Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

Alibaba Group Holding  / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>The consensus of bottom in China Tech and China A shares continue to gain favour.</li><li>Bank of America is the latest to recommend selling US tech to buy China Tech.  </li><li>The Bullish China stocks call is predicated on reopening Pivot, yet the daily increase in cases and sporadic lockdown put the Pivot callers to double down.</li></ul>

The consensus of bottom in China Tech and China A shares continue to gain favour.Bank of America is the latest to recommend selling US tech to buy China Tech.  The Bullish China stocks call is predicated on reopening Pivot, yet the daily increase in cases and sporadic lockdown put the Pivot callers to double down.

US Vs China Technology, Alibaba, China Unicom, and New World Development

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China is revising a law to make illegal certain notorious practices by large internet platforms such as Alibaba, Tencent and JD.com.</li><li>The move is another regulatory response to big tech companies’ use of market dominance and advanced technology to undermine competition.</li><li>Notable changes in the latest revision are mostly related to the digital economy, adding violations and toughening penalties.</li></ul>

China is revising a law to make illegal certain notorious practices by large internet platforms such as Alibaba, Tencent and JD.com.The move is another regulatory response to big tech companies’ use of market dominance and advanced technology to undermine competition.Notable changes in the latest revision are mostly related to the digital economy, adding violations and toughening penalties.

China Proposes Tougher Restrictions on Unfair Digital Competition

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.</li><li>The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).</li><li>China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Covid-19 / China’s Covid caseload hits six-month high as big cities suffer flare-ups</li><li>APEC / China, Japan to move quickly on maritime and air security hotline</li><li>Caixin Summit / China’s growth is ‘too slow,' says top state economist</li></ul>

Covid-19 / China’s Covid caseload hits six-month high as big cities suffer flare-upsAPEC / China, Japan to move quickly on maritime and air security hotlineCaixin Summit / China’s growth is ‘too slow,' says top state economist

CX Daily: China’s Covid Caseload Hits Six-Month High As Big Cities Suffer Flare-Ups

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Alibaba Group Holding (Alibaba) announced (17 Nov) its 2QFY23 (March year- end) results: total revenue was RMB207.2bn, up 3% YoY, 0.8% shy of both our estimate and Bloomberg consensus, mainly due to lower than expected China commerce revenue generation due to soft macro.</li><li>However, driven by effective cost control and operating efficiency improvement, non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders was RMB34.3bn, up 13% YoY, 5/16% ahead of our forecast/consensus estimates.</li><li>With strategic move to focus more on both scale and efficiency, we expect steady non-GAAP net profit growth to sustain in the rest of FY23</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba Group Holding (Alibaba) announced (17 Nov) its 2QFY23 (March year- end) results: total revenue was RMB207.2bn, up 3% YoY, 0.8% shy of both our estimate and Bloomberg consensus, mainly due to lower than expected China commerce revenue generation due to soft macro.However, driven by effective cost control and operating efficiency improvement, non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders was RMB34.3bn, up 13% YoY, 5/16% ahead of our forecast/consensus estimates.With strategic move to focus more on both scale and efficiency, we expect steady non-GAAP net profit growth to sustain in the rest of FY23Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba (BABA US) – Earnings back on growth track

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)

US Vs China Technology, Alibaba, China Unicom, and New World Development

The consensus of bottom in China Tech and China A shares continue to gain favour. Bank of America is the latest to recommend selling US tech to buy...

Untying The Gordian Knot

China Proposes Tougher Restrictions on Unfair Digital Competition

China is revising a law to make illegal certain notorious practices by large internet platforms such as Alibaba, Tencent and JD.com.

Caixin Global

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI...

CMB International

CX Daily: China’s Covid Caseload Hits Six-Month High As Big Cities Suffer Flare-Ups

China’s Covid caseload hits six-month high as big cities suffer flare-ups. China, Japan to move quickly on maritime and air security hotline

Caixin Global

Alibaba (BABA US) – Earnings back on growth track

With strategic move to focus more on both scale and efficiency, we expect steady non-GAAP net profit growth to sustain in the rest of FY23

CMB International

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