IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> confirmed that it is exploring a coordinated secondary offering of shares held by pre-IPO shareholders. The Series A shareholders’ lock-up expires on 30 November 2022. </li>
<li>The lock-up of 89.63% of the outstanding shares expires on 30 November. Within these shares, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> stakes are worth a combined US$2.6bn.</li>
<li>GoTo continues to grow but with material losses and cash burn. The shares are fairly valued but the sizeable secondary offering (US$1 billion based on reports) will pressure the price. </li>
</ul>



GoTo (GOTO IJ) confirmed that it is exploring a coordinated secondary offering of shares held by pre-IPO shareholders. The Series A shareholders’ lock-up expires on 30 November 2022. 
The lock-up of 89.63% of the outstanding shares expires on 30 November. Within these shares, Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) and Softbank Group (9984 JP) stakes are worth a combined US$2.6bn.
GoTo continues to grow but with material losses and cash burn. The shares are fairly valued but the sizeable secondary offering (US$1 billion based on reports) will pressure the price. 


GoTo Lock-Up: A Sizeable Secondary Offering Incoming

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Giant Biogene (GB) is now looking to raise around US$80m in its Hong Kong IPO, down from its earlier target of US$500m raising.</li>
<li>GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.</li>
<li>We had looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we’ll talk about valuations and other deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Giant Biogene (GB) is now looking to raise around US$80m in its Hong Kong IPO, down from its earlier target of US$500m raising.
GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.
We had looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we’ll talk about valuations and other deal dynamics.


Giant Biogene IPO - Reasonable Valuation but in Unreasonable Markets

Sunshine Insurance Group  Lt / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO.
SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Sunshine Insurance Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Steady Headline Growth

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With growth fading in the domestic market, the Chinese e-commerce company, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pinduoduo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">Pinduoduo (PDD US)</a> has made its first overseas push with the launch of Temu.com in the US.</li>
<li>However, the launch was less than impressive, especially considering that the company created a lot of excitement about its US expansion in the previous earnings call.</li>
<li>Selling $10.00 earbuds at $3.70, Temu could eat a significant chunk off of Pinduoduo’s profitability in the next couple of quarters.</li>
</ul>


With growth fading in the domestic market, the Chinese e-commerce company, Pinduoduo (PDD US) has made its first overseas push with the launch of Temu.com in the US.
However, the launch was less than impressive, especially considering that the company created a lot of excitement about its US expansion in the previous earnings call.
Selling $10.00 earbuds at $3.70, Temu could eat a significant chunk off of Pinduoduo’s profitability in the next couple of quarters.


Pinduoduo: The US Expansion Could Slash Profitability While Risking Xi’s Wrath

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chinese online game market size decreased by 19.1% YoY and 12.6% QoQ in 3Q22.</li>
<li>Tmall, Alibaba’s direct sales app, started a mini-program in Tencent’s WeChat.</li>
<li>State Post Bureau announced that it would revise the express delivery rules, especially for green packaging.</li>
</ul>


Chinese online game market size decreased by 19.1% YoY and 12.6% QoQ in 3Q22.
Tmall, Alibaba’s direct sales app, started a mini-program in Tencent’s WeChat.
State Post Bureau announced that it would revise the express delivery rules, especially for green packaging.


China Internet Weekly (24Oct2022): Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, JD.com, NetEase, Zhihu

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)

GoTo Lock-Up: A Sizeable Secondary Offering Incoming

The lock-up of 89.63% of shares expires on 30 November. The shares are fairly valued at the last close, but the sizeable secondary offering (US$1bn...

Arun George

Giant Biogene IPO - Reasonable Valuation but in Unreasonable Markets

Giant Biogene is now looking to raise around US$80m in its Hong Kong IPO, down from its earlier target of US$500m raising.

Sumeet Singh

Sunshine Insurance Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Steady Headline Growth

Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Pinduoduo: The US Expansion Could Slash Profitability While Risking Xi’s Wrath

Selling $10.00 earbuds at $3.70, Temu could eat a significant chunk off of Pinduoduo’s profitability in the next couple of quarters.

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

China Internet Weekly (24Oct2022): Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, JD.com, NetEase, Zhihu

Chinese online game market size decreased by 19.1% YoY and 12.6% QoQ in 3Q22. Tmall started a mini-program in WeChat. State Post Bureau revised...

Ming Lu

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