Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/power-finance-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13579:1" rel="noopener">Power Finance</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astral-poly-technik-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7890:1" rel="noopener">Astral</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idfc-first-bank-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26934:1" rel="noopener">IDFC First Bank</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cummins-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7365:1" rel="noopener">Cummins India</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-asset-management-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27027:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Asset Management</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashok-leyland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20104:1" rel="noopener">Ashok Leyland</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/polycab-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27877:1" rel="noopener">Polycab India</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/supreme-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11443:1" rel="noopener">Supreme Industries</a> have all run up over the recent past and have investor attention.</li>
<li>The increase in market cap has put the stocks on active manager radars and could also result in the stocks being added to global indices in the near future.</li>
<li>We take a look at the positioning on the stocks and recommend pair trades to reduce market risk while trying to capture alpha.</li>
</ul>



Power Finance, Astral, IDFC First Bank, Cummins India, HDFC Asset Management, Ashok Leyland, Polycab India and Supreme Industries have all run up over the recent past and have investor attention.
The increase in market cap has put the stocks on active manager radars and could also result in the stocks being added to global indices in the near future.
We take a look at the positioning on the stocks and recommend pair trades to reduce market risk while trying to capture alpha.


India - Positioning on Some Interesting Names

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 100 indices in the September 2023 rebalance.</li>
<li>The NIFTY Next 50 methodology was <em>supposed to</em> change in June 2023 but this has been kept on hold for now. This change could still take place before September 2023.</li>
<li>The HDFC/HDFC Bank Merger is expected to complete in the next few weeks and that could trigger intra-review index changes.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 100 indices in the September 2023 rebalance.
The NIFTY Next 50 methodology was supposed to change in June 2023 but this has been kept on hold for now. This change could still take place before September 2023.
The HDFC/HDFC Bank Merger is expected to complete in the next few weeks and that could trigger intra-review index changes.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 23: Non F&O Stocks Dilemma and Replacements for HDFC

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Continuing our focus on building products, for this Insight, we speak to RM supplier, a manufacturer, a few retailers and dealers to understand the demand outlook going forward </li>
<li>Government spending remains one of the primary drivers in the Industry right now.</li>
<li>There is minor down trading seen in tiles, while the market structure in pipes seems to be in favour of organised players. </li>
</ul>


Continuing our focus on building products, for this Insight, we speak to RM supplier, a manufacturer, a few retailers and dealers to understand the demand outlook going forward 
Government spending remains one of the primary drivers in the Industry right now.
There is minor down trading seen in tiles, while the market structure in pipes seems to be in favour of organised players. 


Channel Insight #31 - Building Products (RM Supplier, Manufacturer, Retailer, Dealer)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Edelweiss Broking Limited

Edelweiss

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Edelweiss Broking Limited

Edelweiss Broking Limited is an Indian Financial services company based in Mumbai, India. The company is a subsidiary of Edelweiss Group. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Astral Ltd (ASTRAL) reported a healthy set of numbers for Q3FY22 in both pipes and adhesives, despite the inflation in raw material prices</li><li>Consol. revenue/EBITDA/PAT grew 22.4%/2.9%/3.2% YoY, respectively, in-line with our estimates of 20%/0.6%/1.6% YoY</li><li>Revenue for Q3FY22 came in at INR1099cr, led by the healthy performance of the pipes business(up ~24% YoY).</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Astral Ltd (ASTRAL) reported a healthy set of numbers for Q3FY22 in both pipes and adhesives, despite the inflation in raw material pricesConsol. revenue/EBITDA/PAT grew 22.4%/2.9%/3.2% YoY, respectively, in-line with our estimates of 20%/0.6%/1.6% YoYRevenue for Q3FY22 came in at INR1099cr, led by the healthy performance of the pipes business(up ~24% YoY).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Astral Ltd: Robust Performance with Market Share Gain Continues

<ul><li>Astral Ltd (ASTRAL) reported healthy set of Q2FY22 numbers in both pipes and adhesives, despite the raw materials inflations.</li><li>Revenue for Q2FY22 came in at INR1154cr, led by better-than-expected performance in Adhesives (up 34.2% YoY).</li><li>We remain positive on ASTRAL. Maintain ‘BUY’ with a revised target price of INR2,500/share.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Astral Ltd (ASTRAL) reported healthy set of Q2FY22 numbers in both pipes and adhesives, despite the raw materials inflations.Revenue for Q2FY22 came in at INR1154cr, led by better-than-expected performance in Adhesives (up 34.2% YoY).We remain positive on ASTRAL. Maintain ‘BUY’ with a revised target price of INR2,500/share.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Astral Ltd: Industry Leading Performance Continue

India

Astral Polytechnik Limited manufactures and markets CPVC plumbing systems for residential and industrial applications. The Company also manufactures ASTM solvent weld lead free PVC plumbing systems.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Astral Ltd (ASTRA IN)

India - Positioning on Some Interesting Names

Quite a few Indian stocks have jumped in price recently and the increased market cap will put them on active investors radars and could get the...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 23: Non F&O Stocks Dilemma and Replacements for HDFC

LTIMindtree and Jindal Steel could be NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 intra-review replacements for HDFC and these changes could be implemented at the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Channel Insight #31 - Building Products (RM Supplier, Manufacturer, Retailer, Dealer)

Continuing our focus on building products, for this Insight, we speak to RM supplier, a manufacturer, retailers and dealers to understand the...

Pranav Bhavsar

Astral Ltd: Industry Leading Performance Continue

Astral Ltd (ASTRAL) reported healthy set of Q2FY22 numbers in both pipes and adhesives, despite the raw materials inflations.

Edelweiss

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)