Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Global managers are at their lowest ever allocation in Asian equities.  From a peak of over 17% in 2018, average exposure has fallen to just 12.94%.</li>
<li>Declines were led by China &amp; HK Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services, whilst investors also scaled back exposure to Japan Communication Services, Industrials, Health Care and Consumer Staples</li>
<li>Among Global investors, overweight the benchmark in Asia is by far the non-consensus trade.</li>
</ul>


Global managers are at their lowest ever allocation in Asian equities.  From a peak of over 17% in 2018, average exposure has fallen to just 12.94%.
Declines were led by China &amp; HK Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services, whilst investors also scaled back exposure to Japan Communication Services, Industrials, Health Care and Consumer Staples
Among Global investors, overweight the benchmark in Asia is by far the non-consensus trade.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Thai Life Insurance  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB)</a> has started to meet investors ahead of its $1 billion IPO. The roadshow will run till early July with a listing targeted later in July.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/thai-life-insurance-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:71653" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on market share pressure, tepid total premium performance, a checkered record in sales channel diversification, stagnating agent growth and inconsistent agent productivity.</li>
</ul>



Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB) has started to meet investors ahead of its $1 billion IPO. The roadshow will run till early July with a listing targeted later in July.
In Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. 
The key elements of the bear case rest on market share pressure, tepid total premium performance, a checkered record in sales channel diversification, stagnating agent growth and inconsistent agent productivity.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB)</a> has started to meet investors ahead of its $1 billion IPO. The roadshow will run till early July with a listing targeted later in July.</li>
<li>Thai Life is the third-largest life insurer in Thailand with a 12.9% market share as measured by gross premium income in 1Q22.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on a strong brand, the largest agent network, return to APE growth, high persistency ratio and improving VONB margin.</li>
</ul>



Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB) has started to meet investors ahead of its $1 billion IPO. The roadshow will run till early July with a listing targeted later in July.
Thai Life is the third-largest life insurer in Thailand with a 12.9% market share as measured by gross premium income in 1Q22.
The key elements of the bull case rest on a strong brand, the largest agent network, return to APE growth, high persistency ratio and improving VONB margin.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 2nd. </li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight week-on-week short interest increases in Kuaishou and Baidu. </li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 2nd. 
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight week-on-week short interest increases in Kuaishou and Baidu. 


HK Short Interest: Short Spiked for Kuaishou & Baidu

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 10th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Ck Asset Holdings(1113 HK), China Conch Venture (586 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Jd Health International (6618 HK), Esr Cayman (1821 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 10th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Ck Asset Holdings(1113 HK), China Conch Venture (586 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Jd Health International (6618 HK), Esr Cayman (1821 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks: AIA, CK Asset, China Conch

Hong Kong

AIA Group Limited offers insurance and financial services. The Company writes life insurance for individuals, businesses, accident, and health insurance, as well as retirement planning and wealth management services.

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AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK)

Asia: Global Investors Lose Faith

Global managers are at their lowest ever allocation in Asian equities. From a peak of over 17% in 2018, average exposure has fallen to just 12.94%.

Steven Holden

Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on market share pressure, tepid premium performance, a checkered record in channel diversification,...

Arun George

Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on a strong brand, the largest agent network, return to APE growth, high persistency ratio and improving...

Arun George

HK Short Interest: Short Spiked for Kuaishou & Baidu

We highlight week-on-week short interest increases in Kuaishou and Baidu based on the latest HK SFC short aggregate report.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks: AIA, CK Asset, China Conch

We highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the HK market last week were Aia (1299 HK), Ck Asset Holdings(1113 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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