Investment Strategist, Transparently.AI

Mark Jolley

Investment Strategist

AI detection of accounting fraud and manipulation

Transparently.AI

Fraud and manipulation of their numbers see companies lose USD1 trillion+ per year for their stakeholders. Transparently.AI has developed an AI system that determines:

1. The likelihood that a company is committing fraud/serious manipulation of their books;
2. Whether it is serious enough to result in total corporate failure;
3. Estimated $ losses to stakeholders;
4. How that manipulation/fraud evolves through time; and
5. Detailed analytics on the forms of manipulation/fraud (e.g. which parts of the accounts, what tricks of the trade, questions for analysts to ask management, where/how to investigate further, etc.).

This is effectively automating the analysis of forensic accountants, activist short sellers, credit analysts, etc to do work that would typically take weeks per company, and instead run it in seconds and for thousands of companies simultaneously.

Critically, this solution frequently alerts users to the presence of serious manipulation risk up to 2-3 years in advance of the wider market and short sellers becoming aware of problems.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Rising inflation historically benefits gold, offering superior real returns compared to stocks and bonds. </li>
<li>Accounting quality is crucial when selecting gold miners, emphasizing transparency to mitigate manipulation risk.</li>
<li>Investors can use Transparently Risk Engine to screen for gold miners with solid accounting quality.</li>
</ul>


Rising inflation historically benefits gold, offering superior real returns compared to stocks and bonds. 
Accounting quality is crucial when selecting gold miners, emphasizing transparency to mitigate manipulation risk.
Investors can use Transparently Risk Engine to screen for gold miners with solid accounting quality.


Gold Stocks in Trump’s New International Order

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Despite gold hitting record highs this month, ownership of key gold mining stocks among EM managers remains muted.</li>
<li>AngloGold Ashanti and Harmony Gold Mining have both experienced consistent gains in ownership since their 2023 lows.</li>
<li>Oaktree, Overstone and Vontobel EM strategies hold some of the larger portfolio positions in select Gold stocks.</li>
</ul>


Despite gold hitting record highs this month, ownership of key gold mining stocks among EM managers remains muted.
AngloGold Ashanti and Harmony Gold Mining have both experienced consistent gains in ownership since their 2023 lows.
Oaktree, Overstone and Vontobel EM strategies hold some of the larger portfolio positions in select Gold stocks.


Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Index Rebalance

Anglo American Platinum  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>JSE indices will be rebalanced in the closing auction on Thursday. JSE equity derivatives close out at midday as well – a reminder to get those rolls in.</li>
<li>AMS will enter the Top 40 with EXX falling out. AHR, BOX &amp; SRI will enter the ALSI index, with RBO falling out.</li>
<li>The ALSI is made up of constituents in the small, mid and large cap indices and constituents are reviewed semi-annually in March and September.</li>
</ul>


JSE indices will be rebalanced in the closing auction on Thursday. JSE equity derivatives close out at midday as well – a reminder to get those rolls in.
AMS will enter the Top 40 with EXX falling out. AHR, BOX &amp; SRI will enter the ALSI index, with RBO falling out.
The ALSI is made up of constituents in the small, mid and large cap indices and constituents are reviewed semi-annually in March and September.


JSE Mar25 Rebalance: AMS to Enter Top 40, EXX to Fall Out, BOX Second Largest ALSI Buy

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

<ul><li>Interview with Vuslat, who runs a mining investment company in South Africa</li><li>South Africa is rich in commodities like PGMs, Chrome, Manganese, Coal, and Iron Ore</li><li>South Africa offers rule of law, democracy, and security of tenure, making it an attractive investment destination for mining companies</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Interview with Vuslat, who runs a mining investment company in South AfricaSouth Africa is rich in commodities like PGMs, Chrome, Manganese, Coal, and Iron OreSouth Africa offers rule of law, democracy, and security of tenure, making it an attractive investment destination for mining companiesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Extracting value from overlooked mines (Vuslat Bayoglu Interview)

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>South Africa was downweighted in global, emerging markets, and ex-China indices for a second consecutive quarter. </li>
<li>Brazil was the largest upweight in global, emerging markets, and ex-China indices.</li>
<li>Tencent was downweighted in the emerging markets index but upweighted in global index.</li>
</ul>


South Africa was downweighted in global, emerging markets, and ex-China indices for a second consecutive quarter. 
Brazil was the largest upweight in global, emerging markets, and ex-China indices.
Tencent was downweighted in the emerging markets index but upweighted in global index.


Aug 24 Indices Rebalance: Brazil Takes the EM Flow, SA & China Downweighted Again (Tencent)

South Africa

AngloGold Ashanti Limited is a holding company for a group of companies which explore for and mine gold internationally. The Group has operations in the Vaal River and West Witwatersrand areas of South Africa as well as Namibia, Mali, Brazil, Argentina, Australia, Tanzania and the United States.

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AngloGold Ashanti Spon Adr (AU US)

Gold Stocks in Trump’s New International Order

Gold stocks are on the investment radar as the tariff wars fuel inflationary concerns. Find out how accounting quality is a useful screening tool...

Mark Jolley

Gold Miners: Off the Radar

Despite gold hitting record highs this month, ownership of key gold mining stocks among active emerging markets managers remains muted.

Steven Holden

JSE Mar25 Rebalance: AMS to Enter Top 40, EXX to Fall Out, BOX Second Largest ALSI Buy

JSE indices will be rebalanced in the closing auction on Thursday (public holiday in SA on Friday). AMS will enter the Top 40 index, with EXX...

DMA

Extracting value from overlooked mines (Vuslat Bayoglu Interview)

In summary, Mina is a private mining investment company in South Africa, benefiting from the country's rich ore deposits and supportive government...

Money of Mine

Aug 24 Indices Rebalance: Brazil Takes the EM Flow, SA & China Downweighted Again (Tencent)

Aug 24 Indices Rebalance: Brazil was the largest beneficiary of passive flows at the rebalance last Friday. South Africa and China were...

DMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)