Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Samsung Semiconductor re-org, new reporting lines, top management promotions and demotions, but the same people. That's going to solve problems? Qualcomm gives up on buying Intel - good idea. </li>
<li>Xiaomi to launch its smartphone chip, but what for? Intel launching a PC GPU again . Apple delays or abandons 2nm for M5 chip (too expensive). TSMC increasing CoWoS again. </li>
<li>China - US worsening relations, side effect is over buying, over stocking of semiconductors? is there a bunch of inventories in China that we can't see?  </li>
</ul>


Samsung Semiconductor re-org, new reporting lines, top management promotions and demotions, but the same people. That's going to solve problems? Qualcomm gives up on buying Intel - good idea. 
Xiaomi to launch its smartphone chip, but what for? Intel launching a PC GPU again . Apple delays or abandons 2nm for M5 chip (too expensive). TSMC increasing CoWoS again. 
China - US worsening relations, side effect is over buying, over stocking of semiconductors? is there a bunch of inventories in China that we can't see?  


Tech News This Week: Samsung Re-Org, QCOM Gives up on Intel, TSMC Increase CoWoS, Apple Delays 2nm

A Value Investing Journal, Acid Investments

Acid Investments

A Value Investing Journal

I love stonks and I love rambling. Sometimes, I feel it unfair to subject those around me with the inundation of my thoughts, so I tweet and I spill ink on here. Jokes aside, I love investing and edgy ideas; I hope to become a better investor and this is my journal to that end. I will be sharing value/special situations I come across organically or through other blogs/13F and I hope to provide a variant analytical view to said situations. I hope to receive constructive feedback and let’s grab some of dem benjamins together!

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>If anyone remembers, in the spring of last year, we had a banking crisis - multiple bank-runs that led to the some of the largest bank failures in US history.</li><li>Sparked by the bankruptcy of FTX, Silvergate was first hit by a bank run before the subsequent panic-induced domino-closure of <strong>three highly reputable banks</strong> - Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), NY based Signature Bank and lastly, First Republic Bank.</li><li>I still vividly remember the day, Peter Thiel “commanded his cronies” to pull their money out of SVB, ASAP; the stock gapped down bigly at opening and the rest is history.</li></ul>

If anyone remembers, in the spring of last year, we had a banking crisis - multiple bank-runs that led to the some of the largest bank failures in US history.Sparked by the bankruptcy of FTX, Silvergate was first hit by a bank run before the subsequent panic-induced domino-closure of three highly reputable banks - Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), NY based Signature Bank and lastly, First Republic Bank.I still vividly remember the day, Peter Thiel “commanded his cronies” to pull their money out of SVB, ASAP; the stock gapped down bigly at opening and the rest is history.

Thanksgiving musings: What's done extremely well over the last year???

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>AI boom reflected in record fund ownership in ASML Holding NV (ASML NA), NVIDIA Corp and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT).</li>
<li>The 'Magnificent 7' group of stocks have hit a record underweight of -6.83% below the MSCI ACWI index.  They collectively account for 11.2% of the average Global fund.</li>
<li>Recovery Stocks: The old guard of At&amp;T Inc (T US), International Business Machines (IBM US) and General Electric (GE US) appear to be gathering some support from active Global funds.</li>
</ul>


AI boom reflected in record fund ownership in ASML Holding NV (ASML NA), NVIDIA Corp and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT).
The 'Magnificent 7' group of stocks have hit a record underweight of -6.83% below the MSCI ACWI index.  They collectively account for 11.2% of the average Global fund.
Recovery Stocks: The old guard of At&amp;T Inc (T US), International Business Machines (IBM US) and General Electric (GE US) appear to be gathering some support from active Global funds.


Global Stock Positioning:  MSFT Dominates, Mag7 Record U/W, Apple Inflows, Tobacco Uninvestable?

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a> ’s long waited IPO is now live and plans to raise US$700m at a much lower valuation of US$4.8bn vs price paid by Bain 6-years ago.</li>
<li>The company’s IPO is very timely as earnings have almost approached the cycle peak, but margins have continued to trail peers who have a more balanced product portfolio.</li>
<li>Kioxia’s valuation has declined while market sentiment for memory names has also been that great. We will discuss our valuation in a follow-up insight. </li>
</ul>



Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) ’s long waited IPO is now live and plans to raise US$700m at a much lower valuation of US$4.8bn vs price paid by Bain 6-years ago.
The company’s IPO is very timely as earnings have almost approached the cycle peak, but margins have continued to trail peers who have a more balanced product portfolio.
Kioxia’s valuation has declined while market sentiment for memory names has also been that great. We will discuss our valuation in a follow-up insight. 


Kioxia IPO: Initial Thoughts on Financials and Valuation

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP)</a> is aiming to raise around US$700m (including over-allocation) from its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>It was the world’s largest pure-play NAND flash memory supplier, in terms of both revenue and unit shipments in 2023, according to TechInsights.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company's past performance in our earlier notes. In this note we undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP) is aiming to raise around US$700m (including over-allocation) from its Japan IPO.
It was the world’s largest pure-play NAND flash memory supplier, in terms of both revenue and unit shipments in 2023, according to TechInsights.
We have looked at the company's past performance in our earlier notes. In this note we undertake a peer comparison.


United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

Tech News This Week: Samsung Re-Org, QCOM Gives up on Intel, TSMC Increase CoWoS, Apple Delays 2nm

Samsung re-orgs, Qualcomm backs off from Intel purchase, Xiaomi enters chip market, Intel introduces PC GPU, Apple delays 2nm for M5, TSMC boosts...

Nicolas Baratte

Thanksgiving musings: What's done extremely well over the last year???

If anyone remembers, in the spring of last year, we had a banking crisis - multiple bank-runs that led to the some of the largest bank failures in...

Acid Investments

Global Stock Positioning: MSFT Dominates, Mag7 Record U/W, Apple Inflows, Tobacco Uninvestable?

The latest in stock-level investor positioning among over 300 active Global funds. We explore the AI boom, key over/underweights, Tobacco's...

Steven Holden

Kioxia IPO: Initial Thoughts on Financials and Valuation

Kioxia's IPO is timely as earnings have almost approached the cycle peak, but the proposed valuation is at a huge discount to what Bain paid six...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Kioxia Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP) is aiming to raise around US$700m (including over-allocation) from its Japan IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tech News This Week: Samsung Re-Org, QCOM Gives up on Intel, TSMC Increase CoWoS, Apple Delays 2nm

​Samsung re-orgs, Qualcomm backs off from Intel purchase, Xiaomi enters chip market, Intel introduces PC GPU, Apple delays 2nm for M5, TSMC boosts...

Nicolas Baratte

Thanksgiving musings: What's done extremely well over the last year???

If anyone remembers, in the spring of last year, we had a banking crisis - multiple bank-runs that led to the some of the largest bank failures in...

Acid Investments

Global Stock Positioning: MSFT Dominates, Mag7 Record U/W, Apple Inflows, Tobacco Uninvestable?

The latest in stock-level investor positioning among over 300 active Global funds. We explore the AI boom, key over/underweights, Tobacco's...

Steven Holden

Kioxia IPO: Initial Thoughts on Financials and Valuation

​Kioxia's IPO is timely as earnings have almost approached the cycle peak, but the proposed valuation is at a huge discount to what Bain paid six...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Kioxia Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP) is aiming to raise around US$700m (including over-allocation) from its Japan IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer...

Sumeet Singh

Samsung re-orgs, Qualcomm backs off from Intel purchase, Xiaomi enters chip market, Intel introduces PC GPU, Apple delays 2nm for M5, TSMC boosts...

Kioxia's IPO is timely as earnings have almost approached the cycle peak, but the proposed valuation is at a huge discount to what Bain paid six...