Actionable Insights, Assured Alpha, ANTYA Investments

ANTYA Investments

Actionable Insights, Assured Alpha

Investing That Empowers You

ANTYA Investments Inc., regulated by the Ontario Securities Commission, is registered to provide wealth management services in Canada. ANTYA manages institutional, and high net-worth client portfolios on a discretionary basis. Our investment philosophy embraces a Core-Satellite approach.  The core of the portfolio is chosen from a group of fifteen asset classes. A few stock specific asymmetrical investment opportunities comprise the satellite segment. ANTYA invests only in global, large capitalization, and investment grade companies.  

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>By focusing investor attention on gross profit, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/24409" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1">Xiaomi Corp's (1810 HK)</a> Q3-18 results deftly side-stepped the YoY EBITDA decline of 14.3%. To us it is evident that economies of scale are absent in the business, and with an ever increasing emphasis on extending generous credit to boost sales overseas, Xiaomi is playing with fire. We advise investors to exercise caution. In our view, there is better value elsewhere in Asian equity markets.</p>

By focusing investor attention on gross profit, Xiaomi Corp's (1810 HK) Q3-18 results deftly side-stepped the YoY EBITDA decline of 14.3%. To us it is evident that economies of scale are absent in the business, and with an ever increasing emphasis on extending generous credit to boost sales overseas, Xiaomi is playing with fire. We advise investors to exercise caution. In our view, there is better value elsewhere in Asian equity markets.

Xiaomi Corporation – Running Harder to Stay Still

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<blockquote><p><em> </em><em>‘The ‘Peak Smartphone’ theme justified an underweight stance back in Q4 across the most heavily exposed Asian supply chain stocks, with DDR4 DRAM prices down about 20% from its January peak and NAND flash down a third. Many bulls put premature faith in AI and AVs as incremental demand drivers, certainly valid medium term, but not on a scale to offset smartphone weakness this year while for high-end chip makers the end of the crypto mining frenzy is starting to impact. TSMC said this week that sales will rise by only a ‘high single-digit’ percentage in USD terms, down from a previous (reduced) projection of 10%.</em>’</p></blockquote><div class="content-remarks"><p>Weekly Insight, July 20th 2018</p></div>

 ‘The ‘Peak Smartphone’ theme justified an underweight stance back in Q4 across the most heavily exposed Asian supply chain stocks, with DDR4 DRAM prices down about 20% from its January peak and NAND flash down a third. Many bulls put premature faith in AI and AVs as incremental demand drivers, certainly valid medium term, but not on a scale to offset smartphone weakness this year while for high-end chip makers the end of the crypto mining frenzy is starting to impact. TSMC said this week that sales will rise by only a ‘high single-digit’ percentage in USD terms, down from a previous (reduced) projection of 10%.’Weekly Insight, July 20th 2018

Bearish Tech Stance Still Performing, as 5G Rollout Looms

Chief Economist

Diana Choyleva

Enodo Economics

Enodo Economics is an independent macroeconomic forecasting company that untangles complexity, challenges the consensus, and makes sense of the future. Our focus is on China – one of the most misunderstood economies in the world, but one of the most important to figure out.  Enodo’s chief economist, Diana Choyleva, has been analysing China for almost 20 years, while Enodo’s team boasts a combined 140 years’ experience covering China’s economy, politics and markets. 

Macroeconomics

<h2><strong>China News That Matters</strong></h2>
<ul>
<li>Two to tango in Buenos Aires?</li>
<li>Equities slide; foreigners want in</li>
<li>Records fall yet consumer caution rises</li>
<li>Censors tighten grip amid tech boom</li>
</ul>
<div class="content-remarks">
<p>In my weekly digest China News That Matters, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and highlight why I think the news is significant. These posts are meant to neither be bullish nor bearish, but help you separate the signal from the noise.</p>
</div>

China News That Matters

Two to tango in Buenos Aires?
Equities slide; foreigners want in
Records fall yet consumer caution rises
Censors tighten grip amid tech boom


In my weekly digest China News That Matters, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and highlight why I think the news is significant. These posts are meant to neither be bullish nor bearish, but help you separate the signal from the noise.


Trade War/China Stocks/ Consumers & Singles’ Day/Tech Worries

Japan TMT Analyst

Pelham Smithers

Market Intel on Asian Tech with a Japan focus

Pelham Smithers Associates

Founded in 2009, Pelham Smithers Associates (PSA) provides market intelligence on Asian technology, focusing in particular on Japan. The industries covered by our team of specialists are: consumer electronics, telecomms, pharmaceuticals, internet, electronic parts and materials, automotive technology, retail and capital goods. 

Research is provided by the following:
Pelham Smithers: Macro, consumer electronics, telecoms & pharma
Joel Scheiman: Electronics materials / components
Julie Boote: Autos
Will Nestuk: Capital goods, machinery & transportation equipment parts
Thao Nguyen: eCommerce, internet content, marketing & advertising

<p>If and when the downturn does come, it is likely to be painful around the world. Based on past experience it is likely to be very painful in Japan, where earnings have proven to be much more vulnerable than elsewhere in a downturn. How relevant, though, is past experience with all the changes in Japan, and can Japan Inc protect earnings on the downside?</p>

If and when the downturn does come, it is likely to be painful around the world. Based on past experience it is likely to be very painful in Japan, where earnings have proven to be much more vulnerable than elsewhere in a downturn. How relevant, though, is past experience with all the changes in Japan, and can Japan Inc protect earnings on the downside?

Can Japan Inc Protect Earnings on the Downside?

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p style="text-align: justify;">The “Big” rally has now faded less than a week from its start. While many point to a robust economy, strong GDP, and a strengthening U.S. dollar as the bellwether of global currencies, something seems amiss. Higher interest rates have doused the market’s advance, with 10-year yields double what they once were just three years ago. Investors are being jostled about as a determination is made as to whether the Fed has gone too far and too fast. Our concern here is that the Fed is creating a conundrum, indicating that higher rates are still forthcoming despite what we, and the market, are viewing as the possible end of the bull market...</p><p></p><p>In our November Strategy publication, we outline a host of indicators we are watching for signs of the market's health.  In addition we highlight a number of actionable setups within Health care, Consumer Staples and Technology.</p>

The “Big” rally has now faded less than a week from its start. While many point to a robust economy, strong GDP, and a strengthening U.S. dollar as the bellwether of global currencies, something seems amiss. Higher interest rates have doused the market’s advance, with 10-year yields double what they once were just three years ago. Investors are being jostled about as a determination is made as to whether the Fed has gone too far and too fast. Our concern here is that the Fed is creating a conundrum, indicating that higher rates are still forthcoming despite what we, and the market, are viewing as the possible end of the bull market...In our November Strategy publication, we outline a host of indicators we are watching for signs of the market's health.  In addition we highlight a number of actionable setups within Health care, Consumer Staples and Technology.

U.S. Equity Strategy & Sector Commentaries: Defensive Sectors Leading = Unhealthy Market

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

Xiaomi Corporation – Running Harder to Stay Still

By focusing investor attention on gross profit, Xiaomi Corp's (1810 HK) Q3-18 results deftly side-stepped the YoY EBITDA decline of 14.3%. To us it...

ANTYA Investments

Bearish Tech Stance Still Performing, as 5G Rollout Looms

‘The ‘Peak Smartphone’ theme justified an underweight stance back in Q4 across the most heavily exposed Asian supply chain stocks, with DDR4 DRAM...

Sean Maher

Trade War/China Stocks/ Consumers & Singles’ Day/Tech Worries

China News That Matters Two to tango in Buenos Aires? Equities slide; foreigners want in Records fall yet consumer caution rises Censors tighten...

Diana Choyleva

Can Japan Inc Protect Earnings on the Downside?

If and when the downturn does come, it is likely to be painful around the world. Based on past experience it is likely to be very painful in Japan,...

Pelham Smithers Associates

U.S. Equity Strategy & Sector Commentaries: Defensive Sectors Leading = Unhealthy Market

The “Big” rally has now faded less than a week from its start. While many point to a robust economy, strong GDP, and a strengthening U.S. dollar as...

Vermilion Research

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