Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US Tech allocations have hit fresh all-time highs among active Global investors.  Never before have Global investors placed such a reliance on US Tech to drive returns</li>
<li>We find that increases in US Tech weights were driven by relative price gains, rather than any active rebalancing in favour of the sector.</li>
<li>In fact, active momentum is slowing.  Value, Yield and GARP investors have increased underweights and Growth investors have moved from overweight to underweight.  </li>
</ul>


US Tech allocations have hit fresh all-time highs among active Global investors.  Never before have Global investors placed such a reliance on US Tech to drive returns
We find that increases in US Tech weights were driven by relative price gains, rather than any active rebalancing in favour of the sector.
In fact, active momentum is slowing.  Value, Yield and GARP investors have increased underweights and Growth investors have moved from overweight to underweight.  


US Tech:  Record Allocations, Record Underweights.  Value Becoming Harder to Find

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 6 inclusions and 6 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nasdaq-100-stock-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26197:1" rel="noopener">Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX)</a> at the annual December reconstitution. The estimated one-way trade is US$11.05bn.</li>
<li>Impact on the inclusions ranges from 0.25-2.22 days of ADV to buy, while the impact on the deletions varies from 1.4-3.38 days of ADV to sell.</li>
<li>There will be large inflows on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta Platforms (FB US)</a> and large outflows on Tesla, Apple, NVidia, Amazon and Google.</li>
</ul>


There are 6 inclusions and 6 exclusions for the Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX) at the annual December reconstitution. The estimated one-way trade is US$11.05bn.
Impact on the inclusions ranges from 0.25-2.22 days of ADV to buy, while the impact on the deletions varies from 1.4-3.38 days of ADV to sell.
There will be large inflows on Meta Platforms (FB US) and large outflows on Tesla, Apple, NVidia, Amazon and Google.


NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Six Changes at the Annual Reconstitution

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

<ul>
<li>The companies that are best positioned to take advantage of the 5G growth are a mix of equipment vendors, chipset companies, device makers, and enterprise solution providers. </li>
<li>The top ten companies to benefit from 5G rollout based on innovation and citation count are <strong>Samsung Electronics, Qualcomm, LG Electronics, AT&amp;T, Huawei, Intel, Google, Ericsson, Apple,</strong> and <strong>Nokia </strong>
</li>
<li>A stand-out in 5G technology rankings is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8814:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics (066570 KS)</a> which is punching well above its current market share in the industry. </li>
</ul>


The companies that are best positioned to take advantage of the 5G growth are a mix of equipment vendors, chipset companies, device makers, and enterprise solution providers. 
The top ten companies to benefit from 5G rollout based on innovation and citation count are Samsung Electronics, Qualcomm, LG Electronics, AT&amp;T, Huawei, Intel, Google, Ericsson, Apple, and Nokia 

A stand-out in 5G technology rankings is LG Electronics (066570 KS) which is punching well above its current market share in the industry. 


Stock Ideas from Data Mining Technical Publications: A Look at 5G

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>DoubleVerify is a provider of advertising solutions to businesses that helps with ad verification, fraud prevention, and brand safety.</li>
<li>Profitable business model and reasonable valuation (12x forward sales) for its growth/margin profile that ranks well on the Rule of 40 metric.</li>
<li>Recent acquisition of OpenSlate looks synergistic as it expands DV's prebid offerings.</li>
</ul>


DoubleVerify is a provider of advertising solutions to businesses that helps with ad verification, fraud prevention, and brand safety.
Profitable business model and reasonable valuation (12x forward sales) for its growth/margin profile that ranks well on the Rule of 40 metric.
Recent acquisition of OpenSlate looks synergistic as it expands DV's prebid offerings.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a> announced a pre-conditional privatisation offer from Mr Tan, Mr Lim and CVC at HK$2.82 per share, a 55.8% premium to the unaffected price. </li>
<li>The pre-condition is anti-trust approval in several countries. Key conditions are the headcount test and approval by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection).  </li>
<li>While the offer will leave many disappointed (such as IPO investors), it is reasonable compared to historical share prices and multiples. The gross spread at the last close is 14.6%. </li>
</ul>



Razer Inc (1337 HK) announced a pre-conditional privatisation offer from Mr Tan, Mr Lim and CVC at HK$2.82 per share, a 55.8% premium to the unaffected price. 
The pre-condition is anti-trust approval in several countries. Key conditions are the headcount test and approval by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection).  
While the offer will leave many disappointed (such as IPO investors), it is reasonable compared to historical share prices and multiples. The gross spread at the last close is 14.6%. 


Razer’s Privatisation Bid by Founders and CVC

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

US Tech: Record Allocations, Record Underweights. Value Becoming Harder to Find

US Tech allocations have hit fresh all-time highs among active Global investors. Never before have Global investors placed such a reliance on US...

Steven Holden

NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Six Changes at the Annual Reconstitution

There are 6 changes for the NASDAQ-100 index at the annual December reconstitution. Apart from the flows on the adds and deletes, there will be...

Brian Freitas

Stock Ideas from Data Mining Technical Publications: A Look at 5G

5G connectivity is expected to spawn new business and services across sectors. We review the technological positioning of companies competing in...

Pyari Menon

Recent IPO Insights: DoubleVerify

DoubleVerify is a provider of advertising solutions to businesses that helps with ad verification, fraud prevention, and brand safety. Fast growing...

Aaron Gabin

Razer’s Privatisation Bid by Founders and CVC

While the HK$2.82 per share offer will leave many disappointed (such as IPO investors), it is reasonable compared to historical share prices and...

Arun George

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