External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We anticipate margin contraction for steel companies within our coverage due to decreased steel price realizations (average HRC benchmark prices down 7% YoY and 5% QoQ in Q4FY24) and increased coking coal consumption costs (largely flat YoY but higher QoQ), despite a QoQ recovery in sales volumes driven by seasonally strong performance in Q4 (although volumes remain largely flat YoY).</li><li>We expect another good quarter for base metal stocks under our coverage.</li><li>Both Hindalco and NALCO are expected to report margin expansion YoY/QoQ on higher shipments, stable LME, and lower coal/power costs.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We anticipate margin contraction for steel companies within our coverage due to decreased steel price realizations (average HRC benchmark prices down 7% YoY and 5% QoQ in Q4FY24) and increased coking coal consumption costs (largely flat YoY but higher QoQ), despite a QoQ recovery in sales volumes driven by seasonally strong performance in Q4 (although volumes remain largely flat YoY).We expect another good quarter for base metal stocks under our coverage.Both Hindalco and NALCO are expected to report margin expansion YoY/QoQ on higher shipments, stable LME, and lower coal/power costs.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Nalco’s Revenue stood at Rs 3,043 Cr, down 13%/4% YoY/QoQ, led by a drop in the average LME Aluminium prices.</li><li>EBITDA (up 19% YoY, down 33% QoQ) was a negative surprise due to a 29%/39% miss vs. consensus and our estimate, largely due to an unexpected surge in the Power and Fuel costs (up 14% QoQ, 19% higher than our estimates). </li><li>Hindalco’s Consolidated Revenue (down 4% YoY, up 2% QoQ), stood in line with our estimate at Rs 54,169 Cr. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nalco’s Revenue stood at Rs 3,043 Cr, down 13%/4% YoY/QoQ, led by a drop in the average LME Aluminium prices.EBITDA (up 19% YoY, down 33% QoQ) was a negative surprise due to a 29%/39% miss vs. consensus and our estimate, largely due to an unexpected surge in the Power and Fuel costs (up 14% QoQ, 19% higher than our estimates). Hindalco’s Consolidated Revenue (down 4% YoY, up 2% QoQ), stood in line with our estimate at Rs 54,169 Cr. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Sector Ideas - Metals and Mining (Q2FY24)

<ul><li>Samvat 2079 proved to be an intriguing year for the Indian equity market, characterized by notable volatility in the first half.</li><li>Several factors contributed to this turbulence, including a) A hawkish central bank view on the interest rates, b) Rising bond yields, c) Rising Covid-19 cases in China towards the end of 2022, d) Imposition of lockdowns in the Chinese economy, e) Union budget-related developments, and f) Other macroeconomic challenges.</li><li>These occurrences collectively subdued market performance in the first half of Samvat. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Samvat 2079 proved to be an intriguing year for the Indian equity market, characterized by notable volatility in the first half.Several factors contributed to this turbulence, including a) A hawkish central bank view on the interest rates, b) Rising bond yields, c) Rising Covid-19 cases in China towards the end of 2022, d) Imposition of lockdowns in the Chinese economy, e) Union budget-related developments, and f) Other macroeconomic challenges.These occurrences collectively subdued market performance in the first half of Samvat. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Our POW calls delivered an excellent Monthly strike rate of 84% in Oct’23.</li><li>Calls that successfully achieved their target were Nestle India (~10%), Aptus Value Housing Finance (10%), and Equitas Small Finance Bank (10%).</li><li>ICICI Bank LtdAxis Alpha reported an astounding monthly strike rate of 80% in Oct’23.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our POW calls delivered an excellent Monthly strike rate of 84% in Oct’23.Calls that successfully achieved their target were Nestle India (~10%), Aptus Value Housing Finance (10%), and Equitas Small Finance Bank (10%).ICICI Bank LtdAxis Alpha reported an astounding monthly strike rate of 80% in Oct’23.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Research Scorecard Report for Oct 2023

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>APL Apollo Tubes’ Revenue/EBITDA/PAT stood largely in line with our estimates. On a consensus basis, it was a slight miss of 4%/3%/5% respectively.</li><li>Revenue grew by 17%/2% YoY/QoQ, led by higher sales volumes, partially offset by a drop in HRC steel prices (down 1.5%/4% YoY/QoQ).</li><li>VAP sales stood largely flat at 55% vs. 54% in Q2FY23. EBITDA grew by 40%/6% YoY/QoQ to Rs 325 Cr, a 3% beat vs. our estimates, which was on account of topline growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

APL Apollo Tubes’ Revenue/EBITDA/PAT stood largely in line with our estimates. On a consensus basis, it was a slight miss of 4%/3%/5% respectively.Revenue grew by 17%/2% YoY/QoQ, led by higher sales volumes, partially offset by a drop in HRC steel prices (down 1.5%/4% YoY/QoQ).VAP sales stood largely flat at 55% vs. 54% in Q2FY23. EBITDA grew by 40%/6% YoY/QoQ to Rs 325 Cr, a 3% beat vs. our estimates, which was on account of topline growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

APL Apollo Tubes  - Largely Inline Results; Growth Drivers Remain Intact

India

APL Apollo Tubes Ltd. manufactures and exports galvanized steel tubes, galvanized steel pipes, and welded black pipes and tubes.

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Apl Apollo Tubes (APAT IN)

Metals - Q4FY24 Earnings Preview

Both Hindalco and NALCO are expected to report margin expansion YoY/QoQ on higher shipments, stable LME, and lower coal/power costs.

Axis Direct

Top Sector Ideas - Metals and Mining (Q2FY24)

Nalco’s Revenue stood at Rs 3,043 Cr, down 13%/4% YoY/QoQ, led by a drop in the average LME Aluminium prices. EBITDA (up 19% YoY, down 33% QoQ) was...

Axis Direct

Diwali Muhurat Picks SAMVAT 2080

Samvat 2079 proved to be an intriguing year for the Indian equity market, characterized by notable volatility in the first half.

Axis Direct

Axis Research Scorecard Report for Oct 2023

Our POW calls delivered an excellent Monthly strike rate of 84% in Oct’23. Calls that successfully achieved their target were Nestle India (~10%),...

Axis Direct

APL Apollo Tubes - Largely Inline Results; Growth Drivers Remain Intact

APL Apollo Tubes’ Revenue/EBITDA/PAT stood largely in line with our estimates. On a consensus basis, it was a slight miss of 4%/3%/5% respectively.

Axis Direct

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