 by Maharaja Sayajirao Gaekwad of Baroda, BoB was one of the 14 banks that were nationalised in 1969The bank has merged with Dena and Vijaya Bank and is now the second largest PSU bank in the countryIt has been one of the early players to have identified the potential and importance of international presenceContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-baroda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:545:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rbl-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22856:1" rel="noopener">RBL Bank Ltd (RBK IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> at the close of trading on 30 March.</li>
<li>Index trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV on BOB while selling over 2 days of ADV on RBL. There will be capping changes too.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-baroda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:545:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)</a> trades cheaper than its peers on forward PE and price to book and could outperform over the near-term.</li>
</ul>



Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN) will replace RBL Bank Ltd (RBK IN) in the Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) at the close of trading on 30 March.
Index trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV on BOB while selling over 2 days of ADV on RBL. There will be capping changes too.

Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN) trades cheaper than its peers on forward PE and price to book and could outperform over the near-term.


NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance: BOB to Replace RBL Bank

India

Bank of Baroda owns and operates commercial banks in India.  The Group's banks provide the traditional forms of banking services, including CD's, Credit Card services and a variety of car loans, in addition to gold banking and a range of insurance services.  The Group also owns IBU International Finance Limited, an international banking company in Hong Kong.

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Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)

Sticking With Cyclical Value and Defensives; Adding Large-Cap Japan Technology

Sticking With Cyclical Value & Defensives; Adding Large-Cap Japan Technology. 2-3 week bounce has likely run its course with $TOPIX $Nikkei 225,...

Vermilion Research

NIFTY Index Rebalance: Flows at the Close Today

The March rebalance for the NIFTY family of indices will be implemented at the close of trading today. There is a fair amount to trade on the adds,...

Brian Freitas

Pick of the Week - Bank of Baroda

Established in 1908 by Maharaja Sayajirao Gaekwad of Baroda, BoB was one of the 14 banks that were nationalised in 1969. The bank has merged...

Edelweiss

Pick of the Week - Bank of Baroda

Established in 1908 by Maharaja Sayajirao Gaekwad of Baroda, BoB was one of the 14 banks that were nationalised in 1969. The bank has merged with...

Edelweiss

NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance: BOB to Replace RBL Bank

Bank of Baroda replaces RBL Bank in the NSEBANK at the close on 30 March. Passive trackers will need to buy over 2 days ADV on BOB while selling...

Brian Freitas

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