Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Republican replacement for ‘Obamacare’ has been announced and looks an incoherent mess – resurgent healthcare inflation will be a drag on discretionary spending.</li>
<li>The US yield curve is flattening, overall bank credit growth has been negative for two months and yesterday’s January consumer lending data was about half consensus expectations.</li>
<li>The global mining sector has been selling off as expected with iron ore/copper prices – I remain tactically short the FTSE 350 mining index.</li>
<li>Overall, the US…</li>
</ul>


The Republican replacement for ‘Obamacare’ has been announced and looks an incoherent mess – resurgent healthcare inflation will be a drag on discretionary spending.
The US yield curve is flattening, overall bank credit growth has been negative for two months and yesterday’s January consumer lending data was about half consensus expectations.
The global mining sector has been selling off as expected with iron ore/copper prices – I remain tactically short the FTSE 350 mining index.
Overall, the US…


US Healthcare Overhaul Stumbling, Singapore Cyclical Rally Looking Premature

Energy Expert

Thierry Bros, PhD

Thierrybros.com

<div class="content-highlight">As International Oil Companies (IOC) have now published their FY2016 results, let's compare their level of oil and gas production to see which one is best positioned if our world has to move away from oil (and coal) to gas, the cleanest fossil fuel (and renewable).</div><div style="text-align: center;" class="content-caption">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/021/237/original/2016%20HC%20production.JPG?1487582898" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="21237"></figure>Source: company data, thierrybros.com
</div><ul><li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/23749" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23749:1">Gazprom PJSC (GAZP RX)</a>'s hydrocarbon production increased by 1% thanks to an 8% increase in oil. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/23749" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23749:1">Gazprom PJSC (GAZP RX)</a> is the biggest listed hydrocarbon producer but more importantly, with gas…</li></ul>

As International Oil Companies (IOC) have now published their FY2016 results, let's compare their level of oil and gas production to see which one is best positioned if our world has to move away from oil (and coal) to gas, the cleanest fossil fuel (and renewable).
Source: company data, thierrybros.com

Gazprom PJSC (GAZP RX)'s hydrocarbon production increased by 1% thanks to an 8% increase in oil. Gazprom PJSC (GAZP RX) is the biggest listed hydrocarbon producer but more importantly, with gas…

Are International Oil Companies Adapting to Climate Change Challenges?

LNG, Oil & Gas, M&A Market Intelligence Specialist

Massimo Bellino

This report covers: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/811" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:811:1">Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11091:1">Chevron Corp (CVX US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/22108" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22108:1">Royal Dutch Shell PLC (RDSA LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21847" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21847:1">BP PLC (BP/ LN EQUITY)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/812" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:812:1">Total Sa (FP FP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21030" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21030:1">Statoil ASA (STL NO)</a>A challenging year-end quarter. Oil majors posted disappointing 4Q16 results which surprised the markets on the downside. With the exception of Total, the peer group missed brokers’ expectations both on the earnings and the revenue estimates. Impairment charges negatively impacted Exxon and Statoil, respectively for $2bn and $2.3bn…

This report covers: Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM US), Chevron Corp (CVX US), Royal Dutch Shell PLC (RDSA LN), BP PLC (BP/ LN EQUITY), Total Sa (FP FP), Statoil ASA (STL NO)A challenging year-end quarter. Oil majors posted disappointing 4Q16 results which surprised the markets on the downside. With the exception of Total, the peer group missed brokers’ expectations both on the earnings and the revenue estimates. Impairment charges negatively impacted Exxon and Statoil, respectively for $2bn and $2.3bn…

Oil Majors 4Q16 Results: After a Difficult 2016, Sentiment Turning Positive for 2017

Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania

Assistant Professor at The Wharton School, Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania

Dr Arthur van Benthem

Assistant Professor at The Wharton School

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/021/282/original/Donald_Trump_Signs_The_Pledge_13.jpg?1487645410" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="21282"></figure>Though the travel ban received considerably more attention, another recent Trump administration executive order should also be the target of nationwide street protests.The order is meant to slash "unnecessary" regulations. President Trump's proposal is quite simple. For every new regulation, knock out two others. And require each regulatory agency to offset the full economic cost of its new regulation by revoking existing rules. According to Trump, the order will fix this problem: it has become…

Though the travel ban received considerably more attention, another recent Trump administration executive order should also be the target of nationwide street protests.The order is meant to slash "unnecessary" regulations. President Trump's proposal is quite simple. For every new regulation, knock out two others. And require each regulatory agency to offset the full economic cost of its new regulation by revoking existing rules. According to Trump, the order will fix this problem: it has become…

The Flawed Logic of Trump's Order on Regulations

Public Relations and Social Media Manager, Dechert LLP

Peggy Heffner

Public Relations and Social Media Manager

Dechert is a global specialist law firm

Dechert LLP

Dechert is a global specialist law firm.
Focused on sectors with the greatest complexities, legal intricacies and highest regulatory demands, we excel in delivering practical commercial judgment and deep legal expertise for high-stakes matters.

Our work is widely recognized. We have 20 standout practices noted by Chambers Global, including global-wide rankings for arbitration, corporate investigations, anti-corruption, investment funds and life sciences. Named Antitrust Team of the Year, Chambers USA commends our “accomplished group” as “routinely sought after to handle some of the most significant litigation and transactions in the antitrust world.” 

In an increasingly challenging environment, clients look to us to serve them in ways that are faster, sharper and leaner without compromising excellence. We developed a first-of-its kind legal project management department, which uses technology, people and processes to drive efficiency and deliver value for our clients.

We are innovators. Dechert ranked #7 in the Financial Times’ Top North American Innovative Law Firms. Financial Times also recognizes us among the Top European Innovative Law Firms and highly commends World Compass, our marketing compliance service, which offers investment firms advice in more than 100 jurisdictions.

Event-Driven

Fast Facts<ul><li>Significant merger investigations lasted an average of 9.9 months in 2016, a new DAMITT record.</li><li>The 33 significant investigations in 2016 were the second most in the past six years, but down from the record of 37 significant investigations set in 2015.</li><li>The six complaints filed in 2016 to enjoin transactions were the second most in the past six years, just below the 2015 record of seven complaints.</li><li>Merger cases filed in 2016 suggest that merger litigation takes about eight months—more than three months longer than litigated cases filed in 2015 and more than four months longer than litigated cases filed in 2011.</li><li>Transaction agreements resulting in significant antirust merger investigations resolved in 2016 allotted 15.7 months for antitrust review, up 10% from 2015.</li></ul>

Fast FactsSignificant merger investigations lasted an average of 9.9 months in 2016, a new DAMITT record.The 33 significant investigations in 2016 were the second most in the past six years, but down from the record of 37 significant investigations set in 2015.The six complaints filed in 2016 to enjoin transactions were the second most in the past six years, just below the 2015 record of seven complaints.Merger cases filed in 2016 suggest that merger litigation takes about eight months—more than three months longer than litigated cases filed in 2015 and more than four months longer than litigated cases filed in 2011.Transaction agreements resulting in significant antirust merger investigations resolved in 2016 allotted 15.7 months for antitrust review, up 10% from 2015.

DAMITT 2016 Year in Review: Significant Antitrust Merger Investigations Longer Than Ever

United States

Baker Hughes Company provides oilfield products and services. The Company engages in surface logging, drilling, pipeline operations, petroleum engineering, and fertilizer solutions, as well as offers gas turbines, valves, actuators, pumps, flow meters, generators, and motors. Baker Hughes serves oil and gas industries worldwide.

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Baker Hughes (BHGE US)

US Healthcare Overhaul Stumbling, Singapore Cyclical Rally Looking Premature

The Republican replacement for ‘Obamacare’ has been announced and looks an incoherent mess – resurgent healthcare inflation will be a drag on...

Sean Maher

Are International Oil Companies Adapting to Climate Change Challenges?

As International Oil Companies (IOC) have now published their FY2016 results, let's compare their level of oil and gas production to see which one...

Thierry Bros, PhD

Oil Majors 4Q16 Results: After a Difficult 2016, Sentiment Turning Positive for 2017

This report covers: Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM US), Chevron Corp (CVX US), Royal Dutch Shell PLC (RDSA LN), BP PLC (BP/ LN EQUITY), Total Sa (FP FP),...

Massimo Bellino

The Flawed Logic of Trump's Order on Regulations

Though the travel ban received considerably more attention, another recent Trump administration executive order should also be the target of...

Dr Arthur van Benthem

DAMITT 2016 Year in Review: Significant Antitrust Merger Investigations Longer Than Ever

Fast Facts Significant merger investigations lasted an average of 9.9 months in 2016, a new DAMITT record. The 33 significant investigations in...

Dechert LLP

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