Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

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<p>The objective of "The Narrative" is to aid us in assessing management commentary, which we can further connect with ground reality via primary checks, aiding us in identifying key catalysts that could be potential drivers of stock returns. </p>
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<p>For the narrative, we will be covering commentary on Operating environment &amp; outlook, Business performance, Collection &amp; Credit Awareness, Asset Quality &amp; Restructuring, Liability franchise &amp; deposits, Digital banking, Future business drivers &amp; new launches</p>
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<p>Companies covered in this Insight include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/au-small-finance-bank-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24196:1" rel="noopener">AU Small Finance Bank Limited (AUBANK IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ujjivan-small-finance-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28443:1" rel="noopener">Ujjivan Small Finance Bank (USFB IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/equitas-small-finance-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28834:1" rel="noopener">Equitas Small Finance Bank (ESFB IN)</a></p>


The objective of "The Narrative" is to aid us in assessing management commentary, which we can further connect with ground reality via primary checks, aiding us in identifying key catalysts that could be potential drivers of stock returns. 


For the narrative, we will be covering commentary on Operating environment &amp; outlook, Business performance, Collection &amp; Credit Awareness, Asset Quality &amp; Restructuring, Liability franchise &amp; deposits, Digital banking, Future business drivers &amp; new launches

Companies covered in this Insight include AU Small Finance Bank Limited (AUBANK IN) / Ujjivan Small Finance Bank (USFB IN) / Equitas Small Finance Bank (ESFB IN)

The Narrative | Q1 FY22 | India Small Finance Banks - AUBANK, USFB, ESFB

Equity Capital Markets

Aptus Value Housing Finance India / Equity Capital Markets

<p>Complementing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/nitin-mangal" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:1988" rel="noopener">Nitin Mangal</a>'s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/aptus-value-housing-finance-ipo-key-takeaways" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:55779" rel="noopener">Aptus Value Housing Finance IPO - Key Takeaways</a> , in this Insight, we present takeaways derived by speaking to a couple of branch managers based out of Tamil Nadu.</p>
<p>Valuations are on the higher end ( <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/sumeet-singh" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4" rel="noopener">Sumeet Singh</a> 's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/aptus-value-housing-finance-ipo-valuation-is-too-rich-especially-with-an-over-capitalised-book" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:55773" rel="noopener">Aptus Value Housing Finance IPO - Valuation Is Too Rich, Especially with an Over-Capitalised Book</a>), however, the checks suggest an interesting business model that warrants Aptus to be on the watch list. </p>

Complementing Nitin Mangal's Aptus Value Housing Finance IPO - Key Takeaways , in this Insight, we present takeaways derived by speaking to a couple of branch managers based out of Tamil Nadu.
Valuations are on the higher end ( Sumeet Singh 's Aptus Value Housing Finance IPO - Valuation Is Too Rich, Especially with an Over-Capitalised Book), however, the checks suggest an interesting business model that warrants Aptus to be on the watch list. 

Aptus Value Housing Finance IPO | Primary Check Takeaways

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>This channel insight focuses on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/au-small-finance-bank-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24196:1" rel="noopener">AU Small Finance Bank Limited (AUBANK IN),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-home-life-solutions-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6172:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Home &amp; Life Solutions India Ltd (JCHAC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nilkamal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5323:1" rel="noopener">Nilkamal Ltd (NILK IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makemytrip-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23580:1" rel="noopener">Makemytrip Ltd (MMYT US)</a>. States, where our channels were based, include- West Bengal, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar.  </p>
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<h3>About India Channel Insight</h3>
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<p>Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets emerging out of these interactions and have been aiding us to generate interesting trade ideas and have often proven to be reliable sources of qualitative alpha. </p>
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This channel insight focuses on Zomato (ZOM IN), AU Small Finance Bank Limited (AUBANK IN),Hitachi Home &amp; Life Solutions India Ltd (JCHAC IN), Nilkamal Ltd (NILK IN) and Makemytrip Ltd (MMYT US). States, where our channels were based, include- West Bengal, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar.  

About India Channel Insight


Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets emerging out of these interactions and have been aiding us to generate interesting trade ideas and have often proven to be reliable sources of qualitative alpha. 


India Channel Insight | Zomato, AU Bank, Johnson Hitachi, Nilkamal, Makemytrip

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>Asia Index Private Limited has announced the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> for the upcoming review in June. The rebalance will be effective from the open on 21 June and passive funds will need to trade at the close (VWAP over the last 30 minutes of trading) on 18 June.</p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> will be included in the index replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-natural-gas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3456:1" rel="noopener">Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp (ONGC IN)</a>.</p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a> was the highest ranking non-constituent but the Index Committee went with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> to reduce the underweight of the Materials sector in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> vs the BSE All Cap index.</p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> was deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> in December and makes its way back into the index after a big rally while out of the index.</p><p>Passive funds will need to buy 0.33 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> and sell 1.63 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-natural-gas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3456:1" rel="noopener">Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp (ONGC IN)</a>. The actual impact will be higher since the delivery volumes on both stocks are much lower, especially on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a>. </p>

Asia Index Private Limited has announced the changes to the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) for the upcoming review in June. The rebalance will be effective from the open on 21 June and passive funds will need to trade at the close (VWAP over the last 30 minutes of trading) on 18 June.Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) will be included in the index replacing Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp (ONGC IN).Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN) was the highest ranking non-constituent but the Index Committee went with Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) to reduce the underweight of the Materials sector in the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) vs the BSE All Cap index.Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) was deleted from the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) in December and makes its way back into the index after a big rally while out of the index.Passive funds will need to buy 0.33 days of ADV on Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) and sell 1.63 days of ADV on Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp (ONGC IN). The actual impact will be higher since the delivery volumes on both stocks are much lower, especially on Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN). 

Sensex Index Rebalance: Tata Steel IN, ONGC OUT

India Financials

Saumya Agarwal

AU Small Finance Bank Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>AU Small Finance Bank, the largest Small Finance Bank in India by advances, has been putting up a tough fight in this pandemic. Collection trends have improved to more than 100% in Q4FY21, loan growth has picked up, and asset quality though stressed, is still manageable. The pandemic has been doubly challenging for Small Finance Banks, such as AU, given that they cater to small businesses and self-employed people. The unrelenting Covid wave is making it difficult for AU to sustain these improvements and stage a quick turnaround.</p><p><strong> </strong></p>

AU Small Finance Bank, the largest Small Finance Bank in India by advances, has been putting up a tough fight in this pandemic. Collection trends have improved to more than 100% in Q4FY21, loan growth has picked up, and asset quality though stressed, is still manageable. The pandemic has been doubly challenging for Small Finance Banks, such as AU, given that they cater to small businesses and self-employed people. The unrelenting Covid wave is making it difficult for AU to sustain these improvements and stage a quick turnaround. 

AU Small Finance Bank Q4FY21- Putting up a Tough Fight but Prolonged Covid Woes Clouding the Outlook

India

AU Small Finance Bank Limited operates as a commercial bank. The Bank offers financial products and services such as savings and current accounts, term deposits, debit cards, insurance, government banking, retail loans, and microfinance lending. AU Small Finance Bank serves customers in India.

AU Small Finance Bank Limited (AUBANK IN)

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AU Small Finance Bank Limited (AUBANK IN)

The Narrative | Q1 FY22 | India Small Finance Banks - AUBANK, USFB, ESFB

Companies covered in this Insight include AU Small Finance Bank Limited (AUBANK IN) / Ujjivan Small Finance Bank (USFB IN) / Equitas Small Finance...

Pranav Bhavsar

Aptus Value Housing Finance IPO | Primary Check Takeaways

In this Insight, we focus on key takeaways derived by speaking to a couple of Aptus branch managers based out of Tamil Nadu.

Pranav Bhavsar

India Channel Insight | Zomato, AU Bank, Johnson Hitachi, Nilkamal, Makemytrip

This channel insight focuses on ZOM IN, AUBANK IN, JCHAC IN, NILK IN and MMYT US. States, where our channels were based, include- West Bengal,...

Pranav Bhavsar

Sensex Index Rebalance: Tata Steel IN, ONGC OUT

Tata Steel will replace ONGC in the Sensex after the close of trading on 18 June. Tata Steel is back in the index after a 6 month break. Rebalance...

Brian Freitas

AU Small Finance Bank Q4FY21- Putting up a Tough Fight but Prolonged Covid Woes Clouding the Outlook

AU Small Finance Bank has been putting up a tough fight in this pandemic, but should the pandemic continue unabated , it could derail its efforts.

Saumya Agarwal

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