Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Busy week in India with the adhoc changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank</a> due to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> merger.</li>
<li>The IDX could announce the changes to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices in the coming week, though there is no firm schedule for announcements.</li>
<li>Yet another week of inflows to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> ETF and outflows from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Busy week in India with the adhoc changes to the NIFTY, NSE Nifty Next 50, S&amp;P BSE SENSEX and Nifty Bank due to the HDFC Limited and HDFC Bank merger.
The IDX could announce the changes to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices in the coming week, though there is no firm schedule for announcements.
Yet another week of inflows to the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) ETF and outflows from the Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, Chinext, URA, Korea Stocks, NKY

<ul>
<li>We forecast 22 changes across the ASX50 Index, ASX100 Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and ASX300 Index at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>Some of the changes are high probability while others are close to cutoffs. The impact of passive trading will be pretty large on a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>Short interest on the potential deletes indicates some pre-positioning but there should still be a fair bit more to do.</li>
</ul>


We forecast 22 changes across the ASX50 Index, ASX100 Index, S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and ASX300 Index at the September rebalance.
Some of the changes are high probability while others are close to cutoffs. The impact of passive trading will be pretty large on a lot of stocks.
Short interest on the potential deletes indicates some pre-positioning but there should still be a fair bit more to do.


S&P/​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in September

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tax-loss-selling-in-australia-brief-historical-analysis-and-a-trade-basket" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:103750" rel="noopener">Tax-Loss Selling in Australia - Brief Historical Analysis And A Trade Basket</a> at the start of June I proposed a basket. </li>
<li>We are getting to the end of June. Time to unwind that short basket. The named ticker was -26%. The 70-name basket underperformed ASX200 by 4.4%.</li>
<li>One can now go long the basket into end-June as historically it outperforms S&amp;P-ASX200 over two months. If one did not short, one can still go long. Basket below.</li>
</ul>


In Tax-Loss Selling in Australia - Brief Historical Analysis And A Trade Basket at the start of June I proposed a basket. 
We are getting to the end of June. Time to unwind that short basket. The named ticker was -26%. The 70-name basket underperformed ASX200 by 4.4%.
One can now go long the basket into end-June as historically it outperforms S&amp;P-ASX200 over two months. If one did not short, one can still go long. Basket below.


[UPDATE] Tax-Loss Selling in Australia - Time To Unwind the Basket

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>I currently expect one change for the ASX 100 index and five changes (including one intra-review change) for the ASX 200 index.</li>
<li>There could be 7 ADDs and 5 DELs for the ASX 300 index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the September 2023 Rebalance.
I currently expect one change for the ASX 100 index and five changes (including one intra-review change) for the ASX 200 index.
There could be 7 ADDs and 5 DELs for the ASX 300 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Many Changes Ahead

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices ends tomorrow and we expect two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Impact of passive trading on the stocks varies between 4.3-11 days of ADV. Short interest on the potential adds is small while there are significant shorts on the potential deletes.</li>
<li>We expect there is pre-positioning on at least three of the four stocks. In some cases that is small, while it could be a lot larger in other stocks.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices ends tomorrow and we expect two changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 
Impact of passive trading on the stocks varies between 4.3-11 days of ADV. Short interest on the potential adds is small while there are significant shorts on the potential deletes.
We expect there is pre-positioning on at least three of the four stocks. In some cases that is small, while it could be a lot larger in other stocks.


S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

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Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, Chinext, URA, Korea Stocks, NKY

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in September

There could be around 22 changes for the SnP/ASX family of indices in September. The impact of passive trading will be high on a lot of stocks and...

Brian Freitas

[UPDATE] Tax-Loss Selling in Australia - Time To Unwind the Basket

The June Aus Tax-Loss Selling Basket has worked, trailing ASX200 by ~4.4% since end-May (or early June execution). The named ticker was -26%....

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Many Changes Ahead

ABP's price ratios vs peers are very close to the upper Bollinger bands and have also significantly outperformed the trends in FY+1 and FY+2 EPS...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

There could be 2 changes for the ASX200 in June. Impact is high on most stocks. Shorts are small on the adds & very high on the deletes. There...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, Chinext, URA, Korea Stocks, NKY

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in September

There could be around 22 changes for the SnP/ASX family of indices in September. The impact of passive trading will be high on a lot of stocks and...

Brian Freitas

[UPDATE] Tax-Loss Selling in Australia - Time To Unwind the Basket

The June Aus Tax-Loss Selling Basket has worked, trailing ASX200 by ~4.4% since end-May (or early June execution). The named ticker was -26%....

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Many Changes Ahead

ABP's price ratios vs peers are very close to the upper Bollinger bands and have also significantly outperformed the trends in FY+1 and FY+2 EPS...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

There could be 2 changes for the ASX200 in June. Impact is high on most stocks. Shorts are small on the adds & very high on the deletes. There...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in September

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Impact, Shorts & Positioning