Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After a -5 weeks correction in August, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> has restarted its Bull run, ongoing from mid-March 2020. Let's have a look to where MRM WEEKLY resistance levels are.</li>
<li>The current pattern is BULLISH, the index could rise easily another 2-3 weeks from here.</li>
<li>Target prices for a reversal (or pullback within the uptrend) are between 19846 -20294</li>
</ul>


After a -5 weeks correction in August, the NIFTY Index has restarted its Bull run, ongoing from mid-March 2020. Let's have a look to where MRM WEEKLY resistance levels are.
The current pattern is BULLISH, the index could rise easily another 2-3 weeks from here.
Target prices for a reversal (or pullback within the uptrend) are between 19846 -20294


EQD | NIFTY Index WEEKLY Resistance Analysis

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>In July, we saw the deletion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> from several indices in this family which triggered multiple intra-review index changes.</li>
<li>At present, I do not see any changes for the SENSEX index but I see seven ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and five ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the December 2023 Rebalance.
In July, we saw the deletion of HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) from several indices in this family which triggered multiple intra-review index changes.
At present, I do not see any changes for the SENSEX index but I see seven ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and five ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 23: 7 Changes for BSE 100 and 5 Changes for BSE 200

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The changes to the LQ45/IDX30 were announced last week and will be implemented Monday. The PSE also announced that there would be no changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">PCOMP INDEX</a> in August.</li>
<li>There are a bunch of review cutoffs on Monday, most notably for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a>, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a> family of indices and the KRX New Deal indices.</li>
<li>There were inflows to China focused ETFs and outflows from Taiwan and Korea focused ETFs during the week.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the LQ45/IDX30 were announced last week and will be implemented Monday. The PSE also announced that there would be no changes for the PCOMP INDEX in August.
There are a bunch of review cutoffs on Monday, most notably for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX), STAR50 INDEX, the NIFTY family of indices and the KRX New Deal indices.
There were inflows to China focused ETFs and outflows from Taiwan and Korea focused ETFs during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: LQ45/IDX30, FXI, New Deal, KOSPI, KQ150, LG Energy, IN Float, TTMT

<ul>
<li>Over the last few weeks, companies in India have been disclosing their shareholding pattern as of end-June. There are a few companies with significant float changes from end-March and/or end-December.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next couple of months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>We see 6 stocks where there could be passive inflows and 2 stocks that could have passive outflows - but there are caveats.</li>
</ul>


Over the last few weeks, companies in India have been disclosing their shareholding pattern as of end-June. There are a few companies with significant float changes from end-March and/or end-December.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next couple of months resulting in action from passive trackers.
We see 6 stocks where there could be passive inflows and 2 stocks that could have passive outflows - but there are caveats.


<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> has been in a strong rally since early April 2023, returning almost +17% as of last Friday's Close. The MRM tool shows the index is OVERBOUGHT WEEKLY .</li>
<li>The NIFTY Index has reached a "Tails" area of the current pattern: forecasts in these price areas are less reliable, but the MRM tool indicates the index is topping.</li>
<li>
SHORT trades can be implemented at prices &gt; Last Close (19745). Higher prices are possible, it could take +1/+2 weeks for the index to complete its topping process.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index has been in a strong rally since early April 2023, returning almost +17% as of last Friday's Close. The MRM tool shows the index is OVERBOUGHT WEEKLY .
The NIFTY Index has reached a "Tails" area of the current pattern: forecasts in these price areas are less reliable, but the MRM tool indicates the index is topping.

SHORT trades can be implemented at prices &gt; Last Close (19745). Higher prices are possible, it could take +1/+2 weeks for the index to complete its topping process.


EQD | NIFTY Index WEEKLY: Topping (In The) Tails

India

Adani Enterprises Limited is an international trading house that operates from offices in India as well as other countries. The Company is involved in coal mining, cargo handling and power generation.  Adani also trades in a large number of products including textiles, energy, metals and agricultural products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)

EQD | NIFTY Index WEEKLY Resistance Analysis

The NIFTY50 Index has resumed its bullish trend after the August correction, with potential for further rallying in the coming 2-3 weeks. MRM...

Nico Rosti

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 23: 7 Changes for BSE 100 and 5 Changes for BSE 200

All else equal, if Wipro's average share price for the remainder of the reference period is more than 17% lower than the latest price, the company...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: LQ45/IDX30, FXI, New Deal, KOSPI, KQ150, LG Energy, IN Float, TTMT

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

India - Potential Float Changes & Impact

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

EQD | NIFTY Index WEEKLY: Topping (In The) Tails

The NIFTY50 WEEKLY may be topping: find out the index's next resistance levels, and probability of trend reversal for the coming weeks.

Nico Rosti

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EQD | NIFTY Index WEEKLY Resistance Analysis

​The NIFTY50 Index has resumed its bullish trend after the August correction, with potential for further rallying in the coming 2-3 weeks. MRM...

Nico Rosti

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 23: 7 Changes for BSE 100 and 5 Changes for BSE 200

All else equal, if Wipro's average share price for the remainder of the reference period is more than 17% lower than the latest price, the company...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: LQ45/IDX30, FXI, New Deal, KOSPI, KQ150, LG Energy, IN Float, TTMT

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

India - Potential Float Changes & Impact

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

EQD | NIFTY Index WEEKLY: Topping (In The) Tails

The NIFTY50 WEEKLY may be topping: find out the index's next resistance levels, and probability of trend reversal for the coming weeks.

Nico Rosti

The NIFTY50 Index has resumed its bullish trend after the August correction, with potential for further rallying in the coming 2-3 weeks. MRM...

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 23: 7 Changes for BSE 100 and 5 Changes for BSE 200