External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Gujarat Gas: Our ADD recommendation on Gujarat Gas (GGL), with a price target of INR 600/sh, is premised on (1) volume growth of only ~10% CAGR over FY24-26E compared to ~18% volume growth seen over FY19-22 and (2) increased pricing competition from alternate fuel in the industrial/commercial segment</li><li>Q3FY24 EBITDA/PAT at INR 4/2.2bn came in below our estimates, owing to lower-than-expected volumes and per unit EBITDA margin</li><li>Volume stood at 9.16mmscmd (+26% YoY, -2% QoQ). Deepak Nitrite: We maintain SELL on Deepak Nitrite (DNL), with a price target of INR 1,448 (WACC 12%, terminal growth 4%)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Gujarat Gas: Our ADD recommendation on Gujarat Gas (GGL), with a price target of INR 600/sh, is premised on (1) volume growth of only ~10% CAGR over FY24-26E compared to ~18% volume growth seen over FY19-22 and (2) increased pricing competition from alternate fuel in the industrial/commercial segmentQ3FY24 EBITDA/PAT at INR 4/2.2bn came in below our estimates, owing to lower-than-expected volumes and per unit EBITDA marginVolume stood at 9.16mmscmd (+26% YoY, -2% QoQ). Deepak Nitrite: We maintain SELL on Deepak Nitrite (DNL), with a price target of INR 1,448 (WACC 12%, terminal growth 4%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Gujarat Gas, Deepak Nitrite, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail

<ul><li>We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categories</li><li>Despite a promising start to the festive season, most categories (excluding jewellery and travel) seem to have hit the snooze button</li><li>Several factors contribute to this, including (1) the normalisation of ticket sizes and purchase frequencies, (2) weak footfalls (on a per sq foot basis), and (3) a trend towards downtrading</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categoriesDespite a promising start to the festive season, most categories (excluding jewellery and travel) seem to have hit the snooze buttonSeveral factors contribute to this, including (1) the normalisation of ticket sizes and purchase frequencies, (2) weak footfalls (on a per sq foot basis), and (3) a trend towards downtradingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Festive temperature check: Festive mood sombre

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive valuation of 4.7x Mar-25 EPS, a ~10% discount to 5-year average P/E of 5.2x, 0.7x Mar-25 P/Bv with RoE of ~16%, and a dividend yield of ~6%</li><li>However, this is offset by limited earnings potential, owing to the levy of a windfall tax on crude oil prices and a decline in the price of domestically produced APM gas</li><li>Q2FY24 reported EBITDA at INR 184bn (-2% YoY, -6% QoQ), coming in marginally below our estimate, owing to higher-than-expected statutory levies and other expenses</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ONGC: We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive valuation of 4.7x Mar-25 EPS, a ~10% discount to 5-year average P/E of 5.2x, 0.7x Mar-25 P/Bv with RoE of ~16%, and a dividend yield of ~6%However, this is offset by limited earnings potential, owing to the levy of a windfall tax on crude oil prices and a decline in the price of domestically produced APM gasQ2FY24 reported EBITDA at INR 184bn (-2% YoY, -6% QoQ), coming in marginally below our estimate, owing to higher-than-expected statutory levies and other expensesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Eicher Motors, Trent, Berger Paints, BSE,

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive valuation of 4.7x Mar-25 EPS, a ~10% discount to 5-year average P/E of 5.2x, 0.7x Mar-25 P/Bv with RoE of ~16%, and a dividend yield of ~6%</li><li>However, this is offset by limited earnings potential, owing to the levy of a windfall tax on crude oil prices and a decline in the price of domestically produced APM gas</li><li>Q2FY24 reported EBITDA at INR 184bn (-2% YoY, -6% QoQ), coming in marginally below our estimate, owing to higher-than-expected statutory levies and other expenses</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Eicher Motors, Trent, Berger Paints, BSE

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The company’s revenue grew by 11% YoY and the growth was led by network expansion and category expansion.</li><li>Its EBITDA, however, de-grew by 38% YoY owing to negative operating leverage, led by the subdued performance of Pantaloons business and continued investment in TMRW and ethnic business.</li><li>This impacted the company’s PAT and saw a decline of 271% YoY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The company’s revenue grew by 11% YoY and the growth was led by network expansion and category expansion.Its EBITDA, however, de-grew by 38% YoY owing to negative operating leverage, led by the subdued performance of Pantaloons business and continued investment in TMRW and ethnic business.This impacted the company’s PAT and saw a decline of 271% YoY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Ltd -Long Road to Recovery; Maintain HOLD

India

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd provides a wide range of mid-priced garments for men. The Company's collection includes internationally styled formal, elite, casual, party, and wedding apparel.

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)

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Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Gujarat Gas, Deepak Nitrite, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail

Q3FY24 EBITDA/PAT at INR 4/2.2bn came in below our estimates, owing to lower-than-expected volumes and per unit EBITDA margin

HDFC Securities

Festive temperature check: Festive mood sombre

We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categories

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Eicher Motors, Trent, Berger Paints, BSE,

We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Eicher Motors, Trent, Berger Paints, BSE

We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive...

HDFC Securities

Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Ltd -Long Road to Recovery; Maintain HOLD

The company’s revenue grew by 11% YoY and the growth was led by network expansion and category expansion. Its EBITDA, however, de-grew by 38% YoY...

Axis Direct

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