Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Following the recent string of high-profile fraud scandals, from Luckin Coffee in China to Wirecard in Germany, our In-Focus section this month deals with our framework for discerning fraud in Asian companies. We also give an overview of common techniques used to manipulate financial information in Asian markets, and present case studies of alleged or confirmed fraud drawn from our coverage universe. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  Following the recent string of high-profile fraud scandals, from Luckin Coffee in China to Wirecard in Germany, our In-Focus section this month deals with our framework for discerning fraud in Asian companies. We also give an overview of common techniques used to manipulate financial information in Asian markets, and present case studies of alleged or confirmed fraud drawn from our coverage universe.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Framework For Discerning Fraud In Asian Companies - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of June includes a summary of our recommendations. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.

  The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of June includes a summary of our recommendations. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index. 

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - June 2020 - Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Azure Power’s Q4 and FY 2019-20 results were in line with our expectations. The impact from COVID-19 was insignificant, as was the power curtailment in Q4/19-20. Cash flows improved, on the back of more favourable working capital development, especially regarding receivables. That said, the financial risk profile continued to deteriorate relative to FYE 2018-19, as the green bond issuance drove up debt, outpacing EBITDA growth. We view the share issuance in Q4/19-20 to CPDQ positively, as it shored up liquidity and was used fund the construction of new projects. In addition, it signals continued support, with CPDQ now owning a majority stake in Azure Power. Liquidity was adequate, with a large cash balance and undrawn committed project debt.

  Azure Power’s Q4 and FY 2019-20 results were in line with our expectations. The impact from COVID-19 was insignificant, as was the power curtailment in Q4/19-20. Cash flows improved, on the back of more favourable working capital development, especially regarding receivables. That said, the financial risk profile continued to deteriorate relative to FYE 2018-19, as the green bond issuance drove up debt, outpacing EBITDA growth. We view the share issuance in Q4/19-20 to CPDQ positively, as it shored up liquidity and was used fund the construction of new projects. In addition, it signals continued support, with CPDQ now owning a majority stake in Azure Power. Liquidity was adequate, with a large cash balance and undrawn committed project debt. 

Azure Power - Earnings Flash - FY 2019-20 Results - Lucror Analytics

From an investor’s perspective, the month of May was dominated by two issues: the likely rate of the post-pandemic economic recovery, and mounting tensions between China and the US. In addition, China held its annual Two Sessions during the month after a delay due to COVID-19. In this report, we focus on the Government Working Report delivered at the meetings, looking for guidance on the trajectory of policy easing and the stimulus meant to drive a post-pandemic recovery. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  From an investor’s perspective, the month of May was dominated by two issues: the likely rate of the post-pandemic economic recovery, and mounting tensions between China and the US. In addition, China held its annual Two Sessions during the month after a delay due to COVID-19. In this report, we focus on the Government Working Report delivered at the meetings, looking for guidance on the trajectory of policy easing and the stimulus meant to drive a post-pandemic recovery.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Takeaways From China's Two Sessions (2020) - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of May includes a summary of our recommendations. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.

  The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of May includes a summary of our recommendations. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index. 

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - May 2020 - Lucror Analytics

India

Azure Power Global Limited operates as an independent solar power producer. The Company designs, constructs, maintains, and operates solar energy projects. Azure Power Global serves customers worldwide.

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Azure Power Global Ltd (AZRE US)

Asia HY Monthly - Framework For Discerning Fraud In Asian Companies - Lucror Analytics

Following the recent string of high-profile fraud scandals, from Luckin Coffee in China to Wirecard in Germany, our In-Focus section this month...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - June 2020 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of June includes a summary of our recommendations. The report also features relative-value...

Lucror Analytics

Azure Power - Earnings Flash - FY 2019-20 Results - Lucror Analytics

Azure Power’s Q4 and FY 2019-20 results were in line with our expectations. The impact from COVID-19 was insignificant, as was the power...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - Takeaways From China's Two Sessions (2020) - Lucror Analytics

From an investor’s perspective, the month of May was dominated by two issues: the likely rate of the post-pandemic economic recovery, and mounting...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - May 2020 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of May includes a summary of our recommendations. The report also features relative-value...

Lucror Analytics

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