TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Like Netflix, Spotify is increasing spend on proprietary content... at the same time rivals are, which makes the ROI on this spend worth less.</li>
<li>Promised margin inflection no where in sight. Have to wait for Analyst Day for more clarity. </li>
<li>While we could justify a share price in the $70s, we no longer think Spotify is as compelling a risk reward short as it has for the past two years.</li>
</ul>


Like Netflix, Spotify is increasing spend on proprietary content... at the same time rivals are, which makes the ROI on this spend worth less.
Promised margin inflection no where in sight. Have to wait for Analyst Day for more clarity. 
While we could justify a share price in the $70s, we no longer think Spotify is as compelling a risk reward short as it has for the past two years.


Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of OneStore is market cap of 1.3 trillion won and target price of 48,713 won per share (28% higher than the IPO mid-point price range).</li>
<li>Our valuation of the company is based on P/S multiple of 4.8x (average of the peers) using our estimated sales of 269 billion won for the company in 2022. </li>
<li>In our comparable companies valuation analysis, we have used the following four Korean companies as comps including Kakao Corp, Naver Corp (035420 KS), AfreecaTV (067160 KS), Kidari Studio (020120 KS).</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of OneStore is market cap of 1.3 trillion won and target price of 48,713 won per share (28% higher than the IPO mid-point price range).
Our valuation of the company is based on P/S multiple of 4.8x (average of the peers) using our estimated sales of 269 billion won for the company in 2022. 
In our comparable companies valuation analysis, we have used the following four Korean companies as comps including Kakao Corp, Naver Corp (035420 KS), AfreecaTV (067160 KS), Kidari Studio (020120 KS).


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>It will be difficult to reach a valuation consensus in the short term, suggesting the likelihood of substantially higher price volatility after listing. The IPO valuation itself is quite excessive.</li>
<li>There are not enough stories to instill growth expectations in investors. Expectations for regulatory benefits are uncertain. The inclusion to K-New Deal and WISE Media Contents are worth a look.</li>
<li>In conclusion, I do not recommend an aggressive approach to this IPO. Similar to SK Shieldus, we even need to consider a post-listing entry.</li>
</ul>


It will be difficult to reach a valuation consensus in the short term, suggesting the likelihood of substantially higher price volatility after listing. The IPO valuation itself is quite excessive.
There are not enough stories to instill growth expectations in investors. Expectations for regulatory benefits are uncertain. The inclusion to K-New Deal and WISE Media Contents are worth a look.
In conclusion, I do not recommend an aggressive approach to this IPO. Similar to SK Shieldus, we even need to consider a post-listing entry.


ONE Store IPO: Offering Details & Valuation Issues

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Alphabet delivered a decent quarter and saw a particularly good performance in Google Services revenues in the fourth quarter.</li><li>In Q4, retail was once again the largest contributor to year-over-year growth in the company's advertising business.</li><li>Whether through insights, automation, or new features, Alphabet has been working nonstop to help businesses connect with their customers more easily.</li></ul>

Alphabet delivered a decent quarter and saw a particularly good performance in Google Services revenues in the fourth quarter.In Q4, retail was once again the largest contributor to year-over-year growth in the company's advertising business.Whether through insights, automation, or new features, Alphabet has been working nonstop to help businesses connect with their customers more easily.

Alphabet Inc.: Financial & Price Forecasts

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
Macro data points:GDP growth for South Korea, Taiwan, and the Philippines; South African interest rates.</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douyu-international-hold-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28045:1" rel="noopener">Douyu International Holdings (DOYU US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharti-airtel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:953:1" rel="noopener">Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

Macro data points:GDP growth for South Korea, Taiwan, and the Philippines; South African interest rates.

 Companies mentioned:JD.com Inc. (9618 HK), Baidu (9888 HK), Geely Auto (175 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Douyu International Holdings (DOYU US), Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN)



GEM Weekly (28 Jan 2022): South Korea, Taiwan GDP; JD.com, Baidu, Tencent, Bharti Airtel

United States

Alphabet, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides web-based search, advertisements, maps, software applications, mobile operating systems, consumer content, enterprise solutions, commerce, and hardware products.

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Alphabet (GOOG US)

Spotify 1Q22 Earnings: Netflix Like?

The more Daniel Ek said that Spotify is not like Netflix, the more we thought...hes right! Netflix has a less competition, more pricing power, and...

Aaron Gabin

OneStore IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of OneStore is market cap of 1.3 trillion won and target price of 48,713 won per share (28% higher than the IPO mid-point...

Douglas Kim

ONE Store IPO: Offering Details & Valuation Issues

This post details the terms of the ONE store IPO and discusses the valuation/growth issues that will likely keep investors away from this IPO.

Sanghyun Park

Alphabet Inc.: Financial & Price Forecasts

Alphabet delivered a decent quarter and saw a particularly good performance in Google Services revenues in the fourth quarter. In Q4, retail was...

Baptista Research

GEM Weekly (28 Jan 2022): South Korea, Taiwan GDP; JD.com, Baidu, Tencent, Bharti Airtel

The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of...

Wium Malan, CFA

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