Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone / Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-246'>Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone

Morning Views Asia: Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-ports-special-economic-zone-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:246:1" rel="noopener">Adani Ports &amp; Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index</a> at the close on 21 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-ports-special-economic-zone-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:246:1" rel="noopener">Adani Ports &amp; Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN)</a>'s inclusion is a big surprise and there should be a move higher in the stock in the short-term. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a>'s deletion was expected and there is positioning in the stock. But there is a lot that passives need to sell too.</li>
</ul>



Adani Ports &amp; Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN) will replace Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN) in the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index at the close on 21 June.

Adani Ports &amp; Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN)'s inclusion is a big surprise and there should be a move higher in the stock in the short-term. 

Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)'s deletion was expected and there is positioning in the stock. But there is a lot that passives need to sell too.


SENSEX Index Rebalance: And That's a Googly

<ul>
<li>There could be 17 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. Some changes from earlier following 45 new F&amp;O stocks.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 61.5% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 63.4bn (US$752m).</li>
<li>The potential inclusions to the index have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of June. This trend could continue for a couple of weeks till the changes are announced.</li>
</ul>


There could be 17 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. Some changes from earlier following 45 new F&amp;O stocks.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 61.5% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 63.4bn (US$752m).
The potential inclusions to the index have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of June. This trend could continue for a couple of weeks till the changes are announced.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: More Changes with New F&O Stocks

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) has released FY 2023-24 numbers that were slightly above expectations. The company's strong revenue and EBITDA growth (of 28% and 24% y-o-y, respectively) exceeded management’s guidance, supported by higher than estimated growth in cargo volumes. APSEZ appears poised to achieve its target of 500 MMT cargo volumes in 2025, supported by organic growth and the contribution from its latest acquisition (Gopalpur Port). Net adjusted leverage improved to 2.9x (FY 2022-23: 4.0x). We expect leverage to be stable in FY 2024-25, in line with management's guidance. APSEZ appears to have a renewed appetite for expansion (particularly in overseas markets, amid its already strong domestic position), which may present event risks. In the meantime, the company may remain affected by negative headlines related to corporate governance issues at the broader Adani Group.

  Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) has released FY 2023-24 numbers that were slightly above expectations. The company's strong revenue and EBITDA growth (of 28% and 24% y-o-y, respectively) exceeded management’s guidance, supported by higher than estimated growth in cargo volumes. APSEZ appears poised to achieve its target of 500 MMT cargo volumes in 2025, supported by organic growth and the contribution from its latest acquisition (Gopalpur Port). Net adjusted leverage improved to 2.9x (FY 2022-23: 4.0x). We expect leverage to be stable in FY 2024-25, in line with management's guidance.   APSEZ appears to have a renewed appetite for expansion (particularly in overseas markets, amid its already strong domestic position), which may present event risks. In the meantime, the company may remain affected by negative headlines related to corporate governance issues at the broader Adani Group. 

Adani Ports - Earnings Flash - FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

India

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone operates a shipping port on the west coast of India.  The Company's port provides services for bulk and container cargo, crude oil, and railway and other added services.

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN)

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Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN)

Morning Views Asia: Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

SENSEX Index Rebalance: And That's a Googly

Adani Ports will replace Wipro in the Sensex at the close on 21 June. Adani Ports' inclusion is a surprise while Wipro was an expected delete....

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: More Changes with New F&O Stocks

We forecast 17 changes a side for the index in Dec. Some of the changes have changed following 45 new F&O inclusions. The forecast adds have...

Brian Freitas

Adani Ports - Earnings Flash - FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) has released FY 2023-24 numbers that were slightly above expectations. The company's strong revenue...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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