Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The pilot launch of the e-CNY, China’s sovereign digital currency effectively competes with domestic mobile payment apps including Alipay, WeChat and Weixin Pay; the e-CNY registered 261m downloads in 2021</li>
<li>Seven domestic commercial banks are included as the e-CNY’s operators, all of which offer extensive branch networks and large bases of retail customers to accelerate the digital currency’s distribution</li>
<li>The e-CNY’s broader digital payments usage should erode Alipay, WeChat and Weixin Pay market shares; yet we believe that the competitive threat is seemingly well discounted in Alibaba share valuations</li>
</ul>


The pilot launch of the e-CNY, China’s sovereign digital currency effectively competes with domestic mobile payment apps including Alipay, WeChat and Weixin Pay; the e-CNY registered 261m downloads in 2021
Seven domestic commercial banks are included as the e-CNY’s operators, all of which offer extensive branch networks and large bases of retail customers to accelerate the digital currency’s distribution
The e-CNY’s broader digital payments usage should erode Alipay, WeChat and Weixin Pay market shares; yet we believe that the competitive threat is seemingly well discounted in Alibaba share valuations


China’s Central Bank Digital Currency; Is It a Major Threat to Non-Bank Digital Payment Providers?

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China allocations fall to a 2-year low, driven by widespread closures in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a> New Oriental Education (EDU US), China Mobile (941 HK) and CNOOC Ltd.</li>
<li>Active GEM Managers head in to 2022 with Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services the key China sector exposures, though Industrial stocks stand out the main overweight.</li>
<li>On a stock level, the most widely held company is Tencent, held by 81% of the managers in our analysis and taking the crown from Alibaba Group in 2021. </li>
</ul>


China allocations fall to a 2-year low, driven by widespread closures in Alibaba Group (BABA US) New Oriental Education (EDU US), China Mobile (941 HK) and CNOOC Ltd.
Active GEM Managers head in to 2022 with Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services the key China sector exposures, though Industrial stocks stand out the main overweight.
On a stock level, the most widely held company is Tencent, held by 81% of the managers in our analysis and taking the crown from Alibaba Group in 2021. 


China:  EM Active Fund Positioning Update.  BABA Drives Allocations Lower

China and US Equity Analyst

Roger Xie

<ul>
<li>News reported that Alibaba is in talks with Shanghai Media Group to sell its 30% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3826:1" rel="noopener">Weibo Corp (WB US)</a>, which we have expected since Weibo's Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>Since 2013, Alibaba has started to invest in Weibo before its NASDAQ IPO and continued to increase the holdings. Alibaba remains a strategic partner with Weibo on platform advertisement.</li>
<li>We view the potential transaction net positive for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3826:1" rel="noopener">Weibo Corp (WB US)</a> as it will realign Weibo strategic direction and Alibaba impact will be minimized. Weibo valuation is also attractive.</li>
</ul>


News reported that Alibaba is in talks with Shanghai Media Group to sell its 30% stake in Weibo Corp (WB US), which we have expected since Weibo's Hong Kong listing.
Since 2013, Alibaba has started to invest in Weibo before its NASDAQ IPO and continued to increase the holdings. Alibaba remains a strategic partner with Weibo on platform advertisement.
We view the potential transaction net positive for Weibo Corp (WB US) as it will realign Weibo strategic direction and Alibaba impact will be minimized. Weibo valuation is also attractive.


Weibo (WB US): Alibaba Potential Stake Sale, More Visibility on Strategic Direction

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Aquila Acquisition Corporation / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aquila Acquisition Corporation (AAC) aims to raise around US$300m via Hong Kong’s first SPAC listing.</li>
<li>AAC is promoted by CMB International Asset Management Limited (CMBIAM) and AAC Mgmt Holding Ltd (AACMH).</li>
<li>In this tear sheet, we will talk about the deal background and structure.</li>
</ul>


Aquila Acquisition Corporation (AAC) aims to raise around US$300m via Hong Kong’s first SPAC listing.
AAC is promoted by CMB International Asset Management Limited (CMBIAM) and AAC Mgmt Holding Ltd (AACMH).
In this tear sheet, we will talk about the deal background and structure.


Aquila Acquisition Corporation Tear Sheet - Aiming to Be Hong Kong’s First SPAC Listing

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul>
<li>Market Research expects that e-commerce will grow 15% and 13% in following two years.</li>
<li>Big platforms, such as Alibaba and JD.com will still have advantage in the growth.</li>
<li>The risk is that consumers care significantly more about product brand than platform reputation.</li>
</ul>


Market Research expects that e-commerce will grow 15% and 13% in following two years.
Big platforms, such as Alibaba and JD.com will still have advantage in the growth.
The risk is that consumers care significantly more about product brand than platform reputation.


Alibaba (BABA): Don’t Be Pessimistic About E-Commerce, Especially Big Platforms

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)

China’s Central Bank Digital Currency; Is It a Major Threat to Non-Bank Digital Payment Providers?

The digital yuan's growth in digital payments usage could erode Alipay and Tencent app market shares; yet we think the competitive threat is...

Victor Galliano

China: EM Active Fund Positioning Update. BABA Drives Allocations Lower

China allocations fall to 2-year low, driven by widespread closures in Alibaba Group, New Oriental Education, China Mobile and CNOOC Ltd.

Steven Holden

Weibo (WB US): Alibaba Potential Stake Sale, More Visibility on Strategic Direction

We view the potential stake sale transaction net positive for Weibo Corp (WB US) as it will realign Weibo strategic direction and Alibaba impact...

Roger Xie

Aquila Acquisition Corporation Tear Sheet - Aiming to Be Hong Kong’s First SPAC Listing

Aquila Acquisition Corporation (AAC) aims to raise around US$300m via Hong Kong’s first SPAC listing. In this note, we look at the deal background...

Sumeet Singh

Alibaba (BABA): Don’t Be Pessimistic About E-Commerce, Especially Big Platforms

E-commerce will grow 15% and 13% in following two years. Big platforms will have advantage in the growth. The risk is that consumers care more...

Ming Lu

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