Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Investors continue to prefer the stability of the U.S. relative to emerging markets. The recent declines recorded in emerging markets and their currencies suggest global risk aversion. U.S. equity markets are, by contrast, not showing any significant signs of coming unhinged as a result of this rout in emerging markets.  In this report we examine the factors likely to impact the U.S. equity markets, and explore actionable opportunities within the Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Health Care Sectors.

Investors continue to prefer the stability of the U.S. relative to emerging markets. The recent declines recorded in emerging markets and their currencies suggest global risk aversion. U.S. equity markets are, by contrast, not showing any significant signs of coming unhinged as a result of this rout in emerging markets.  In this report we examine the factors likely to impact the U.S. equity markets, and explore actionable opportunities within the Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Health Care Sectors.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Remain Leadership - Staples & Utilities Are Strengthening

In last week’s Compass we noted the S&amp;P 500 was near the top end of the uptrend channel and that the index could fall 2.75%-3.25% before we get to uptrend support. Considering the S&amp;P 500 fell roughly 1% last week we believe the recent pause appears to be a normal and healthy pullback within the multi-month uptrend. Despite the potential for additional backing-and-filling toward the uptrend support, our expectation is that this uptrend continues, supporting our overall positive outlook.

In last week’s Compass we noted the S&amp;P 500 was near the top end of the uptrend channel and that the index could fall 2.75%-3.25% before we get to uptrend support. Considering the S&amp;P 500 fell roughly 1% last week we believe the recent pause appears to be a normal and healthy pullback within the multi-month uptrend. Despite the potential for additional backing-and-filling toward the uptrend support, our expectation is that this uptrend continues, supporting our overall positive outlook.

S&P 500: A Pause in the Uptrend - More Consolidation Expected.

Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

As I have written in the past the SGX is home to a great story stock: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15058" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15058:1">DiSa (DISA SP)</a>. If the company delivers on its promise it has the potential to be a 10x bagger in the coming 24-36 months and if it fails it is likely a zero. You normally find this sort of binary potential with biotech stocks on Nasdaq but not with any stocks on SGX.
For background on DiSa please see the insight stream.
Over the last few months, there has been lots of newsflow on DiSa which deserves some attention. The…

As I have written in the past the SGX is home to a great story stock: DiSa (DISA SP). If the company delivers on its promise it has the potential to be a 10x bagger in the coming 24-36 months and if it fails it is likely a zero. You normally find this sort of binary potential with biotech stocks on Nasdaq but not with any stocks on SGX.
For background on DiSa please see the insight stream.
Over the last few months, there has been lots of newsflow on DiSa which deserves some attention. The…

DiSa (DISA SP): This Story Stock Is Growing as Samsung Starts Using Its Anti-Theft Technology

Key Points:<ul>
<li>The Staples Sector is leadership and many names are staging price and RS reversals.</li>
<li>REIT’s are breaking above bases and are showing RS leadership.</li>
<li>Paper &amp; Forest products are strengthening and many are reversing price and RS downtrend or breaking above bases.</li>
<li>Large-Cap Pharma stocks are showing leadership. Many have broken topside of multi-year consolidations or have reversed multi-year price and RS downtrends.</li>
</ul><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/059/921/original/Untitled.png?1533586859" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="59921"></figure>

Key Points:
The Staples Sector is leadership and many names are staging price and RS reversals.
REIT’s are breaking above bases and are showing RS leadership.
Paper &amp; Forest products are strengthening and many are reversing price and RS downtrend or breaking above bases.
Large-Cap Pharma stocks are showing leadership. Many have broken topside of multi-year consolidations or have reversed multi-year price and RS downtrends.


Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

2016 was another bumpy year for China’s luxury goods market, plagued by the long-term impact of the anti-corruption campaign undertaken by the central government and the economic downturn as well as China’s latest effort to curb wrongdoing in luxury consumption in a crackdown on the grey market.

2016 was another bumpy year for China’s luxury goods market, plagued by the long-term impact of the anti-corruption campaign undertaken by the central government and the economic downturn as well as China’s latest effort to curb wrongdoing in luxury consumption in a crackdown on the grey market.

China's Luxury Market Set for Steady Performance Amid Unfavourable Market Environment

United States

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is a retailer of auto parts and accessories. The Company operates stores in various states, primarily  located in the northeastern, southeastern, and midwestern regions of the United States, and in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.

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Advance Auto Parts (AAP US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Remain Leadership - Staples & Utilities Are Strengthening

Investors continue to prefer the stability of the U.S. relative to emerging markets. The recent declines recorded in emerging markets and their...

Vermilion Research

S&P 500: A Pause in the Uptrend - More Consolidation Expected.

In last week’s Compass we noted the S&P 500 was near the top end of the uptrend channel and that the index could fall 2.75%-3.25% before we get...

Vermilion Research

DiSa (DISA SP): This Story Stock Is Growing as Samsung Starts Using Its Anti-Theft Technology

As I have written in the past the SGX is home to a great story stock: DiSa (DISA SP). If the company delivers on its promise it has the potential...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

U.S. Vital Signs: Actionable Stocks

Key Points: The Staples Sector is leadership and many names are staging price and RS reversals. REIT’s are breaking above bases and are showing RS...

Vermilion Research

China's Luxury Market Set for Steady Performance Amid Unfavourable Market Environment

2016 was another bumpy year for China’s luxury goods market, plagued by the long-term impact of the anti-corruption campaign undertaken by the...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

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