Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Current value sales grow by 9% in 2017 to reach CNY146.3 billion</li><li>The second-child policy as well as greater supervision by the government greatly impacts baby food</li><li>Organic milk formula records the highest current value growth rate of 30% in 2017</li><li>The average unit price continues to increase in 2017 owing to the premiumisation trend</li><li>Shanghai Wyeth Nutritional Co Ltd further consolidates its leading position with a value share of 13% in 2017</li><li>A value CAGR of 6% is expected over the forecast period to reach sales of CNY196.0 billion at constant 2017 prices in 2022</li></ul>

Current value sales grow by 9% in 2017 to reach CNY146.3 billionThe second-child policy as well as greater supervision by the government greatly impacts baby foodOrganic milk formula records the highest current value growth rate of 30% in 2017The average unit price continues to increase in 2017 owing to the premiumisation trendShanghai Wyeth Nutritional Co Ltd further consolidates its leading position with a value share of 13% in 2017A value CAGR of 6% is expected over the forecast period to reach sales of CNY196.0 billion at constant 2017 prices in 2022

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Key themes:<ul><li>Downgrading Financials. Given the Sector’s relative deterioration, we are downgrading Financials to market weight. Pockets of strength still exist (e.g. exchanges), but breadth is problematic... see page 3</li><li>Gold miners are bullishly inflecting. A Group we recommended last week, gold miners continue to bullishly inflect. This is a buying opportunity... see pages 3, 8-14</li><li>Buy biotechs, overweight Health Care. In today’s report we highlight actionable charts throughout Health Care, our top-ranked Sector, emphasizing widespread opportunities within biotechs ... see pages 3, 15-19</li></ul>

Key themes:Downgrading Financials. Given the Sector’s relative deterioration, we are downgrading Financials to market weight. Pockets of strength still exist (e.g. exchanges), but breadth is problematic... see page 3Gold miners are bullishly inflecting. A Group we recommended last week, gold miners continue to bullishly inflect. This is a buying opportunity... see pages 3, 8-14Buy biotechs, overweight Health Care. In today’s report we highlight actionable charts throughout Health Care, our top-ranked Sector, emphasizing widespread opportunities within biotechs ... see pages 3, 15-19

U.S. Equity Strategy: Reiterating Biotechs, Gold Miners; Downgrading Financials to Market Weight

M&A Reporting, CTFN

Jonathan Spitzer

M&A Reporting

CTFN

Bringing the marketplace leading coverage of mergers, events, and major corporate actions, CTFN has a team of seasoned reporters from Los Angeles to London, publishing news that advances stories that matter to event-driven investors and deal professionals.

Event-Driven

Spectranetics Corp. is expected to receive Food and Drug Administration approval this summer for its drug-coated balloon catheter used to treat peripheral artery disease (PAD), makingthe company an attractive takeover target, sources told CTFN.

Spectranetics Corp. is expected to receive Food and Drug Administration approval this summer for its drug-coated balloon catheter used to treat peripheral artery disease (PAD), makingthe company an attractive takeover target, sources told CTFN.

Spectranetics Nearing Expected FDA Approval of Stellarex

Founder

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Cherrystone Hill Research

Equity Capital Markets

Eris Lifesciences / Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/24180" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24180:1">Eris Lifesciences Limited (0113824Z IN)</a> is an India-focused pharmaceutical company that produces and markets branded generic drugs. The company will be one of only a handful of listed companies that is a pure play on the Indian pharmaceutical market and the only one that is not a subsidiary of a multi-national.  Eris has filed with SEBI to list on the BSE and NSE through an offering of up to 28,875,500 secondary shares (no proceeds to the company). The bid period starts on 16 June and closes on 20 June. The price band of Rs 600-603 values the company at 34x trailing EPS, a small discount to the other pure plays. This Insight briefly discusses the business, industry, financials, and valuation.We think the valuation is reasonable; the business is attractive and would take the deal.

Eris Lifesciences Limited (0113824Z IN) is an India-focused pharmaceutical company that produces and markets branded generic drugs. The company will be one of only a handful of listed companies that is a pure play on the Indian pharmaceutical market and the only one that is not a subsidiary of a multi-national.  Eris has filed with SEBI to list on the BSE and NSE through an offering of up to 28,875,500 secondary shares (no proceeds to the company). The bid period starts on 16 June and closes on 20 June. The price band of Rs 600-603 values the company at 34x trailing EPS, a small discount to the other pure plays. This Insight briefly discusses the business, industry, financials, and valuation.We think the valuation is reasonable; the business is attractive and would take the deal. 

Eris Lifesciences: Ask Some Questions, Take the Deal

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

<ul>
<li>The Republican replacement for ‘Obamacare’ has been announced and looks an incoherent mess – resurgent healthcare inflation will be a drag on discretionary spending.</li>
<li>The US yield curve is flattening, overall bank credit growth has been negative for two months and yesterday’s January consumer lending data was about half consensus expectations.</li>
<li>The global mining sector has been selling off as expected with iron ore/copper prices – I remain tactically short the FTSE 350 mining index.</li>
<li>Overall, the US…</li>
</ul>


The Republican replacement for ‘Obamacare’ has been announced and looks an incoherent mess – resurgent healthcare inflation will be a drag on discretionary spending.
The US yield curve is flattening, overall bank credit growth has been negative for two months and yesterday’s January consumer lending data was about half consensus expectations.
The global mining sector has been selling off as expected with iron ore/copper prices – I remain tactically short the FTSE 350 mining index.
Overall, the US…


US Healthcare Overhaul Stumbling, Singapore Cyclical Rally Looking Premature

United States

Abbott Laboratories discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells a broad and diversified line of health care products and services. The Company's products include pharmaceuticals, nutritional, diagnostics, and vascular products. Abbott markets its products worldwide through affiliates and distributors.

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Abbott Laboratories (ABT US)

Sector Capsule: Baby Food in China

Current value sales grow by 9% in 2017 to reach CNY146.3 billion The second-child policy as well as greater supervision by the government greatly...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Reiterating Biotechs, Gold Miners; Downgrading Financials to Market Weight

Key themes: Downgrading Financials. Given the Sector’s relative deterioration, we are downgrading Financials to market weight. Pockets of strength...

Vermilion Research

Spectranetics Nearing Expected FDA Approval of Stellarex

Spectranetics Corp. is expected to receive Food and Drug Administration approval this summer for its drug-coated balloon catheter used to treat...

CTFN

Eris Lifesciences: Ask Some Questions, Take the Deal

Eris Lifesciences Limited (0113824Z IN) is an India-focused pharmaceutical company that produces and markets branded generic drugs. The company...

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

US Healthcare Overhaul Stumbling, Singapore Cyclical Rally Looking Premature

The Republican replacement for ‘Obamacare’ has been announced and looks an incoherent mess – resurgent healthcare inflation will be a drag on...

Sean Maher

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