External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s headline numbers are broadly in line. However, weak internals (miss in volume) and cautious outlook on demand and margin are raising questions about the near-term performance. Revenue grew at 11% YoY (HSIE 10%) while UVG, at 4%, was below our estimates (6% HSIE). UVG on two-year CAGR was weak at 2.5% but improved sequentially (-0.4% in Q1FY22) after the second wave of COVID impacted Q1FY22. Health, hygiene, and nutrition portfolio (85% mix) sustained healthy growth at 7% YoY. Within the nutrition portfolio, health food drinks volume grew in double digits. Nutrition portfolio should sustain the momentum as 85% of GTM integration is completed. Gross margin pressure continued in Q2FY22 with 142bps YoY contraction due to elevated commodity costs (crude, CPO, tea, and plastic) and higher freight cost. EBITDA growth was at 9% (HSIE 7%). We expect margin to remain under pressure in the near term, owing to sustained inflation and calibrated price hikes. We cut our EPS estimates for FY22/FY23/FY24 by ~2%. We value HUL at 55x P/E on Sep-23E EPS to derive a TP of INR 2,482. Maintain REDUCE.</p>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s headline numbers are broadly in line. However, weak internals (miss in volume) and cautious outlook on demand and margin are raising questions about the near-term performance. Revenue grew at 11% YoY (HSIE 10%) while UVG, at 4%, was below our estimates (6% HSIE). UVG on two-year CAGR was weak at 2.5% but improved sequentially (-0.4% in Q1FY22) after the second wave of COVID impacted Q1FY22. Health, hygiene, and nutrition portfolio (85% mix) sustained healthy growth at 7% YoY. Within the nutrition portfolio, health food drinks volume grew in double digits. Nutrition portfolio should sustain the momentum as 85% of GTM integration is completed. Gross margin pressure continued in Q2FY22 with 142bps YoY contraction due to elevated commodity costs (crude, CPO, tea, and plastic) and higher freight cost. EBITDA growth was at 9% (HSIE 7%). We expect margin to remain under pressure in the near term, owing to sustained inflation and calibrated price hikes. We cut our EPS estimates for FY22/FY23/FY24 by ~2%. We value HUL at 55x P/E on Sep-23E EPS to derive a TP of INR 2,482. Maintain REDUCE.
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Nestle India, L&T Technology Services, ACC

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

<p>ACC’s Q3CY21 EBITDA at Rs7.1bn (up 6% YoY) was broadly in line with consensus estimates. Total cost/te increased 4.6% QoQ (6.8% YoY) primarily led by higher fuel cost, and packing materials and maintenance costs. Blended EBITDA/te (including RMC) grew 7% YoY and declined 15% QoQ to Rs1,060/te (ISec: Rs977/te). While investor concern around sharp cost increases seem valid, industry has demonstrated strong pricing resilience in the past.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

ACC’s Q3CY21 EBITDA at Rs7.1bn (up 6% YoY) was broadly in line with consensus estimates. Total cost/te increased 4.6% QoQ (6.8% YoY) primarily led by higher fuel cost, and packing materials and maintenance costs. Blended EBITDA/te (including RMC) grew 7% YoY and declined 15% QoQ to Rs1,060/te (ISec: Rs977/te). While investor concern around sharp cost increases seem valid, industry has demonstrated strong pricing resilience in the past.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Improving margins to narrow valuation gap

<p>ACC has a strong balance-sheet with debt free status. However, it remains a laggard in terms of efficiency and operating margins vs. peer companies The ongoing capex of Rs 3500 crore would increase its capacity to 39.3 MT by H1CY22E. The 1.1 MT GU in Sindri has already been commissioned,...</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

ACC has a strong balance-sheet with debt free status. However, it remains a laggard in terms of efficiency and operating margins vs. peer companies The ongoing capex of Rs 3500 crore would increase its capacity to 39.3 MT by H1CY22E. The 1.1 MT GU in Sindri has already been commissioned,...Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

<p>We value ACC at 11x its CY22E EV/EBITDA to arrive at TP of Rs 2,490/share, implying an upside of 16% from the CMP.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

We value ACC at 11x its CY22E EV/EBITDA to arrive at TP of Rs 2,490/share, implying an upside of 16% from the CMP.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ACC: Delivers An Excellent All-Round Performance

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

<p>ACC's 2QCY21 result surprised positively on strong cost control. Moreover, coupled with a better pricing environment, this led to EBITDA/t of INR1,279 the highest since CY10 despite higher energy costs. ACC's Central India expansion should be commissioned in 2HCY22, potentially driving a 9% volume CAGR over CY2123E. We expect costs to remain in check, supported by a master supply agreement (MSA) with Ambuja as well as supply chain efficiencies. We raise our CY21/CY22 EPS...</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

ACC's 2QCY21 result surprised positively on strong cost control. Moreover, coupled with a better pricing environment, this led to EBITDA/t of INR1,279 the highest since CY10 despite higher energy costs. ACC's Central India expansion should be commissioned in 2HCY22, potentially driving a 9% volume CAGR over CY2123E. We expect costs to remain in check, supported by a master supply agreement (MSA) with Ambuja as well as supply chain efficiencies. We raise our CY21/CY22 EPS...Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

ACC Limited  manufactures a range of cements and blended cements. The Company also manufactures gypsum and refractory products such as Brown Tabular Alumina. The Company provides turnkey and application consulting services for setting up and operating cement plants and refractories. The Company owns cement plants throughout India.

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ACC Ltd (ACC IS)

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Nestle India, L&T Technology Services, ACC

HUL’s headline numbers are broadly in line. However, weak internals (miss in volume) and cautious outlook on demand and margin are raising questions

HDFC Securities

Improving margins to narrow valuation gap

ACC’s Q3CY21 EBITDA at Rs7.1bn (up 6% YoY) was broadly in line with consensus estimates. Total cost/te increased 4.6% QoQ (6.8% YoY) primarily led...

ICICI Securities Limited

ACC: Healthy Operational Performance

ACC has a strong balance-sheet with debt free status. However, it remains a laggard in terms of efficiency and operating margins vs. peer...

ICICI Securities Limited

ACC: Delivers An Excellent All-Round Performance

We value ACC at 11x its CY22E EV/EBITDA to arrive at TP of Rs 2,490/share, implying an upside of 16% from the CMP. ACC reported a robust...

Axis Direct

Expansion provides growth visibility

ACC's 2QCY21 result surprised positively on strong cost control. Moreover, coupled with a better pricing environment, this led to EBITDA/t of...

Motilal Oswal

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