HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>It remains possible for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> to generate a positive return in January 2024, given that historically there is a high 73% probability of doing so.</li>
<li>Over the last eleven years, January was also the best-performing one in five of them. Average return for these five was at 7.7%.</li>
<li>The macroenvironment is also conducive for this pattern to sustain - lower USD rates, rebound in Rmb/USD exchange rate, and more supportive measures from the Chinese government.</li>
</ul>


It remains possible for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) to generate a positive return in January 2024, given that historically there is a high 73% probability of doing so.
Over the last eleven years, January was also the best-performing one in five of them. Average return for these five was at 7.7%.
The macroenvironment is also conducive for this pattern to sustain - lower USD rates, rebound in Rmb/USD exchange rate, and more supportive measures from the Chinese government.


China Strategy: Are We Still Going to Have January Effect in 2024?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 15th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Techtronic Ind, Link Reit, Jd, HSBC, Wuxi Bio, East Buy.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 15th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Techtronic Ind, Link Reit, Jd, HSBC, Wuxi Bio, East Buy.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Techtronic Ind, Link Reit, Jd, HSBC, Wuxi Bio, East Buy

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Dec 22nd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Li Ning (2331 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Dec 22nd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Li Ning (2331 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 22nd): Tencent, Aia, Li Ning

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 8th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in JD, Microport, Wuxi Apptec, AIA.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 8th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in JD, Microport, Wuxi Apptec, AIA.


HK Short Interest Weekly: JD, Microport, Wuxi Apptec, AIA

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Dec 15th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Dec 15th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 15th): Tencent, AIA, Wuxi Biologics

Hong Kong

AIA Group Limited offers insurance and financial services. The Company writes life insurance for individuals, businesses, accident, and health insurance, as well as retirement planning and wealth management services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK)

China Strategy: Are We Still Going to Have January Effect in 2024?

China's industrial profit growth accelerated to 29.5% YoY in Nov, from just a 2.7% increase in Oct, suggesting initial impacts from the series of...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Techtronic Ind, Link Reit, Jd, HSBC, Wuxi Bio, East Buy

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 15th and highlight short interest changes in Techtronic Ind, Link Reit,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 22nd): Tencent, Aia, Li Ning

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: JD, Microport, Wuxi Apptec, AIA

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 8th and highlight short interest changes in Jd, Tracker Fund,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 15th): Tencent, AIA, Wuxi Biologics

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)