Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC looks set for a significant recovery in top-line growth in 2024F, driven by continued faster-than-expected demand for its 3nm volume production leading to significantly improved overall ASP.</li>
<li>This should be supported by a concurrent improvement in the inventory cycle at major clients, helping recover TSMC’s utilisation back to historic norms.</li>
<li>Lower capital intensity, improving internal inventory levels, and accelerating top-line growth should all combine to drive record levels of Free Cash Flow generation during 2024F.</li>
</ul>


TSMC looks set for a significant recovery in top-line growth in 2024F, driven by continued faster-than-expected demand for its 3nm volume production leading to significantly improved overall ASP.
This should be supported by a concurrent improvement in the inventory cycle at major clients, helping recover TSMC’s utilisation back to historic norms.
Lower capital intensity, improving internal inventory levels, and accelerating top-line growth should all combine to drive record levels of Free Cash Flow generation during 2024F.


2024 High Conviction: TSMC (2330 TT) Is Perfectly Poised for Revenue and FCF Growth Acceleration

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Asian Decline:  China &amp; HK hits record lows and remains a key underweight.  Australia and Japan near ownership lows and India becomes a key underweight.  Taiwan powers to record highs. </li>
<li>Americas Dominance: The United States remains the top allocation and largest country underweight.  Value funds increase underweight in the USA but Growth funds reduce.  Argentina rises at Brazil’s expense.</li>
<li>EMEA Conviction Overweight: The UK, France, and the Netherlands maintain near-record overweights. France sees some declining interest, while Belgium, Norway, and Finland play diminishing role. MENA underweight grows.</li>
</ul>


Asian Decline:  China &amp; HK hits record lows and remains a key underweight.  Australia and Japan near ownership lows and India becomes a key underweight.  Taiwan powers to record highs. 
Americas Dominance: The United States remains the top allocation and largest country underweight.  Value funds increase underweight in the USA but Growth funds reduce.  Argentina rises at Brazil’s expense.
EMEA Conviction Overweight: The UK, France, and the Netherlands maintain near-record overweights. France sees some declining interest, while Belgium, Norway, and Finland play diminishing role. MENA underweight grows.


Taiwan Shines as China & Japan Decline:  Global Funds Top-Down Positioning Report

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>AMAT Q124 revenues of $6.65 billion, in line with guidance and essentially flat both QoQ and YoY. Current quarter guidance also flat sequentially</li>
<li>WFE valuations are at all time record highs while revenues remain on life support from China</li>
<li>If China revenues fall off before non-China returns to growth, the WFE segment could be in for a world of pain.</li>
</ul>


AMAT Q124 revenues of $6.65 billion, in line with guidance and essentially flat both QoQ and YoY. Current quarter guidance also flat sequentially
WFE valuations are at all time record highs while revenues remain on life support from China
If China revenues fall off before non-China returns to growth, the WFE segment could be in for a world of pain.


AMAT. No Beat, No Raise, No Slump. But Why?

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>German Treasury Secretary Yellen Urges US-Europe Collaboration to Counter China's Industrial Dominance </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asml-holding-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21097:1" rel="noopener">ASML Holding NV (ASML NA)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a> Prepared to Disable Advanced Chipmaking Machines in Case of Chinese Invasion of Taiwan</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> to Release Earnings Amid AI-Driven Growth Surge</li>
</ul>


German Treasury Secretary Yellen Urges US-Europe Collaboration to Counter China's Industrial Dominance 

ASML Holding NV (ASML NA) and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT) Prepared to Disable Advanced Chipmaking Machines in Case of Chinese Invasion of Taiwan

NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) to Release Earnings Amid AI-Driven Growth Surge


#1Business Buzz: Countering China's Dominance, Steel Tariff on China, TSMC, ASML, NVIDIA Q1 Results

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul>
<li>Tech titans foresee the obsolescence of AI PC by Computex 2024, sparking anticipation for new technological advancements.</li>
<li>Disney and Warner's collaboration in the streaming market introduces fresh competition, shaking up the industry landscape.</li>
<li>ASML's thriving in the Angstrom Era credits its success to relentless innovation and adaptability within the semiconductor sector.</li>
</ul>


Tech titans foresee the obsolescence of AI PC by Computex 2024, sparking anticipation for new technological advancements.
Disney and Warner's collaboration in the streaming market introduces fresh competition, shaking up the industry landscape.
ASML's thriving in the Angstrom Era credits its success to relentless innovation and adaptability within the semiconductor sector.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-May-2024): AI PC term will be obsolete soon, tech titans predict at pre-Computex event.

Netherlands

ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, and markets semiconductor manufacturing equipment, specifically machines for the production of chips through lithography. The Company services clients world wide.

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ASML Holding NV (ASML NA)

2024 High Conviction: TSMC (2330 TT) Is Perfectly Poised for Revenue and FCF Growth Acceleration

Given that we have reached the peak of the Capex cycle, along with normalisation in its internal working capital, and with revenue growth set to...

Wium Malan, CFA

Taiwan Shines as China & Japan Decline: Global Funds Top-Down Positioning Report

Taiwan allocations rise in face of subdued Asia. USA dominant though Value funds increase underweights. UK, France & Netherlands remain key...

Steven Holden

AMAT. No Beat, No Raise, No Slump. But Why?

Q124 revenues $6.65 billion, in line & flat QoQ and YoY. Q224 guidance also flat QoQ. If China revenues fall before non-China grows, the WFE...

William Keating

#1Business Buzz: Countering China's Dominance, Steel Tariff on China, TSMC, ASML, NVIDIA Q1 Results

This blog provides a summary of the top global news from the past 24 hours, keeping you informed with the latest updates from around the world.

Nimish Maheshwari

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-May-2024): AI PC term will be obsolete soon, tech titans predict at pre-Computex event.

Tech titans foresee AI PCs replacing current technology; Disney and Warner's streaming partnership shakes up the market; ASML's innovation drives...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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