APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cuscal-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40209:1" rel="noopener">Cuscal Limited (1229Z AU)</a> is looking to raise US$234m in its upcoming Australia IPO.</li>
<li>Cuscal is an authorized deposit-taking institution (ADI) in Australia that primarily provides financial infrastructure and payment services in Australia.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Cuscal Limited (1229Z AU) is looking to raise US$234m in its upcoming Australia IPO.
Cuscal is an authorized deposit-taking institution (ADI) in Australia that primarily provides financial infrastructure and payment services in Australia.
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Cuscal Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Margins Have Declined and Growth May Be Capped

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cuscal-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40209:1" rel="noopener">Cuscal Limited (1229Z AU)</a> is looking to raise US$234m in its upcoming Australia IPO. </li>
<li>Cuscal is an authorized deposit-taking institution (ADI) in Australia that primarily provides financial infrastructure and payment services in Australia. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Cuscal Limited (1229Z AU) is looking to raise US$234m in its upcoming Australia IPO. 
Cuscal is an authorized deposit-taking institution (ADI) in Australia that primarily provides financial infrastructure and payment services in Australia. 
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Cuscal Pre-IPO - The Positives - Monetising Its Connections and Benefiting from Tailwinds

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US Federal Reserve Bank balance sheets are released weekly and more current than commercial banks. Latest Fed B/S is for 4 October, shows -USD47bn WoW in loans, securities, repos.</li>
<li>Liquidity conditions in the US banking system are becoming tighter faster, with the most recent week showing loans, securities, repos at -9.4% YoY vs -8.3% four weeks ago.</li>
<li>With tighter liquidity we should expect less loan growth, but also more difficult conditions for cash-strapped companies, prompting more defaults, and higher credit costs at banks.</li>
</ul>


US Federal Reserve Bank balance sheets are released weekly and more current than commercial banks. Latest Fed B/S is for 4 October, shows -USD47bn WoW in loans, securities, repos.
Liquidity conditions in the US banking system are becoming tighter faster, with the most recent week showing loans, securities, repos at -9.4% YoY vs -8.3% four weeks ago.
With tighter liquidity we should expect less loan growth, but also more difficult conditions for cash-strapped companies, prompting more defaults, and higher credit costs at banks.


US - Fed Liquidity Moves USD147bn Lower In Past 3 Weeks, Pace Is Accelerating

<ul>
<li>US large banks' new balance sheet data for 27 September show surging cash at +USD90bn in the week putting YoY growth highest all year, at 11.6%. This is risk aversion.</li>
<li>Commercial &amp; Industrial lending, shows another subdued week, down USD1bn to 27 Sept WoW, and YoY growth at 0.36% compared with 12.5% early this year. Suggests a weak underlying economy.</li>
<li>CRE lending growth remains negative, and book value growth worsens in past 2 weeks, from +USD9.4bn to +USD4.0bn and now to +0.4bn WoW. </li>
</ul>


US large banks' new balance sheet data for 27 September show surging cash at +USD90bn in the week putting YoY growth highest all year, at 11.6%. This is risk aversion.
Commercial &amp; Industrial lending, shows another subdued week, down USD1bn to 27 Sept WoW, and YoY growth at 0.36% compared with 12.5% early this year. Suggests a weak underlying economy.
CRE lending growth remains negative, and book value growth worsens in past 2 weeks, from +USD9.4bn to +USD4.0bn and now to +0.4bn WoW. 


US Banks - Cash +USD90bn in Week, CRE  -0.55% YoY, C&I +0.36% YoY, Book Value Growth Dwindles 3 Wks

<ul>
<li>US large banks are showing more cash emphasis in the latest weekly data, increased signs of risk aversion, with MBS in sharp decline and CRE loans</li>
<li>Loan loss reserves continue to rise at over 18% YoY, and this will mean that banks are taking a lot more credit costs, impacting returns, net profit growth</li>
<li>Large time deposits accelerating, up 88.0% YoY in the most recent week; with all of these points, perhaps it is no wonder that shareholders' equity is stagnant?</li>
</ul>


US large banks are showing more cash emphasis in the latest weekly data, increased signs of risk aversion, with MBS in sharp decline and CRE loans
Loan loss reserves continue to rise at over 18% YoY, and this will mean that banks are taking a lot more credit costs, impacting returns, net profit growth
Large time deposits accelerating, up 88.0% YoY in the most recent week; with all of these points, perhaps it is no wonder that shareholders' equity is stagnant?


US Large Banks - New B/S Data: CRE Craters, MBS Sharp Decline, LLR & Big Fixed Deposits Up+, SE Flat

United States

American Express Company is a global payment and travel company. The Company's principal products and services are charge and credit payment card products and travel-related services offered to consumers and businesses around the world.

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American Express Co (AXP US)

Cuscal Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Margins Have Declined and Growth May Be Capped

Cuscal Limited (1229Z AU) is looking to raise US$234m in its upcoming Australia IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects...

Clarence Chu

Cuscal Pre-IPO - The Positives - Monetising Its Connections and Benefiting from Tailwinds

Cuscal Limited (1229Z AU) is looking to raise US$234m in its upcoming Australia IPO. In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the...

Clarence Chu

US - Fed Liquidity Moves USD147bn Lower In Past 3 Weeks, Pace Is Accelerating

Fed data shows USD147bn lower liquidity in just the past 3 weeks, and the pace is accelerating. There are negative implications for bank loan...

Daniel Tabbush

US Banks - Cash +USD90bn in Week, CRE -0.55% YoY, C&I +0.36% YoY, Book Value Growth Dwindles 3 Wks

New weekly balance sheet data shows USD90bn surge in cash assets in the most recent week. Growth YoY has never been higher this year. There are...

Daniel Tabbush

US Large Banks - New B/S Data: CRE Craters, MBS Sharp Decline, LLR & Big Fixed Deposits Up+, SE Flat

HFD shows risk aversion increasing at large US banks. LLR rising a lot and big fixed time deposits, can mean worsening net profit delta. With less...

Daniel Tabbush

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