TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>An old saying in stock investing is wait three days after a blowup to buy. OK…well Snap blew up 10 days ago…and Facebook last week. So, which to buy? Well, go buy Google first. It’s a better company than either Snap or Facebook, isn’t impacted by Apple’s changes, and has the more compelling growth adjusted valuation. But Snap or Facebook? We bought both.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.</p></div>

An old saying in stock investing is wait three days after a blowup to buy. OK…well Snap blew up 10 days ago…and Facebook last week. So, which to buy? Well, go buy Google first. It’s a better company than either Snap or Facebook, isn’t impacted by Apple’s changes, and has the more compelling growth adjusted valuation. But Snap or Facebook? We bought both.Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.

Latest News from the World’s Leading Innovators

Granite Bay Capital

An innovation focussed investment company

Granite Bay Capital is an innovation focussed investment company with a deep focus on the companies at the leading edge of innovation across major themes such as AI, ubiquitous computing, sustainability, automation and longevity.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Headline Development</h2><p>Hertz (HTZZ) just made the largest EV purchase ever, acquiring 100k Teslas (TLSA) for a reported $4.2b - half of which will go to Uber (UBER) drivers.  On top of this, Hertz will also invest significantly in EV charging infrastructure across its global operations.</p>

Headline DevelopmentHertz (HTZZ) just made the largest EV purchase ever, acquiring 100k Teslas (TLSA) for a reported $4.2b - half of which will go to Uber (UBER) drivers.  On top of this, Hertz will also invest significantly in EV charging infrastructure across its global operations.

<p>Deep Dive - Facebook Metaverse This week I want to do a deep dive into the Metaverse after Facebook (FB) announced its plan to hire 10,000 people for their Metaverse project. It’s a theme that will run through many future editions of WIRE and is something I’ve also dived into a little here and here with Future Sandwich’s Tommy McCubbin.</p>

Deep Dive - Facebook Metaverse This week I want to do a deep dive into the Metaverse after Facebook (FB) announced its plan to hire 10,000 people for their Metaverse project. It’s a theme that will run through many future editions of WIRE and is something I’ve also dived into a little here and here with Future Sandwich’s Tommy McCubbin.

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/parade-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6987:1" rel="noopener">Parade Technologies (4966 TT)</a> is a fabless semiconductor that specialises in high-speed video interfacing and processing products, and expected to see large passive inflows from an MSCI rebalance (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/msci-nov-2021-index-rebalance-preview-go" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:59067" rel="noopener">MSCI Nov 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Go!</a>).</p></div><p>The review period for price cut-off started on 18 October 2021 and will run to 29 October 2021. MSCI is expected to announce the results of the review on 12 November 2021, with changes implemented after the close of trading on 30 November 2021. </p><p>In this Insight, we provide a primer on Parade Technologies including an analysis in respect of where in the value chain it sits, in particular as a key display supplier to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple Inc (AAPL US)</a>, potential investment catalysts, and valuation. </p>

Parade Technologies (4966 TT) is a fabless semiconductor that specialises in high-speed video interfacing and processing products, and expected to see large passive inflows from an MSCI rebalance (MSCI Nov 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Go!).The review period for price cut-off started on 18 October 2021 and will run to 29 October 2021. MSCI is expected to announce the results of the review on 12 November 2021, with changes implemented after the close of trading on 30 November 2021. In this Insight, we provide a primer on Parade Technologies including an analysis in respect of where in the value chain it sits, in particular as a key display supplier to Apple Inc (AAPL US), potential investment catalysts, and valuation. 

Parade Technologies (4966 TT) - Expensive Now, But Accumulate on Weakness Given Structural Positives

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In 3Q21, the whole smartphone market was weak due to the chip shortage.</li>
<li>Apple took back the No. 2 place from Xiaomi in shipment market share.</li>
<li>Samsung is self-supporting in chip supply, but Xiaomi is not.</li>
<li>Both of Apple and Samsung's margins are higher than Xiaomi's.</li>
</ul>


In 3Q21, the whole smartphone market was weak due to the chip shortage.
Apple took back the No. 2 place from Xiaomi in shipment market share.
Samsung is self-supporting in chip supply, but Xiaomi is not.
Both of Apple and Samsung's margins are higher than Xiaomi's.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): Weak Market in 3Q21 and Not Competitive Internationally

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

Do You Buy Snap or Facebook or Both?

Snapchat blew up on earnings last week, Facebook followed. We think both merit buying; Snapchat will revert to 50%+ growth, while Facebook is too...

Aaron Gabin

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #55

Hertz (HTZZ) just made the largest EV purchase ever, acquiring 100k Teslas (TLSA) for a reported $4.2b - half of which will go...

Granite Bay Capital

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #54

Deep Dive - Facebook Metaverse This week I want to do a deep dive into the Metaverse after Facebook (FB) announced its plan to hire 10,000 people...

Granite Bay Capital

Parade Technologies (4966 TT) - Expensive Now, But Accumulate on Weakness Given Structural Positives

We provide a primer on Parade Technologies including an analysis in respect of where in the value chain it sits, in particular as a key display...

Jason Yap, CFA

Xiaomi (1810 HK): Weak Market in 3Q21 and Not Competitive Internationally

In 3Q21, the smartphone market was weak due to the chip shortage. Apple took back the No. 2 place from Xiaomi in market share. Xiaomi has tech and...

Ming Lu

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